* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 176,462 201,694 252,000 299,430
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 40,475 49,982 69,802 78,233
Net Profit (Rsm) 30,067 40,200 54,833 62,126
Core EPS (Rs) 6.2 5.5 7.5 8.5
Core EPS Growth (36.0%) (10.9%) 36.4% 13.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 45.77 51.35 37.65 33.23
DPS (Rs) 1.7 2.0 2.9 3.2
Dividend Yield 0.60% 0.71% 1.01% 1.14%
EV/EBITDA (x) 32.02 39.11 27.79 24.48
P/FCFE (x) 34.95 (166.36) 60.76 45.20
Net Gearing (59.0%) (68.2%) (63.9%) (63.7%)
P/BV (x) 15.20 12.84 10.60 8.85
ROE 23.5% 27.1% 30.8% 29.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 176,462 201,694 252,000 299,430
Gross Profit 78,374 96,035 120,928 138,337
Operating EBITDA 40,475 49,982 69,802 78,233
Depreciation And Amortisation (4,079) (4,124) (5,114) (5,679)
Operating EBIT 36,397 45,857 64,688 72,554
Financial Income/(Expense) (148) (70) (126) (150)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 3,600 7,558 8,064 9,881
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 39,849 53,346 72,626 82,286
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 39,849 53,346 72,626 82,286
Taxation (9,782) (13,146) (17,793) (20,160)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 30,067 40,200 54,833 62,126
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 30,067 40,200 54,833 62,126
Recurring Net Profit 30,067 40,200 54,833 62,126
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 30,067 40,200 54,833 62,126
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 40,475 49,982 69,802 78,233
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (21,179) (2,376) (5,619) (4,156)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 1,026 1,885 1,764 2,395
Other Operating Cashflow 380 11,119
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (9,150) (14,130) (17,793) (20,160)
Cashflow From Operations 11,552 46,480 48,154 56,312
Capex (5,621) (6,423) (7,643) (8,184)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 33,442 (52,466) (6,535) (2,460)
Cash Flow From Investing 27,820 (58,889) (14,178) (10,644)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (12,424) (14,615) (20,836) (23,608)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (697) (128) 1,642 2,222
Cash Flow From Financing (13,121) (14,743) (19,194) (21,386)
Total Cash Generated 26,251 (27,152) 14,782 24,282
Free Cashflow To Equity 39,372 (12,408) 33,976 45,668
Free Cashflow To Firm 39,372 (12,408) 33,976 45,668
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 80,090 109,681 124,463 148,745
Total Debtors 70,220 73,622 95,277 113,209
Inventories 64,062 74,076 92,552 109,971
Total Other Current Assets 84,661 81,533 101,868 121,042
Total Current Assets 299,033 338,912 414,160 492,968
Fixed Assets 35,135 36,500 39,028 41,533
Total Investments 6,644 7,678 15,120 20,960
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 9,733 8,467 13,860 17,966
Total Non-current Assets 51,512 52,645 68,008 80,459
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 33,197 36,937 46,149 54,835
Other Current Liabilities 165,660 176,074 219,990 260,053
Total Current Liabilities 198,857 213,011 266,139 314,888
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 9,637 10,832 12,600 14,972
Total Non-current Liabilities 9,637 10,832 12,600 14,972
Total Provisions 6,232 6,890 8,608 10,229
Total Liabilities 214,725 230,733 287,348 340,088
Shareholders Equity 135,820 160,824 194,820 233,338
Minority Interests
Total Equity 135,820 160,824 194,820 233,338
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 15.2% 14.3% 24.9% 18.8%
Operating EBITDA Growth 22.3% 23.5% 39.7% 12.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.9% 24.8% 27.7% 26.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 10.96 15.00 17.03 20.35
BVPS (Rs) 18.58 22.00 26.65 31.92
Gross Interest Cover 246.09 653.24 513.40 484.62
Effective Tax Rate 24.5% 24.6% 24.5% 24.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 41.3% 36.4% 38.0% 38.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 135.75 130.15 122.32 127.07
Inventory Days 222.26 238.60 232.01 229.43
Accounts Payables Days (124.39) (121.14) (115.69) (114.40)
ROIC (%) 56.0% 74.9% 84.6% 81.7%
ROCE (%) 28.5% 30.9% 36.4% 33.9%
Return On Average Assets 8.8% 10.9% 12.6% 11.8%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com