* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 201,583 228,350 280,071 339,977
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 332 5,312 6,374 7,649
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 201,915 233,662 286,445 347,626
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (45,183) (52,138) (65,935) (86,703)
Net Profit (Rsm) 71,905 81,597 100,818 120,643
Core EPS (Rs) 191.34 217.13 268.28 321.04
Core EPS Growth 20% 13% 24% 20%
FD Core P/E (x) 14.76 13.01 10.53 8.80
DPS (Rs) 45.00 55.00 65.00 80.00
Dividend Yield 1.59% 1.95% 2.30% 2.83%
BVPS (Rs) 1,292.4 1,454.6 1,657.8 1,898.9
P/BV (x) 2.19 1.94 1.70 1.49
ROE 15.7% 15.8% 17.2% 18.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 201,583 228,350 280,071 339,977
Total Non-Interest Income 332 5,312 6,374 7,649
Operating Revenue 201,915 233,662 286,445 347,626
Total Non-Interest Expenses (54,207) (65,627) (78,049) (91,067)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 142,020 161,664 201,260 248,639
Total Provision Charges (45,183) (52,138) (65,935) (86,703)
Operating Profit After Provisions 96,836 109,526 135,326 161,936
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 96,836 109,526 135,326 161,936
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 96,836 109,526 135,326 161,936
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 96,836 109,526 135,326 161,936
Taxation (24,932) (27,929) (34,508) (41,294)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 71,905 81,597 100,818 120,643
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 71,905 81,597 100,818 120,643
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 90.8% 91.4% 92.5% 93.5%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 107.0% 104.3% 102.4% 100.9%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 2,072,941 2,518,156 3,037,398 3,659,224
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 2,072,941 2,518,156 3,037,398 3,659,224
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 2,072,941 2,518,156 3,037,398 3,659,224
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 81,336 77,910 74,655 71,563
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 118,643 116,064 113,741 111,673
Cash And Marketable Securities 108,126 90,627 44,403 12,750
Long-term Investments 106,566 110,799 117,547 124,414
Total Assets 2,406,277 2,835,646 3,313,089 3,908,062
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits 1,858,411 2,215,977 2,612,162 3,110,341
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 1,858,411 2,215,977 2,612,162 3,110,341
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 28,665 34,102 40,596 48,357
Total Liabilities 1,887,076 2,250,079 2,652,758 3,158,697
Shareholders Equity 485,684 546,612 623,003 713,583
Minority Interests
Total Equity 485,684 546,612 623,003 713,583
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 17.0% 13.3% 22.6% 21.4%
Operating Profit Growth 14.8% 13.8% 24.0% 23.1%
Pretax Profit Growth 18% 13% 24% 20%
Net Interest To Total Income 99.8% 97.7% 97.8% 97.8%
Cost Of Funds 8.61% 8.80% 8.30% 8.00%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 17.7% 17.5% 17.1% 16.8%
Net Interest Spread 9.10% 8.69% 8.78% 8.77%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 32% 32% 33% 35%
Interest Return On Average Assets 9.02% 8.71% 9.11% 9.42%
Effective Tax Rate 25.7% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 23.5% 25.3% 24.2% 24.9%
Return On Average Assets 3.22% 3.11% 3.28% 3.34%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com