* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 77,675 78,450 91,940 106,917
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 23,669 22,030 28,733 36,837
Net Profit (Rsm) 18,225 16,000 21,077 27,080
Core EPS (Rs) 68.7 60.3 79.4 102.0
Core EPS Growth (38.4%) (12.2%) 31.7% 28.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 82.53 94.01 71.36 55.54
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 61.74 66.43 50.89 39.41
P/FCFE (x) 33.83 99.02 57.00 47.42
Net Gearing (33.0%) (29.3%) (27.7%) (30.3%)
P/BV (x) 11.78 11.08 10.11 8.82
ROE 14.9% 12.1% 14.8% 17.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 77,675 78,450 91,940 106,917
Gross Profit 47,138 47,160 55,164 65,647
Operating EBITDA 23,669 22,030 28,733 36,837
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,432) (3,780) (4,300) (4,700)
Operating EBIT 20,237 18,250 24,433 32,137
Financial Income/(Expense) (7) (30) (30) (30)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 3,447 3,410 3,700 4,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 23,677 21,630 28,103 36,107
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 23,677 21,630 28,103 36,107
Taxation (5,453) (5,630) (7,026) (9,027)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 18,225 16,000 21,077 27,080
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 18,225 16,000 21,077 27,080
Recurring Net Profit 18,225 16,000 21,077 27,080
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 18,225 16,000 21,077 27,080
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 23,669 22,030 28,733 36,837
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 4,188 (6,070) (1,013) (7,950)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (3,260) (3,350) (7,026) (9,027)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (7) (30) (30) (30)
Tax Paid (6,709) (6,730) (10,696) (12,997)
Cashflow From Operations 24,597 12,610 20,695 19,861
Capex (4,730) (10,030) (15,000) (8,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 19,867 2,580 5,695 11,861
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (7,964) (7,960) (7,964) (5,309)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 2,039 3,049 3,819 3,992
Cash Flow From Financing (5,925) (4,911) (4,145) (1,318)
Total Cash Generated 13,942 (2,331) 1,549 10,543
Free Cashflow To Equity 44,465 15,190 26,389 31,722
Free Cashflow To Firm 44,471 15,220 26,419 31,752
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 42,131 39,800 41,349 51,893
Total Debtors 17,925 21,560 22,066 25,660
Inventories 30,004 31,840 31,259 36,352
Total Other Current Assets 3,057 3,550 3,678 4,277
Total Current Assets 93,117 96,750 98,352 118,181
Fixed Assets 49,292 55,130 65,830 69,130
Total Investments 771 820 820 820
Intangible Assets 53 40 40 40
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,155 1,960 1,960 1,960
Total Non-current Assets 51,270 57,950 68,650 71,950
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 7,625 8,240 8,223 9,152
Other Current Liabilities 3,386 4,540 3,597 4,004
Total Current Liabilities 11,011 12,780 11,820 13,156
Total Long-term Debt 149 171
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 5,706 6,210 6,210 6,210
Total Non-current Liabilities 5,706 6,210 6,359 6,381
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 16,717 18,990 18,179 19,537
Shareholders Equity 127,671 135,710 148,823 170,594
Minority Interests
Total Equity 127,671 135,710 148,823 170,594
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (13.3%) 1.0% 17.2% 16.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth (39.0%) (6.9%) 30.4% 28.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 30.5% 28.1% 31.3% 34.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 158.70 149.92 155.20 194.83
BVPS (Rs) 480.93 511.21 560.61 642.62
Gross Interest Cover 3,020.51 608.33 814.43 1,071.24
Effective Tax Rate 23.0% 26.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 99.07 91.86 86.60 81.46
Inventory Days 348.36 360.71 313.13 298.98
Accounts Payables Days 93.12 92.53 81.70 76.83
ROIC (%) 16.7% 13.5% 16.2% 19.3%
ROCE (%) 16.5% 13.9% 17.2% 20.1%
Return On Average Assets 13.1% 10.7% 13.1% 15.2%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com