* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 51,172 52,710 62,690 73,168
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,413 10,022 11,975 14,132
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,794 6,958 8,482 10,088
Core EPS (Rs) 16.7 17.1 20.9 24.9
Core EPS Growth 8.9% 2.4% 21.9% 18.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 56.67 55.33 45.39 38.17
DPS (Rs) 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5
Dividend Yield 1.06% 1.11% 1.16% 1.21%
EV/EBITDA (x) 39.71 37.14 30.85 25.84
P/FCFE (x) 190.11 73.62 58.56 48.82
Net Gearing (34.8%) (36.5%) (40.1%) (44.6%)
P/BV (x) 11.95 11.03 9.89 8.68
ROE 21.9% 20.7% 23.0% 24.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 51,172 52,710 62,690 73,168
Gross Profit 13,498 14,434 16,954 19,761
Operating EBITDA 9,413 10,022 11,975 14,132
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,059) (1,164) (1,334) (1,537)
Operating EBIT 8,354 8,858 10,641 12,595
Financial Income/(Expense) 966 566 744 945
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 9,320 9,423 11,385 13,540
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 9,320 9,423 11,385 13,540
Taxation (2,527) (2,465) (2,903) (3,453)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,794 6,958 8,482 10,088
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,794 6,958 8,482 10,088
Recurring Net Profit 6,794 6,958 8,482 10,088
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,794 6,958 8,482 10,088
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 9,413 10,022 11,975 14,132
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (4,071) (1,347) (1,517) (1,593)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (1,011)
Other Operating Cashflow 1,638
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (3,026) (2,465) (2,903) (3,453)
Cashflow From Operations 2,943 6,210 7,555 9,086
Capex (918) (980) (980) (1,200)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 4,855 751 927 1,129
Cash Flow From Investing 3,936 (229) (53) (71)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,990) (4,260) (4,463) (4,666)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (578) (185) (184) (184)
Cash Flow From Financing (5,568) (4,445) (4,646) (4,849)
Total Cash Generated 1,312 1,535 2,856 4,166
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,025 5,230 6,575 7,886
Free Cashflow To Firm 6,880 5,980 7,502 9,015
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 13,795 15,330 18,186 22,352
Total Debtors 11,479 13,283 15,798 18,438
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 14,457 14,457 14,457 14,457
Total Current Assets 39,730 43,070 48,441 55,247
Fixed Assets 3,103 2,919 2,565 2,228
Total Investments
Intangible Assets 8,403 8,403 8,403 8,403
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,548 4,548 4,548 4,548
Total Non-current Assets 16,053 15,869 15,515 15,178
Short-term Debt 524 524 524 524
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 4,814 5,271 6,269 7,317
Other Current Liabilities 15,891 15,891 15,891 15,891
Total Current Liabilities 21,228 21,686 22,684 23,731
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component 2,050 2,050 2,050 2,050
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 8 8 8 8
Total Non-current Liabilities 2,058 2,058 2,058 2,058
Total Provisions 289 289 289 289
Total Liabilities 23,575 24,032 25,030 26,078
Shareholders Equity 32,208 34,906 38,925 44,347
Minority Interests
Total Equity 32,208 34,906 38,925 44,347
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 15.9% 3.0% 18.9% 16.7%
Operating EBITDA Growth 14.7% 6.5% 19.5% 18.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 18.4% 19.0% 19.1% 19.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 27.63 31.41 38.45 48.71
BVPS (Rs) 79.35 86.00 95.90 109.26
Gross Interest Cover 44.18 47.88 57.96 68.60
Effective Tax Rate 27.1% 26.2% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 60.0% 61.2% 52.6% 46.2%
Accounts Receivables Days 80.39 85.73 84.66 85.39
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 55.18 48.08 46.05 46.42
ROIC (%) 36.4% 30.7% 35.3% 39.7%
ROCE (%) 18.1% 18.1% 20.1% 21.2%
Return On Average Assets 11.3% 11.4% 12.9% 14.0%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com