* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 199,589 207,464 227,220 243,269
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 30,617 27,402 34,913 39,974
Net Profit (Rsm) 23,365 15,481 20,412 23,557
Core EPS (Rs) 113.9 82.3 108.6 125.3
Core EPS Growth 113.3% (27.7%) 31.9% 15.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 17.59 26.54 20.13 17.44
DPS (Rs) 7.5 7.4 9.8 11.3
Dividend Yield 0.47% 0.34% 0.45% 0.52%
EV/EBITDA (x) 12.57 13.81 10.65 9.02
P/FCFE (x) 21.96 53.20 48.56 30.94
Net Gearing (16.1%) (18.3%) (19.9%) (23.2%)
P/BV (x) 2.52 2.32 2.10 1.89
ROE 14.1% 9.1% 10.9% 11.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 199,589 207,464 227,220 243,269
Gross Profit 199,589 207,464 227,220 243,269
Operating EBITDA 30,617 27,402 34,913 39,974
Depreciation And Amortisation (8,831) (9,626) (10,203) (10,816)
Operating EBIT 21,786 17,776 24,709 29,159
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,546) (1,391) (1,461) (1,534)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 129 149 169 189
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 4,929 4,140 3,850 3,658
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 25,297 20,674 27,268 31,472
Exceptional Items 2,296
Pre-tax Profit 27,593 20,674 27,268 31,472
Taxation (4,228) (5,193) (6,856) (7,914)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 23,365 15,481 20,412 23,557
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 23,365 15,481 20,412 23,557
Recurring Net Profit 21,421 15,481 20,412 23,557
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 21,421 15,481 20,412 23,557
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 30,617 27,402 34,913 39,974
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 1,331 (2,685) (4,485) (4,406)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 4,929 4,140 3,850 3,658
Other Operating Cashflow (5,985)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,546) (1,391) (1,461) (1,534)
Tax Paid 1,819 (5,193) (6,856) (7,914)
Cashflow From Operations 31,165 22,273 25,961 29,778
Capex (13,490) (17,000) (16,000) (15,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 1,039 2,451 (1,500) (1,500)
Cash Flow From Investing (12,451) (14,549) (17,500) (16,500)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,410) (1,393) (1,837) (2,120)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,022) (51) (31) 189
Cash Flow From Financing (4,432) (1,444) (1,868) (1,931)
Total Cash Generated 14,282 6,280 6,593 11,347
Free Cashflow To Equity 18,714 7,724 8,461 13,278
Free Cashflow To Firm 20,259 9,115 9,921 14,812
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 26,216 32,495 39,088 50,435
Total Debtors 8,275 10,231 10,583 10,664
Inventories 18,686 19,325 21,166 22,661
Total Other Current Assets 44,085 43,567 51,125 58,384
Total Current Assets 97,261 105,619 121,961 142,144
Fixed Assets 91,661 99,035 104,832 109,016
Total Investments 519 519 519 519
Intangible Assets 13,820 15,320 16,820 18,320
Total Other Non-Current Assets 30,417 26,466 26,466 26,466
Total Non-current Assets 136,416 141,340 148,636 154,320
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 19,249 18,869 20,182 21,403
Other Current Liabilities 41,720 41,493 45,444 48,654
Total Current Liabilities 60,968 60,362 65,626 70,056
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 9,390 9,190 8,990 8,990
Total Non-current Liabilities 9,390 9,190 8,990 8,990
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 70,359 69,553 74,616 79,047
Shareholders Equity 163,282 177,370 195,945 217,382
Minority Interests 36 36 36 36
Total Equity 163,319 177,406 195,981 217,418
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (10.1%) 3.9% 9.5% 7.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 59.1% (10.5%) 27.4% 14.5%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.3% 13.2% 15.4% 16.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 139.45 172.86 207.93 268.29
BVPS (Rs) 868.57 943.51 1,042.31 1,156.35
Gross Interest Cover 14.09 12.78 16.92 19.01
Effective Tax Rate 15.3% 25.1% 25.1% 25.1%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 9.3% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 15.51 16.28 16.72 15.94
Inventory Days 31.94 33.44 32.52 32.88
Accounts Payables Days 36.92 38.63 37.06 37.33
ROIC (%) 14.9% 11.6% 14.9% 16.6%
ROCE (%) 14.3% 10.4% 13.2% 14.1%
Return On Average Assets 10.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.8%

Analyst(s)

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com