* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 32,820 46,248 51,443 61,367
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 3,194 4,629 5,162 6,342
Net Profit (Rsm) 817 1,630 2,016 2,616
Core EPS (Rs) 7.8 15.5 19.2 24.9
Core EPS Growth 124.0% 99.6% 23.7% 29.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 57.28 28.69 23.20 17.88
DPS (Rs) 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.7
Dividend Yield 0.02% 0.10% 0.13% 0.17%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.03 11.34 10.31 8.57
P/FCFE (x) 46.82 (27.37) 22.49 23.35
Net Gearing 49.3% 54.0% 51.4% 50.4%
P/BV (x) 5.21 4.43 3.74 3.11
ROE 9.8% 16.7% 17.5% 19.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 32,820 46,248 51,443 61,367
Gross Profit 7,761 9,966 12,861 15,342
Operating EBITDA 3,194 4,629 5,162 6,342
Depreciation And Amortisation (525) (636) (679) (747)
Operating EBIT 2,669 3,994 4,483 5,595
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,540) (2,037) (2,041) (2,348)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 70 77 84 93
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 86 145 169 158
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,285 2,179 2,695 3,498
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,285 2,179 2,695 3,498
Taxation (468) (549) (679) (881)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 817 1,630 2,016 2,616
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 817 1,630 2,016 2,616
Recurring Net Profit 817 1,630 2,016 2,616
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 817 1,630 2,016 2,616
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 3,194 4,629 5,162 6,342
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,005) (3,944) (1,689) (2,521)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 66 145 169 158
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (334) (549) (679) (881)
Cashflow From Operations 1,922 281 2,962 3,097
Capex (1,013) (1,800) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (857) (1,345) (422) (789)
Cash Flow From Investing (1,870) (3,145) (1,922) (2,289)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 935 1,155 1,039 1,195
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 498
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (10) (10) (10) (10)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,547) (2,037) (2,041) (2,348)
Cash Flow From Financing (125) (892) (1,012) (1,163)
Total Cash Generated (73) (3,756) 29 (355)
Free Cashflow To Equity 987 (1,709) 2,080 2,003
Free Cashflow To Firm 52 (2,864) 1,041 808
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,349 1,227 1,533 1,578
Total Debtors 7,661 9,123 10,570 12,610
Inventories 12,031 20,907 23,255 28,246
Total Other Current Assets 2,184 3,548 3,946 4,708
Total Current Assets 23,226 34,804 39,305 47,141
Fixed Assets 7,654 8,802 9,609 10,349
Total Investments 169 186 204 224
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 399 379 398 418
Total Non-current Assets 8,221 9,367 10,210 10,991
Short-term Debt 2,764 3,317 3,815 4,387
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 12,206 13,558 14,094 16,813
Other Current Liabilities 2,592 7,602 9,161 10,928
Total Current Liabilities 17,563 24,477 27,070 32,129
Total Long-term Debt 3,008 3,610 4,151 4,774
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,827 1,813 1,514 1,266
Total Non-current Liabilities 4,835 5,422 5,666 6,040
Total Provisions 74 104 116 138
Total Liabilities 22,471 30,004 32,851 38,307
Shareholders Equity 8,976 10,558 12,513 15,051
Minority Interests
Total Equity 8,976 10,558 12,513 15,051
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 65.7% 40.9% 11.2% 19.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth 65.9% 44.9% 11.5% 22.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 9.7% 10.0% 10.0% 10.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 42.03 54.16 61.13 72.06
BVPS (Rs) 85.29 100.32 118.90 143.02
Gross Interest Cover 1.73 1.96 2.20 2.38
Effective Tax Rate 36.4% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 62.63 66.23 69.86 68.94
Inventory Days 154.12 165.68 208.89 204.21
Accounts Payables Days 131.72 129.59 130.80 122.55
ROIC (%) 13.2% 13.8% 13.7% 14.6%
ROCE (%) 20.0% 24.8% 23.6% 25.0%
Return On Average Assets 7.3% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1%

Analyst(s)

Ishan VERMA

(91) 22 4161 1565 ishan.verma@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com