* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 56,804 60,805 65,243 70,910
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 19,008 20,115 21,872 23,849
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,432 14,367 15,875 17,330
Core EPS (Rs) 49.4 52.8 58.4 63.7
Core EPS Growth 26.9% 7.0% 10.5% 9.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 47.89 44.77 40.51 37.11
DPS (Rs) 46.9 50.2 55.4 60.5
Dividend Yield 1.81% 2.12% 2.34% 2.56%
EV/EBITDA (x) 33.15 31.42 28.87 26.45
P/FCFE (x) 38.47 54.91 40.77 37.35
Net Gearing (69.5%) (56.8%) (57.9%) (58.9%)
P/BV (x) 34.31 33.05 31.75 30.45
ROE 74.8% 75.2% 79.9% 83.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 56,804 60,805 65,243 70,910
Gross Profit 39,575 42,544 45,845 50,040
Operating EBITDA 19,008 20,115 21,872 23,849
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,715) (1,754) (1,724) (1,809)
Operating EBIT 17,293 18,361 20,148 22,039
Financial Income/(Expense) 680 861 1,093 1,150
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 35 37 39 41
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 18,008 19,259 21,280 23,231
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 18,008 19,259 21,280 23,231
Taxation (4,577) (4,892) (5,405) (5,901)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,432 14,367 15,875 17,330
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,432 14,367 15,875 17,330
Recurring Net Profit 13,432 14,367 15,875 17,330
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,432 14,367 15,875 17,330
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 19,008 20,115 21,872 23,849
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 2,544 (2,930) (353) 41
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 765 938 1,162 1,231
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (50) (40) (30) (40)
Tax Paid (4,577) (4,892) (5,405) (5,901)
Cashflow From Operations 17,691 13,191 17,246 19,180
Capex (1,000) (1,500) (1,500) (2,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (1,000) (1,500) (1,500) (2,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 28 22 30 38
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (11,670) (13,649) (15,081) (16,464)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (591) (40) (30) (40)
Cash Flow From Financing (12,233) (13,667) (15,082) (16,465)
Total Cash Generated 4,458 (1,977) 664 715
Free Cashflow To Equity 16,719 11,712 15,776 17,219
Free Cashflow To Firm 16,741 11,731 15,776 17,220
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 13,738 11,801 12,495 13,250
Total Debtors 1,674 1,000 1,251 1,360
Inventories 2,964 2,166 2,502 2,720
Total Other Current Assets 3,898 5,831 6,256 6,800
Total Current Assets 22,274 20,797 22,505 24,130
Fixed Assets 9,043 8,790 8,566 8,756
Total Investments
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 648 648 648 648
Total Non-current Assets 9,691 9,437 9,213 9,404
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 11,302 8,918 9,506 10,315
Total Current Liabilities 11,302 8,918 9,506 10,315
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 718 739 769 807
Total Non-current Liabilities 718 739 769 807
Total Provisions 1,202 1,115 1,188 1,289
Total Liabilities 13,222 10,772 11,463 12,411
Shareholders Equity 18,744 19,462 20,256 21,122
Minority Interests
Total Equity 18,744 19,462 20,256 21,122
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 8.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.7%
Operating EBITDA Growth 22.9% 5.8% 8.7% 9.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 33.5% 33.1% 33.5% 33.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 47.87 40.67 43.11 45.75
BVPS (Rs) 68.91 71.55 74.47 77.66
Gross Interest Cover 345.86 459.03 671.61 550.98
Effective Tax Rate 25.4% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 86.9% 95.0% 95.0% 95.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 10.43 8.02 6.30 6.72
Inventory Days 66.93 51.27 43.92 45.67
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 249.7% 193.0% 207.3% 221.1%
ROCE (%) 95.8% 96.4% 102.5% 107.5%
Return On Average Assets 41.9% 43.4% 47.7% 49.6%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com