* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 50,408 55,537 64,935 74,397
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 7,775 10,550 15,045 18,546
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,623 3,580 6,119 8,579
Core EPS (Rs) 3.0 6.6 11.3 15.9
Core EPS Growth (79.5%) 120.6% 70.9% 40.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 213.36 96.70 56.58 40.36
DPS (Rs) 2.0 0.8 0.8 2.0
Dividend Yield 0.31% 0.12% 0.12% 0.31%
EV/EBITDA (x) 47.42 35.14 24.79 19.94
P/FCFE (x) 52.83 52.29 34.59 19.89
Net Gearing 57.5% 55.4% 54.0% 41.7%
P/BV (x) 8.42 7.74 6.85 5.89
ROE 4.0% 8.3% 12.8% 15.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 50,408 55,537 64,935 74,397
Gross Profit 26,084 30,757 36,688 42,406
Operating EBITDA 7,775 10,550 15,045 18,546
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,846) (4,301) (4,800) (5,200)
Operating EBIT 3,929 6,249 10,245 13,346
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,829) (2,160) (2,250) (2,000)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 263 751 250 200
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,364 4,840 8,245 11,546
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,364 4,840 8,245 11,546
Taxation (682) (1,299) (2,226) (3,117)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,682 3,541 6,019 8,429
Minority Interests (59) 39 100 150
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,623 3,580 6,119 8,579
Recurring Net Profit 1,623 3,580 6,119 8,579
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,623 3,580 6,119 8,579
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 7,775 10,550 15,045 18,546
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (290) (3,746) (2,914) (3,377)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (828) (787) (2,126) (2,967)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,829) (2,160) (2,250) (2,000)
Tax Paid 738 619 (126) (1,167)
Cashflow From Operations 6,657 6,017 10,005 12,201
Capex (6,760) (5,411) (10,000) (7,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (103) 605 5 5,201
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 26 102
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (862) (431) (431) (431)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 1,871 (250) (489) (3,305)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,035 (580) (920) (3,736)
Total Cash Generated 932 26 (915) 1,465
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,554 6,622 10,010 17,403
Free Cashflow To Firm 8,383 8,782 12,260 19,403
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,417 1,442 527 1,992
Total Debtors 16,629 20,072 22,078 23,807
Inventories 18,454 19,365 22,078 24,551
Total Other Current Assets 1,850 2,444 2,273 2,604
Total Current Assets 38,350 43,323 46,956 52,954
Fixed Assets 40,475 43,160 48,360 50,160
Total Investments 1,240 2,333 2,333 2,333
Intangible Assets 2,653 2,656 2,656 2,656
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,152 1,884 1,884 1,884
Total Non-current Assets 45,521 50,033 55,233 57,033
Short-term Debt 17,088 20,475 20,475 20,475
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 10,512 9,585 9,855 10,185
Other Current Liabilities 3,522 5,337 6,701 7,528
Total Current Liabilities 31,123 35,397 37,031 38,187
Total Long-term Debt 7,982 6,456 7,967 6,462
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 3,610 5,478 5,478 5,478
Total Non-current Liabilities 11,592 11,933 13,444 11,939
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 42,715 47,331 50,476 50,127
Shareholders Equity 41,110 44,726 50,513 58,810
Minority Interests 46 1,300 1,200 1,050
Total Equity 41,156 46,025 51,713 59,860
Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (16.6%) 10.2% 16.9% 14.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth (51.2%) 35.7% 42.6% 23.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.4% 19.0% 23.2% 24.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (43.86) (47.27) (51.77) (46.26)
BVPS (Rs) 76.23 82.94 93.67 109.06
Gross Interest Cover 2.15 2.89 4.55 6.67
Effective Tax Rate 28.8% 26.8% 27.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 117.42 120.60 118.46 112.56
Inventory Days 264.87 278.54 267.76 266.01
Accounts Payables Days 132.19 148.01 125.60 114.32
ROIC (%) 4.4% 6.3% 9.3% 11.4%
ROCE (%) 6.2% 9.0% 13.4% 16.0%
Return On Average Assets 3.8% 5.8% 7.9% 9.4%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com

Niharika AGARWAL

(91) 02241611540 niharika.agarwal@incredresearch.com