* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 35,781 38,330 41,429 45,370
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,495 10,483 11,441 12,631
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,235 9,042 9,902 10,984
Core EPS (Rs) 16.6 18.9 20.9 23.4
Core EPS Growth 14.6% 13.8% 10.4% 11.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 35.60 28.34 25.88 23.33
DPS (Rs) 8.0 11.0 11.0 11.0
Dividend Yield 1.36% 1.87% 1.87% 1.87%
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.86 24.04 21.96 19.86
P/FCFE (x) 37.76 53.92 62.06 69.65
Net Gearing (10.9%) (15.1%) (15.3%) (14.2%)
P/BV (x) 10.47 8.89 7.56 6.40
ROE 30.7% 31.0% 29.1% 27.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 35,781 38,330 41,429 45,370
Gross Profit 24,176 26,434 28,904 32,016
Operating EBITDA 9,495 10,483 11,441 12,631
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,918) (1,060) (1,117) (1,175)
Operating EBIT 7,577 9,423 10,324 11,457
Financial Income/(Expense) 368 322 367 422
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,004 8,905 9,852 11,039
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 7,945 9,745 10,692 11,879
Taxation (667) (603) (690) (795)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,279 9,142 10,002 11,084
Minority Interests (43) (100) (100) (100)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,235 9,042 9,902 10,984
Recurring Net Profit 7,289 8,254 9,116 10,200
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,289 8,254 9,116 10,200
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 9,495 10,483 11,441 12,631
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (373) (4,081) (5,651) (3,240)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 468 445 490 546
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (100) (123) (123) (123)
Tax Paid (667) (603) (690) (795)
Cashflow From Operations 8,824 6,121 5,468 9,019
Capex (554) (1,240) (1,340) (1,340)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,482) (4,000)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (2,036) (1,240) (1,340) (5,340)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 34 (129)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (3,492) (4,802) (4,802) (4,802)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,164) 1,610 1,538 1,614
Cash Flow From Financing (6,622) (3,321) (3,263) (3,188)
Total Cash Generated 166 1,560 865 491
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,822 4,752 4,128 3,679
Free Cashflow To Firm 6,888 5,004 4,251 3,802
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 3,624 5,184 6,050 6,541
Total Debtors 4,942 6,573 8,474 9,903
Inventories 3,234 5,869 7,452 9,171
Total Other Current Assets 2,601 3,584 5,734 6,269
Total Current Assets 14,401 21,210 27,710 31,884
Fixed Assets 11,212 10,552 9,935 9,260
Total Investments 2,805 2,805 2,805 6,805
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,379 3,710 2,981 2,177
Total Non-current Assets 18,396 17,066 15,721 18,242
Short-term Debt 785 656 656 656
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 4,546 4,921 4,905 5,348
Other Current Liabilities 1,370 1,348 1,348 1,348
Total Current Liabilities 6,701 6,926 6,909 7,352
Total Long-term Debt 154 154 154 154
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 154 154 154 154
Total Provisions 1,365 2,179 2,179 2,179
Total Liabilities 8,220 9,259 9,243 9,686
Shareholders Equity 24,466 28,806 33,877 40,029
Minority Interests 111 211 311 411
Total Equity 24,577 29,017 34,188 40,440
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.1% 7.1% 8.1% 9.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 10.1% 10.4% 9.1% 10.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.5% 27.4% 27.6% 27.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 6.15 10.02 12.00 13.13
BVPS (Rs) 56.05 65.99 77.61 91.71
Gross Interest Cover 76.52 69.76 77.09 86.29
Effective Tax Rate 8.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 47.9% 58.5% 53.0% 47.3%
Accounts Receivables Days 46.35 54.83 66.28 73.92
Inventory Days 102.44 139.65 194.09 227.17
Accounts Payables Days 135.51 145.24 143.17 140.11
ROIC (%) 37.3% 35.7% 33.5% 35.3%
ROCE (%) 30.9% 30.9% 31.3% 31.4%
Return On Average Assets 21.8% 22.5% 21.5% 21.0%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com