* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 248,554 290,019 312,611 342,244
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 37,582 58,430 67,074 75,409
Net Profit (Rsm) 19,275 31,716 37,102 44,525
Core EPS (Rs) 32.9 57.4 63.3 76.0
Core EPS Growth (30.6%) 74.5% 10.3% 20.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 38.00 21.78 19.74 16.45
DPS (Rs) 7.5 6.0 7.0 8.0
Dividend Yield 0.60% 0.48% 0.56% 0.64%
EV/EBITDA (x) 19.02 12.48 10.57 9.06
P/FCFE (x) 15.78 20.29 39.56 10.75
Net Gearing (5.2%) (0.1%) (6.1%) (12.3%)
P/BV (x) 2.73 2.45 2.21 1.97
ROE 7.5% 11.9% 11.8% 12.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 248,554 290,019 312,611 342,244
Gross Profit 135,621 163,990 185,301 201,912
Operating EBITDA 37,582 58,430 67,074 75,409
Depreciation And Amortisation (12,446) (15,217) (16,500) (17,500)
Operating EBIT 25,136 43,213 50,574 57,909
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,405) (2,897) (4,000) (3,500)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 2,510 5,574 6,500 7,500
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 26,242 45,890 53,074 61,909
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 26,242 45,890 53,074 61,909
Taxation (6,849) (12,110) (15,922) (17,335)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (1,919)
Profit After Tax 19,393 31,861 37,152 44,575
Minority Interests (118) (146) (50) (50)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 19,275 31,716 37,102 44,525
Recurring Net Profit 19,275 33,634 37,102 44,525
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 19,275 33,634 37,102 44,525
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 37,582 58,430 67,074 75,409
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (10,950) (16,751) (15,221) (17,053)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 16,561 4,035 9,413 (1,181)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,405) (2,897) (4,000) (3,500)
Tax Paid (17,921) (18,472) (21,385) (12,704)
Cashflow From Operations 23,868 24,345 35,881 40,971
Capex (23,927) (27,201) (15,000) (15,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,970)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (2,029) (2,855) 20,881 25,971
Debt Raised/(repaid) 24,576 14,613 (38,245) 1,169
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,395) (2,636) (3,516) (4,102)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,491) (8,180) 2,500 4,000
Cash Flow From Financing 18,690 3,796 (39,261) 1,068
Total Cash Generated 16,661 941 (18,379) 27,039
Free Cashflow To Equity 46,415 36,103 18,517 68,111
Free Cashflow To Firm 23,244 24,387 60,763 70,442
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 62,476 63,417 45,037 72,076
Total Debtors 44,664 48,167 53,144 58,181
Inventories 85,112 98,082 112,540 123,208
Total Other Current Assets 23,204 32,389 31,261 34,224
Total Current Assets 215,457 242,056 241,982 287,690
Fixed Assets 124,918 142,849 141,349 138,849
Total Investments 3,917 3,217 3,217 3,217
Intangible Assets 39,219 40,766 40,766 40,766
Total Other Non-Current Assets 15,389 21,827 21,827 21,827
Total Non-current Assets 183,443 208,659 207,159 204,659
Short-term Debt 42,426 41,803 41,803 41,803
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 38,713 44,542 46,263 46,486
Other Current Liabilities 33,799 35,647 37,010 38,402
Total Current Liabilities 114,938 121,991 125,076 126,691
Total Long-term Debt 6,190 21,349 (16,896) (15,727)
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 9,254 8,867 8,867 8,867
Total Non-current Liabilities 15,444 30,216 (8,029) (6,860)
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 130,381 152,207 117,047 119,831
Shareholders Equity 268,399 298,428 331,964 372,337
Minority Interests 120 80 130 180
Total Equity 268,519 298,508 332,094 372,517
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 6.0% 16.7% 7.8% 9.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth (14.3%) 55.5% 14.8% 12.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.1% 20.1% 21.5% 22.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 23.66 0.45 34.36 78.51
BVPS (Rs) 458.07 509.32 566.55 635.45
Gross Interest Cover 17.89 14.92 12.64 16.55
Effective Tax Rate 26.1% 26.4% 30.0% 28.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 62.25 58.42 59.14 59.36
Inventory Days 259.61 265.28 301.93 306.59
Accounts Payables Days 106.24 120.56 130.17 120.62
ROIC (%) 7.2% 10.6% 11.9% 13.0%
ROCE (%) 8.5% 12.7% 14.1% 15.3%
Return On Average Assets 5.5% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com