* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 64,920 77,806 85,079 93,082
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,421 22,418 24,583 26,965
Net Profit (Rsm) 12,295 17,448 17,953 19,612
Core EPS (Rs) 80.9 114.9 118.2 129.1
Core EPS Growth 38.0% 41.9% 2.9% 9.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 50.93 35.89 34.88 31.93
DPS (Rs) 3.1 4.4 4.5 4.9
Dividend Yield 0.08% 0.11% 0.11% 0.12%
EV/EBITDA (x) 38.51 26.62 23.75 21.06
P/FCFE (x) 93.46 221.35 45.55 39.19
Net Gearing (44.8%) (33.0%) (40.0%) (55.0%)
P/BV (x) 8.70 7.05 5.91 5.91
ROE 18.5% 21.7% 18.4% 18.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 64,920 77,806 85,079 93,082
Gross Profit 64,920 77,806 85,079 93,082
Operating EBITDA 15,421 22,418 24,583 26,965
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,265) (3,631) (4,062) (4,492)
Operating EBIT 13,156 18,787 20,521 22,473
Financial Income/(Expense) (371)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 68
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,590 600 600 600
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 14,443 19,387 21,121 23,073
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 14,443 19,387 21,121 23,073
Taxation (2,148) (1,939) (3,168) (3,461)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 12,295 17,448 17,953 19,612
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 12,295 17,448 17,953 19,612
Recurring Net Profit 12,295 17,448 17,953 19,612
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 12,295 17,448 17,953 19,612
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 15,421 22,418 24,583 26,965
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 2,050 (9,902) (2,284) 22,116
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (1,557) (302) 16 (137)
Other Operating Cashflow (3,087) (3,277) (5,736) (26,965)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (371)
Tax Paid 2,558 1,939 3,168
Cashflow From Operations 15,014 10,876 19,747 21,978
Capex (3,225) (10,676) (6,000) (6,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (1,737) 2,629
Cash Flow From Investing (4,962) (8,047) (6,000) (6,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (3,352)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,137) (667) (686)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (342)
Cash Flow From Financing (4,831) (667) (686)
Total Cash Generated 5,221 2,162 13,061 15,978
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,700 2,829 13,747 15,978
Free Cashflow To Firm 10,423 2,829 13,747 15,978
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 32,272 29,320 42,382 58,360
Total Debtors 7,720 13,449 14,706 0
Inventories 13,976 20,714 22,650 0
Total Other Current Assets 2,655 6,147 6,244 5,117
Total Current Assets 56,623 69,631 85,982 63,477
Fixed Assets 28,901 35,946 37,884 43,884
Total Investments 313 448 448 448
Intangible Assets 828 828 828 828
Total Other Non-Current Assets 482 482 482 482
Total Non-current Assets 30,524 37,704 39,642 45,642
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 8,380 13,449 14,706 0
Other Current Liabilities 3,438 4,427 4,175 2,515
Total Current Liabilities 11,818 17,876 18,882 2,515
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 678 571 571 571
Total Non-current Liabilities 678 571 571 571
Total Provisions 316 121 137
Total Liabilities 12,812 18,568 19,590 3,086
Shareholders Equity 71,985 88,767 106,034 106,034
Minority Interests
Total Equity 71,985 88,767 106,034 106,034
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 21.4% 19.8% 9.3% 9.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 29.6% 45.4% 9.7% 9.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 23.8% 28.8% 28.9% 29.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 212.44 193.01 278.99 384.17
BVPS (Rs) 473.86 584.32 697.99 697.99
Gross Interest Cover 35.46
Effective Tax Rate 14.9% 10.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 46.12 49.65 60.40 28.83
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 30.8% 31.5% 32.1% 47.0%
ROCE (%) 19.2% 23.3% 21.1% 21.2%
Return On Average Assets 15.3% 17.9% 15.4% 16.7%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com