* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 743,057 808,853 951,571 1,152,435
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 229,578 287,417 331,629 385,051
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 972,635 1,096,270 1,283,200 1,537,486
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (36,429) (47,159) (69,415) (107,696)
Net Profit (Rsm) 408,883 466,637 535,379 626,720
Core EPS (Rs) 57.33 65.43 75.07 87.87
Core EPS Growth 28% 14% 15% 17%
FD Core P/E (x) 21.79 19.09 16.64 14.21
DPS (Rs) 10.00 13.00 15.00 18.00
Dividend Yield 0.80% 1.04% 1.20% 1.44%
BVPS (Rs) 334.3 386.7 446.8 516.6
P/BV (x) 3.74 3.23 2.80 2.42
ROE 18.6% 18.2% 18.0% 18.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 743,057 808,853 951,571 1,152,435
Total Non-Interest Income 229,578 287,417 331,629 385,051
Operating Revenue 972,635 1,096,270 1,283,200 1,537,486
Total Non-Interest Expenses (374,701) (425,722) (497,350) (591,019)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 581,308 665,222 781,355 941,100
Total Provision Charges (36,429) (47,159) (69,415) (107,696)
Operating Profit After Provisions 544,878 618,063 711,941 833,404
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 544,878 618,063 711,941 833,404
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 544,878 618,063 711,941 833,404
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 544,878 618,063 711,941 833,404
Taxation (135,996) (151,425) (176,561) (206,684)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 408,883 466,637 535,379 626,720
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 408,883 466,637 535,379 626,720
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 85.0% 84.5% 85.8% 87.4%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 71.3% 72.0% 73.4% 73.9%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 111.8% 113.1% 113.2% 111.1%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 11,844,060 13,615,558 15,925,261 18,871,074
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 11,844,060 13,615,558 15,925,261 18,871,074
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 11,844,060 13,615,558 15,925,261 18,871,074
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 743,801 726,452 754,722 789,406
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 852,399 836,088 873,521 918,319
Cash And Marketable Securities 1,399,260 1,948,217 1,954,742 1,924,522
Long-term Investments 4,619,423 4,885,272 5,555,336 6,345,029
Total Assets 18,715,142 21,285,136 24,308,860 28,058,944
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 14,128,250 16,018,184 18,399,636 21,398,932
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 1,249,676 1,357,190 1,438,901 1,539,719
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 15,377,925 17,375,374 19,838,538 22,938,652
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 953,227 1,151,849 1,284,012 1,435,640
Total Liabilities 16,331,153 18,527,222 21,122,550 24,374,292
Shareholders Equity 2,383,993 2,757,913 3,186,311 3,684,654
Minority Interests
Total Equity 2,383,993 2,757,913 3,186,311 3,684,654
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 19.6% 8.9% 17.6% 21.1%
Operating Profit Growth 21.8% 12.1% 17.2% 20.4%
Pretax Profit Growth 28% 13% 15% 17%
Net Interest To Total Income 76.4% 73.8% 74.2% 75.0%
Cost Of Funds 4.83% 5.08% 4.76% 4.36%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 13.0% 12.9% 12.4% 12.0%
Net Interest Spread 8.13% 7.81% 7.68% 7.62%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 5.73% 5.37% 5.53% 5.79%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 6% 7% 9% 11%
Interest Return On Average Assets 4.30% 4.04% 4.17% 4.40%
Effective Tax Rate 25.0% 24.5% 24.8% 24.8%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 2.37% 2.33% 2.35% 2.39%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com