* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 60,406 50,408 53,310 61,517
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,922 7,775 9,881 13,847
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,901 1,623 2,628 5,244
Core EPS (Rs) 14.7 3.0 4.9 9.7
Core EPS Growth (4.5%) (79.5%) 61.9% 99.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 33.34 162.34 100.25 50.23
DPS (Rs) 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Dividend Yield 0.82% 0.41% 0.41% 0.41%
EV/EBITDA (x) 17.73 36.77 28.92 20.76
P/FCFE (x) 26.93 40.19 18.30 24.96
Net Gearing 47.5% 57.5% 55.2% 54.1%
P/BV (x) 6.52 6.41 6.17 5.61
ROE 21.4% 4.0% 6.3% 11.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 60,406 50,408 53,310 61,517
Gross Profit 32,662 26,084 29,640 35,065
Operating EBITDA 15,922 7,775 9,881 13,847
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,241) (3,846) (4,300) (4,800)
Operating EBIT 12,681 3,929 5,581 9,047
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,652) (1,829) (2,160) (2,100)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 60 263 131 100
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 11,089 2,364 3,552 7,047
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 11,089 2,364 3,552 7,047
Taxation (3,123) (682) (995) (1,903)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,966 1,682 2,558 5,144
Minority Interests (65) (59) 70 100
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,901 1,623 2,628 5,244
Recurring Net Profit 7,901 1,623 2,628 5,244
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,901 1,623 2,628 5,244
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 15,922 7,775 9,881 13,847
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,153) (290) 2,239 (2,768)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (2,830) (828) (925) (1,803)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,652) (1,829) (2,160) (2,100)
Tax Paid (1,239) 738 1,104 197
Cashflow From Operations 9,939 6,657 11,195 9,276
Capex (9,875) (6,760) (8,000) (8,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (223)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (159) (103) 3,195 1,276
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 74 26
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,404) (862) (1,080) (1,083)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 1,207 1,871 (2,331) (992)
Cash Flow From Financing (122) 1,035 (3,411) (2,075)
Total Cash Generated (281) 932 (216) (798)
Free Cashflow To Equity 9,780 6,554 14,391 10,552
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,432 8,383 16,551 12,652
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 485 1,417 1,201 402
Total Debtors 15,804 16,629 15,993 17,225
Inventories 16,848 18,454 18,659 19,686
Total Other Current Assets 1,480 1,850 1,866 2,153
Total Current Assets 34,617 38,350 37,718 39,466
Fixed Assets 37,002 40,475 44,175 47,375
Total Investments 499 1,240 1,240 1,240
Intangible Assets 2,592 2,653 2,653 2,653
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,894 1,152 1,152 1,152
Total Non-current Assets 41,987 45,521 49,221 52,421
Short-term Debt 12,106 17,088 17,088 17,088
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 7,107 10,512 10,122 9,307
Other Current Liabilities 5,111 3,522 5,736 6,329
Total Current Liabilities 24,323 31,123 32,946 32,724
Total Long-term Debt 7,614 7,982 7,680 8,688
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 4,181 3,610 3,610 3,610
Total Non-current Liabilities 11,795 11,592 11,289 12,297
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 36,117 42,715 44,235 45,021
Shareholders Equity 40,375 41,110 42,727 46,989
Minority Interests 111 46 (24) (124)
Total Equity 40,487 41,156 42,704 46,865
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 22.4% (16.6%) 5.8% 15.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 11.9% (51.2%) 27.1% 40.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.4% 15.4% 18.5% 22.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (35.71) (43.91) (43.75) (47.10)
BVPS (Rs) 74.95 76.31 79.32 87.23
Gross Interest Cover 7.68 2.15 2.58 4.31
Effective Tax Rate 28.2% 28.8% 28.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 88.66 117.42 111.68 98.55
Inventory Days 226.63 264.87 286.15 264.54
Accounts Payables Days 104.40 132.19 159.10 134.04
ROIC (%) 15.0% 4.4% 6.1% 9.1%
ROCE (%) 22.8% 6.2% 8.3% 12.9%
Return On Average Assets 12.6% 3.8% 4.9% 7.5%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com