* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 248,554 290,019 313,241 342,987
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 37,582 58,430 67,443 75,844
Net Profit (Rsm) 19,275 31,716 36,380 43,758
Core EPS (Rs) 32.9 57.4 62.1 74.7
Core EPS Growth (30.6%) 74.5% 8.2% 20.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 35.20 20.17 18.65 15.50
DPS (Rs) 7.5 6.0 7.0 8.0
Dividend Yield 0.65% 0.52% 0.60% 0.69%
EV/EBITDA (x) 17.58 11.55 9.73 8.32
P/FCFE (x) 14.62 17.17 33.52 9.89
Net Gearing (5.2%) (0.1%) (5.8%) (12.0%)
P/BV (x) 2.53 2.27 2.05 1.83
ROE 7.5% 11.9% 11.6% 12.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 248,554 290,019 313,241 342,987
Gross Profit 135,621 163,990 185,670 202,347
Operating EBITDA 37,582 58,430 67,443 75,844
Depreciation And Amortisation (12,446) (15,217) (16,500) (18,000)
Operating EBIT 25,136 43,213 50,943 57,844
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,405) (2,897) (4,500) (3,500)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 2,510 5,574 5,600 6,500
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 26,242 45,890 52,043 60,844
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 26,242 45,890 52,043 60,844
Taxation (6,849) (12,110) (15,613) (17,036)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (1,919)
Profit After Tax 19,393 31,861 36,430 43,808
Minority Interests (118) (146) (50) (50)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 19,275 31,716 36,380 43,758
Recurring Net Profit 19,275 33,634 36,380 43,758
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 19,275 33,634 36,380 43,758
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 37,582 58,430 67,443 75,844
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (10,950) (16,751) (15,501) (17,113)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 16,561 4,035 9,413 (1,181)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,405) (2,897) (4,500) (3,500)
Tax Paid (17,921) (16,763) (20,086) (12,815)
Cashflow From Operations 23,868 26,054 36,769 41,235
Capex (23,927) (27,201) (15,000) (15,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,970)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (2,029) (1,146) 21,769 26,235
Debt Raised/(repaid) 24,576 14,613 (38,299) 1,119
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,395) (2,636) (3,516) (4,102)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,491) (8,180) 1,100 3,000
Cash Flow From Financing 18,690 3,796 (40,715) 18
Total Cash Generated 16,661 2,650 (18,946) 26,253
Free Cashflow To Equity 46,415 39,521 20,238 68,589
Free Cashflow To Firm 23,244 27,805 63,038 70,970
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 62,476 63,417 43,982 70,644
Total Debtors 44,664 48,167 53,251 58,308
Inventories 85,112 98,082 112,767 123,475
Total Other Current Assets 23,204 32,389 31,324 34,299
Total Current Assets 215,457 242,056 241,324 286,726
Fixed Assets 124,918 142,849 141,349 138,349
Total Investments 3,917 3,217 3,217 3,217
Intangible Assets 39,219 40,766 40,766 40,766
Total Other Non-Current Assets 15,389 21,827 21,827 21,827
Total Non-current Assets 183,443 208,659 207,159 204,159
Short-term Debt 42,426 41,803 41,803 41,803
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 38,713 44,542 46,328 46,557
Other Current Liabilities 33,799 35,647 37,062 38,460
Total Current Liabilities 114,938 121,991 125,194 126,821
Total Long-term Debt 6,190 21,349 (16,950) (15,831)
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 9,254 8,867 8,867 8,867
Total Non-current Liabilities 15,444 30,216 (8,083) (6,964)
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 130,381 152,207 117,110 119,856
Shareholders Equity 268,399 298,428 331,242 370,849
Minority Interests 120 80 130 180
Total Equity 268,519 298,508 331,372 371,029
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 6.0% 16.7% 8.0% 9.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth (14.3%) 55.5% 15.4% 12.5%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.1% 20.1% 21.5% 22.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 23.66 0.45 32.65 76.24
BVPS (Rs) 458.07 509.32 565.32 632.91
Gross Interest Cover 17.89 14.92 11.32 16.53
Effective Tax Rate 26.1% 26.4% 30.0% 28.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 62.25 58.42 59.09 59.36
Inventory Days 259.61 265.28 301.63 306.56
Accounts Payables Days 106.24 120.56 130.00 120.53
ROIC (%) 7.2% 10.6% 12.0% 13.0%
ROCE (%) 8.5% 12.7% 14.2% 15.4%
Return On Average Assets 5.5% 8.5% 8.9% 9.9%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com