* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 20,169 22,266 24,715 27,775
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 4,899 6,093 6,871 7,888
Net Profit (Rsm) 2,389 3,577 4,320 5,055
Core EPS (Rs) 28.6 42.8 51.7 60.5
Core EPS Growth (30.7%) 49.7% 20.8% 17.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 87.38 58.36 48.33 41.30
DPS (Rs) 12.0 24.0 24.0 24.0
Dividend Yield 0.48% 0.96% 0.97% 0.97%
EV/EBITDA (x) 41.50 32.85 28.70 24.45
P/FCFE (x) 350.27 58.35 49.23 35.82
Net Gearing (34.1%) (46.5%) (55.9%) (67.2%)
P/BV (x) 12.53 11.29 10.06 8.80
ROE 15.1% 20.3% 22.0% 22.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 20,169 22,266 24,715 27,775
Gross Profit 15,697 17,752 19,852 22,248
Operating EBITDA 4,899 6,093 6,871 7,888
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,502) (1,436) (1,405) (1,420)
Operating EBIT 3,397 4,657 5,466 6,468
Financial Income/(Expense) (375) (294) (233) (250)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 417 692 906 900
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 3,439 5,055 6,139 7,118
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 3,439 5,055 6,139 7,118
Taxation (1,028) (1,432) (1,760) (1,993)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 2,411 3,623 4,380 5,125
Minority Interests (22) (46) (60) (70)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 2,389 3,577 4,320 5,055
Recurring Net Profit 2,389 3,577 4,320 5,055
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 2,389 3,577 4,320 5,055
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 4,899 6,093 6,871 7,888
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 355 357 (105) 553
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 417 692 800 950
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (375) (294) (233) (250)
Tax Paid (736) (1,494) (2,493) (2,713)
Cashflow From Operations 4,560 5,354 4,841 6,428
Capex (360) (503) (600) (600)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (2,513) 260
Cash Flow From Investing (2,873) (243) (600) (600)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (1,091) (1,533)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 9 35
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,030) (2,012) (2,001) (2,026)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (720) (629) 906 900
Cash Flow From Financing (2,832) (4,139) (1,095) (1,126)
Total Cash Generated (1,145) 972 3,146 4,703
Free Cashflow To Equity 596 3,578 4,241 5,828
Free Cashflow To Firm 2,062 5,405 4,474 6,078
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 8,153 9,441 12,460 16,862
Total Debtors 708 774 865 972
Inventories 338 373 420 472
Total Other Current Assets 531 679 741 833
Total Current Assets 9,730 11,267 14,486 19,140
Fixed Assets 7,622 6,513 5,708 4,888
Total Investments
Intangible Assets 5,498 5,482 5,482 5,482
Total Other Non-Current Assets 621 512 512 512
Total Non-current Assets 13,741 12,507 11,702 10,882
Short-term Debt 1,533 833 833 833
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,561 1,866 1,875 2,213
Other Current Liabilities 1,624 1,977 2,063 2,529
Total Current Liabilities 4,718 4,676 4,771 5,575
Total Long-term Debt 833
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 925 605 605 605
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,758 605 605 605
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 6,476 5,281 5,376 6,180
Shareholders Equity 16,663 18,493 20,752 23,711
Minority Interests 332 60 130
Total Equity 16,995 18,493 20,812 23,841
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (3.4%) 10.4% 11.0% 12.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth (12.6%) 24.4% 12.8% 14.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 24.3% 27.4% 27.8% 28.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 69.22 102.97 139.08 191.74
BVPS (Rs) 199.32 221.21 248.23 283.63
Gross Interest Cover 9.06 15.84 23.46 25.87
Effective Tax Rate 29.9% 28.3% 28.7% 28.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 29.3% 39.9% 33.3% 28.7%
Accounts Receivables Days 14.13 12.15 12.10 12.07
Inventory Days 35.18 28.75 29.77 29.46
Accounts Payables Days 123.86 138.55 140.43 135.00
ROIC (%) 25.9% 38.4% 52.1% 66.1%
ROCE (%) 17.8% 24.1% 26.7% 27.9%
Return On Average Assets 16.4% 22.6% 25.5% 26.2%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com