* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 176,911 380,718 492,286 616,838
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 6,978 14,306 19,096 25,380
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,649 8,900 10,717 14,897
Core EPS (Rs) 61.0 121.9 179.2 249.1
Core EPS Growth 43.3% 99.8% 47.1% 39.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 220.45 90.37 75.05 53.99
DPS (Rs) 64.4 116.6 182.3 252.5
Dividend Yield 0.02% 0.04% 0.06% 0.08%
EV/EBITDA (x) 115.07 56.14 42.10 31.62
P/FCFE (x) 89.90 64.73 36.65 28.52
Net Gearing (9.7%) (5.9%) (1.7%) (3.8%)
P/BV (x) 47.46 30.42 21.28 15.08
ROE 24.5% 33.6% 33.4% 32.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 176,911 380,718 492,286 616,838
Gross Profit 16,521 31,510 46,376 58,109
Operating EBITDA 6,978 14,306 19,096 25,380
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,619) (2,719) (3,001) (3,753)
Operating EBIT 5,359 11,586 16,095 21,627
Financial Income/(Expense) (747) (1,498) (1,527) (1,810)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 226 256 333 433
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 4,838 10,345 14,901 20,251
Exceptional Items 2,096
Pre-tax Profit 4,838 12,441 14,901 20,251
Taxation (1,189) (2,872) (3,502) (4,658)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,649 9,569 11,399 15,593
Minority Interests (669) (682) (696)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,649 8,900 10,717 14,897
Recurring Net Profit 3,649 7,288 10,717 14,897
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,649 7,288 10,717 14,897
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 4,838 12,441 14,901 20,251
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (119) (5,994) (3,915) (7,079)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 747 1,498 1,527 1,810
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 1,619 2,719 3,001 3,753
Tax Paid 7,061 10,664 15,514 18,735
Cashflow From Operations 14,146 21,329 31,028 37,469
Capex (5,844) (8,902) (9,080) (9,262)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 159
Cash Flow From Investing (5,686) (8,902) (9,080) (9,262)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 469
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (494) (1,498) (1,527) (1,810)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (455) 574 8 (4)
Cash Flow From Financing (480) (924) (1,519) (1,814)
Total Cash Generated 7,980 11,503 20,428 26,394
Free Cashflow To Equity 8,929 12,427 21,947 28,207
Free Cashflow To Firm 6,841 9,707 18,946 24,454
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 2,087 2,202 1,596 3,465
Total Debtors 23,199 48,001 63,410 84,518
Inventories 16,950 36,507 48,554 62,529
Total Other Current Assets 6,127 7,353 9,559 12,426
Total Current Assets 48,363 94,063 123,120 162,938
Fixed Assets 32,392 39,099 49,335 57,596
Total Investments 200 180 144 115
Intangible Assets 344 346 348 350
Total Other Non-Current Assets 705 681 679 681
Total Non-current Assets 33,641 40,306 50,506 58,743
Short-term Debt 424 636 955 1,432
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 40,598 76,539 97,734 122,461
Other Current Liabilities 6,012 7,815 10,160 13,207
Total Current Liabilities 47,033 84,990 108,848 137,101
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 4,248 6,144 8,497 11,793
Total Non-current Liabilities 4,248 6,144 8,497 11,793
Total Provisions 63 82 107 139
Total Liabilities 51,344 91,216 117,452 149,032
Shareholders Equity 16,949 26,446 37,790 53,346
Minority Interests 276 276 276 276
Total Equity 17,225 26,722 38,066 53,622
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 45.1% 115.2% 29.3% 25.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth 36.1% 105.0% 33.5% 32.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 4.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 27.80 26.18 10.73 34.00
BVPS (Rs) 283.42 442.24 631.94 892.07
Gross Interest Cover 7.17 7.74 10.54 11.95
Effective Tax Rate 24.6% 23.1% 23.5% 23.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 41.61 34.11 41.29 43.75
Inventory Days 30.19 27.94 34.81 36.28
Accounts Payables Days 74.09 61.22 71.33 71.92
ROIC (%) 12.1% 18.2% 18.8% 19.6%
ROCE (%) 34.7% 51.5% 48.5% 46.0%
Return On Average Assets 6.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com