* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 10,508 11,090 12,050 13,119
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 8,030 8,837 10,004 10,640
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,701 3,946 3,466 3,685
Core EPS (Rs) 6.4 6.8 6.0 6.3
Core EPS Growth 22.2% 6.6% (12.2%) 6.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 8.27 7.76 8.83 8.30
DPS (Rs) 8.0 8.1 4.0 3.0
Dividend Yield 15.17% 15.27% 7.55% 5.60%
EV/EBITDA (x) 7.55 6.78 5.69 4.94
P/FCFE (x) 2.90 6.91 13.24 17.84
Net Gearing 74.9% 74.9% 65.2% 51.9%
P/BV (x) 0.76 0.78 0.76 0.72
ROE 9.1% 10.0% 8.7% 8.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 10,508 11,090 12,050 13,119
Gross Profit 8,030 8,837 10,004 10,640
Operating EBITDA 8,030 8,837 10,004 10,640
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,613) (2,295) (2,960) (3,591)
Operating EBIT 5,417 6,542 7,044 7,049
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,926) (2,722) (3,026) (2,827)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 254 238
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 3,745 4,058 4,018 4,222
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 3,745 4,058 4,018 4,222
Taxation (44) (112) (552) (537)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,701 3,946 3,466 3,685
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,701 3,946 3,466 3,685
Recurring Net Profit 3,701 3,946 3,466 3,685
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,701 3,946 3,466 3,685
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 8,030 8,837 10,004 10,640
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (4,943) (83)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,672) (2,484) (3,026) (2,827)
Tax Paid (44) (112) (552) (537)
Cashflow From Operations 1,371 6,158 6,426 7,276
Capex
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (2,238) (1,837) (2,647) (3,925)
Cash Flow From Investing (2,238) (1,837) (2,647) (3,925)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 11,421 106 (1,467) (1,636)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,644) (4,673) (2,312) (1,715)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (12,634)
Cash Flow From Financing (5,857) (4,567) (3,779) (3,351)
Total Cash Generated (6,724) (246)
Free Cashflow To Equity 10,554 4,427 2,312 1,715
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,059 7,043 6,805 6,179
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 360 1,178 2,725 5,439
Total Debtors
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 4,326 4,409 4,409 4,409
Total Current Assets 4,686 5,587 7,133 9,847
Fixed Assets 65,758 64,050 62,190 59,810
Total Investments
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 65,758 64,050 62,190 59,810
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities
Total Current Liabilities
Total Long-term Debt 30,380 30,486 29,019 27,383
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 30,380 30,486 29,019 27,383
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 30,380 30,486 29,019 27,383
Shareholders Equity 40,064 39,150 40,304 42,274
Minority Interests
Total Equity 40,064 39,150 40,304 42,274
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (18.5%) 5.5% 8.7% 8.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth (23.4%) 10.0% 13.2% 6.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 76.4% 79.7% 83.0% 81.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (51.71) (50.49) (45.30) (37.80)
BVPS (Rs) 69.02 67.44 69.43 72.82
Gross Interest Cover 2.81 2.40 2.33 2.49
Effective Tax Rate 1.2% 2.8% 13.7% 12.7%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 125.5% 118.4% 66.7% 46.5%
Accounts Receivables Days
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 10.1% 9.3% 10.3% 10.6%
ROCE (%) 8.3% 9.3% 10.1% 10.1%
Return On Average Assets 8.5% 9.5% 9.3% 9.4%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com