* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 35,781 38,653 41,818 45,826
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,495 10,639 11,603 12,787
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,235 9,224 10,097 11,182
Core EPS (Rs) 16.6 19.3 21.3 23.8
Core EPS Growth 14.6% 16.3% 10.4% 11.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 39.01 30.44 27.80 25.11
DPS (Rs) 8.0 11.0 11.0 11.0
Dividend Yield 1.24% 1.71% 1.71% 1.71%
EV/EBITDA (x) 29.45 25.98 23.72 21.48
P/FCFE (x) 41.37 57.86 62.08 73.88
Net Gearing (10.9%) (15.4%) (16.8%) (15.7%)
P/BV (x) 11.47 9.68 8.20 6.91
ROE 30.7% 31.6% 29.4% 27.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 35,781 38,653 41,818 45,826
Gross Profit 24,176 26,444 28,945 32,086
Operating EBITDA 9,495 10,639 11,603 12,787
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,918) (1,060) (1,117) (1,175)
Operating EBIT 7,577 9,579 10,486 11,613
Financial Income/(Expense) 368 322 367 422
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,004 9,060 10,014 11,195
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 7,945 9,900 10,854 12,035
Taxation (667) (577) (657) (753)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,279 9,324 10,197 11,282
Minority Interests (43) (100) (100) (100)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,235 9,224 10,097 11,182
Recurring Net Profit 7,289 8,433 9,308 10,395
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,289 8,433 9,308 10,395
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 9,495 10,639 11,603 12,787
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (373) (4,163) (5,452) (3,317)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 468 445 490 546
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (100) (123) (123) (123)
Tax Paid (667) (577) (657) (753)
Cashflow From Operations 8,824 6,221 5,862 9,140
Capex (554) (1,240) (1,340) (1,340)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,482) (4,000)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (2,036) (1,240) (1,340) (5,340)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 34 (129)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (3,492) (4,802) (4,802) (4,802)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,164) 1,643 1,576 1,656
Cash Flow From Financing (6,622) (3,288) (3,226) (3,146)
Total Cash Generated 166 1,693 1,297 654
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,822 4,852 4,522 3,800
Free Cashflow To Firm 6,888 5,104 4,645 3,923
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 3,624 5,317 6,614 7,268
Total Debtors 4,942 6,295 8,046 9,468
Inventories 3,234 5,901 7,405 9,177
Total Other Current Assets 2,601 3,748 6,006 6,574
Total Current Assets 14,401 21,261 28,071 32,486
Fixed Assets 11,212 10,552 9,935 9,260
Total Investments 2,805 2,805 2,805 6,805
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,379 3,677 2,911 2,065
Total Non-current Assets 18,396 17,033 15,651 18,130
Short-term Debt 785 656 656 656
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 4,546 4,757 4,819 5,263
Other Current Liabilities 1,370 1,348 1,348 1,348
Total Current Liabilities 6,701 6,761 6,823 7,267
Total Long-term Debt 154 154 154 154
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 154 154 154 154
Total Provisions 1,365 2,179 2,179 2,179
Total Liabilities 8,220 9,095 9,157 9,601
Shareholders Equity 24,466 28,988 34,254 40,604
Minority Interests 111 211 311 411
Total Equity 24,577 29,199 34,565 41,015
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.1% 8.0% 8.2% 9.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 10.1% 12.0% 9.1% 10.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.5% 27.5% 27.7% 27.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 6.15 10.32 13.29 14.79
BVPS (Rs) 56.05 66.41 78.47 93.02
Gross Interest Cover 76.52 71.03 78.40 87.56
Effective Tax Rate 8.4% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 47.9% 57.3% 51.9% 46.4%
Accounts Receivables Days 46.35 53.06 62.59 69.75
Inventory Days 102.44 136.54 188.64 220.24
Accounts Payables Days 135.51 139.06 135.76 133.91
ROIC (%) 37.3% 36.3% 34.3% 36.0%
ROCE (%) 30.9% 29.1% 29.0% 28.4%
Return On Average Assets 21.8% 23.0% 21.9% 21.2%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com