* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue (Rsm) 60,402 63,458 68,042 73,155
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 19,581 20,651 22,232 24,015
Net Profit (Rsm) 14,368 15,452 16,647 17,996
Core EPS (Rs) 52.8 56.8 61.2 66.2
Core EPS Growth 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 46.05 42.82 39.75 36.77
DPS (Rs) 50.2 54.0 58.1 62.9
Dividend Yield 2.46% 2.22% 2.39% 2.58%
EV/EBITDA (x) 33.26 31.58 29.31 27.11
P/FCFE (x) 48.25 47.76 40.42 37.18
Net Gearing (62.1%) (54.5%) (54.9%) (55.8%)
P/BV (x) 39.75 37.99 36.25 34.55
ROE 81.2% 90.7% 93.3% 96.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Net Revenues 60,402 63,458 68,042 73,155
Gross Profit 42,219 44,038 47,287 50,913
Operating EBITDA 19,581 20,651 22,232 24,015
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,627) (1,584) (1,654) (1,728)
Operating EBIT 17,953 19,066 20,577 22,288
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,281 1,579 1,666 1,761
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 64 67 71 74
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 19,298 20,713 22,315 24,123
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 19,298 20,713 22,315 24,123
Taxation (4,930) (5,261) (5,668) (6,127)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 14,368 15,452 16,647 17,996
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 14,368 15,452 16,647 17,996
Recurring Net Profit 14,368 15,452 16,647 17,996
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 14,368 15,452 16,647 17,996
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
EBITDA 19,581 20,651 22,232 24,015
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,441) (1,707) 37 36
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 1,388 1,702 1,799 1,904
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (43) (55) (62) (68)
Tax Paid (4,930) (5,261) (5,668) (6,127)
Cashflow From Operations 14,554 15,329 18,338 19,760
Capex (733) (1,500) (2,000) (2,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (733) (1,500) (2,000) (2,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (109) 24 32 33
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (16,262) (14,679) (15,814) (17,096)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (280) (55) (62) (68)
Cash Flow From Financing (16,651) (14,710) (15,845) (17,131)
Total Cash Generated (2,830) (881) 494 629
Free Cashflow To Equity 13,712 13,853 16,370 17,793
Free Cashflow To Firm 13,865 13,884 16,400 17,828
(Rs mn) Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Total Cash And Equivalents 10,951 10,125 10,681 11,378
Total Debtors 2,263 1,217 1,305 1,403
Inventories 3,773 2,434 2,610 2,806
Total Other Current Assets 4,371 6,085 6,525 7,015
Total Current Assets 21,357 19,862 21,120 22,602
Fixed Assets 8,149 8,064 8,410 8,682
Total Investments
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 680 680 680 680
Total Non-current Assets 8,828 8,744 9,089 9,362
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 11,618 9,382 10,041 10,770
Total Current Liabilities 11,618 9,382 10,041 10,770
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 608 633 664 698
Total Non-current Liabilities 608 633 664 698
Total Provisions 1,315 1,173 1,255 1,346
Total Liabilities 13,541 11,188 11,960 12,814
Shareholders Equity 16,645 17,417 18,250 19,149
Minority Interests
Total Equity 16,645 17,417 18,250 19,149
Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F Mar-28F
Revenue Growth 6.3% 5.1% 7.2% 7.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 3.0% 5.5% 7.7% 8.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 32.4% 32.5% 32.7% 32.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 38.03 34.90 36.83 39.27
BVPS (Rs) 61.19 64.03 67.09 70.40
Gross Interest Cover 415.58 346.66 331.89 327.76
Effective Tax Rate 25.5% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 113.2% 95.0% 95.0% 95.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 11.89 10.01 6.76 6.76
Inventory Days 67.62 58.33 44.35 44.44
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 235.7% 209.6% 216.9% 227.1%
ROCE (%) 103.6% 115.8% 119.3% 123.1%
Return On Average Assets 42.1% 47.2% 50.9% 52.2%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com