* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 175,218 196,025 226,034 246,801
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 38,599 53,843 65,140 71,077
Net Profit (Rsm) 19,649 38,365 43,737 48,296
Core EPS (Rs) 24.0 38.0 43.2 47.7
Core EPS Growth 2.8% 58.2% 13.7% 10.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 39.44 24.93 21.93 19.86
DPS (Rs) 6.0 7.0 7.0 7.0
Dividend Yield 0.63% 0.74% 0.74% 0.74%
EV/EBITDA (x) 25.16 17.95 14.66 13.02
P/FCFE (x) 21.87 17.21 21.71 12.27
Net Gearing (0.1%) (2.7%) (6.9%) (15.7%)
P/BV (x) 5.48 4.84 4.09 3.48
ROE 14.1% 20.6% 20.2% 18.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 175,218 196,025 226,034 246,801
Gross Profit 112,117 133,743 163,060 176,329
Operating EBITDA 38,599 53,843 65,140 71,077
Depreciation And Amortisation (7,227) (7,641) (8,100) (8,500)
Operating EBIT 31,372 46,202 57,040 62,577
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,299) (812) (800) (800)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,866 2,841 2,400 3,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 31,939 48,231 58,640 64,777
Exceptional Items (6,042) (142)
Pre-tax Profit 25,897 48,089 58,640 64,777
Taxation (5,878) (9,775) (14,660) (16,194)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 20,019 38,314 43,980 48,583
Minority Interests (370) 51 (243) (287)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 19,649 38,365 43,737 48,296
Recurring Net Profit 24,320 38,478 43,737 48,296
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 24,320 38,478 43,737 48,296
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 38,599 53,843 65,140 71,077
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (2,358) (8,711) (23,392) (10,521)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (9,353) (12,853) (14,903) (16,481)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,299) (812) (800) (800)
Tax Paid (3,808) (15,032) (16,503) (18,681)
Cashflow From Operations 26,888 32,279 26,845 44,076
Capex (9,915) (8,829) (9,500) (10,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 16,973 23,450 17,345 34,076
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (8,632) (7,250)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (2,671) (6,210) (7,042) (7,042)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (28,347) (8,338) 1,600 39,359
Cash Flow From Financing (39,650) (21,798) (5,442) 32,317
Total Cash Generated (22,677) 1,652 11,903 66,392
Free Cashflow To Equity 43,861 55,729 44,189 78,151
Free Cashflow To Firm 45,160 56,541 44,989 78,951
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 11,924 13,576 25,479 91,871
Total Debtors 44,168 52,202 56,509 49,360
Inventories 34,133 34,419 45,207 56,764
Total Other Current Assets 9,939 14,817 22,603 24,680
Total Current Assets 100,164 115,014 149,797 222,676
Fixed Assets 68,267 69,148 70,548 72,048
Total Investments 9,273 9,680 9,680 9,680
Intangible Assets 58,949 78,770 78,770 78,770
Total Other Non-Current Assets 20,911 20,196 20,196 20,196
Total Non-current Assets 157,400 177,794 179,194 180,694
Short-term Debt 11,632 7,686 7,686 7,686
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 21,250 21,267 21,534 21,182
Other Current Liabilities 22,425 24,466 23,687 20,005
Total Current Liabilities 55,307 53,419 52,907 48,873
Total Long-term Debt 37,159
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 5,374 18,373 18,373 18,373
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,374 18,373 18,373 55,532
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 60,681 71,792 71,280 104,405
Shareholders Equity 175,158 198,295 234,747 275,714
Minority Interests 21,725 22,721 22,964 23,251
Total Equity 196,883 221,016 257,711 298,965
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 14.8% 11.9% 15.3% 9.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 15.5% 39.5% 21.0% 9.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.0% 27.5% 28.8% 28.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 0.29 5.82 17.58 46.46
BVPS (Rs) 173.05 195.90 231.92 272.39
Gross Interest Cover 24.15 56.90 71.30 78.22
Effective Tax Rate 22.7% 20.3% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 80.79 89.72 87.77 78.29
Inventory Days 206.29 200.87 230.76 264.07
Accounts Payables Days 123.29 124.58 124.04 110.62
ROIC (%) 12.2% 15.4% 17.2% 18.0%
ROCE (%) 14.2% 21.1% 23.1% 20.5%
Return On Average Assets 10.1% 14.2% 14.3% 13.4%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com