* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 11,919 16,061 20,475 24,390
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,110 1,553 2,275 2,854
Net Profit (Rsm) 612 954 1,545 2,015
Core EPS (Rs) 7.7 12.0 19.5 25.4
Core EPS Growth 92.9% 56.0% 61.9% 30.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 82.51 52.91 32.68 25.06
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 41.85 30.43 20.97 16.40
P/FCFE (x) (7.62) 32.07 1,992.08 (53.76)
Net Gearing (44.3%) (32.2%) (24.0%) (27.2%)
P/BV (x) 5.55 5.03 4.36 3.71
ROE 11.1% 10.0% 14.3% 16.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 11,919 16,061 20,475 24,390
Gross Profit 2,719 3,659 4,709 5,610
Operating EBITDA 1,110 1,553 2,275 2,854
Depreciation And Amortisation (223) (277) (285) (319)
Operating EBIT 887 1,276 1,990 2,535
Financial Income/(Expense) (344) (348) (233) (245)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 278 324 303 397
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 821 1,252 2,060 2,687
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 821 1,252 2,060 2,687
Taxation 209 297 515 672
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 612 954 1,545 2,015
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 612 954 1,545 2,015
Recurring Net Profit 612 954 1,545 2,015
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 612 954 1,545 2,015
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,110 1,553 2,275 2,854
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,676) (1,528) (820) (705)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 56 4 6 7
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (195) (297) (515) (672)
Cashflow From Operations (705) (268) 946 1,484
Capex (338) (489) (529) (529)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (3,940) 2,041 (491) (1,994)
Cash Flow From Investing (4,277) 1,552 (1,021) (2,523)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (1,647) 290 100 100
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 6,694
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (259) (69) 64 19
Cash Flow From Financing 4,788 221 164 119
Total Cash Generated (195) 1,505 90 (921)
Free Cashflow To Equity (6,630) 1,574 25 (939)
Free Cashflow To Firm (4,983) 1,284 (75) (1,039)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 5,366 4,856 4,512 5,524
Total Debtors 2,259 2,860 3,478 4,143
Inventories 4,642 6,160 7,573 8,687
Total Other Current Assets 992 1,320 1,683 2,005
Total Current Assets 13,259 15,197 17,246 20,359
Fixed Assets 1,901 2,145 2,390 2,600
Total Investments 662 892 2,047 2,439
Intangible Assets 30 30 30 30
Total Other Non-Current Assets 181 243 310 370
Total Non-current Assets 2,774 3,312 4,778 5,439
Short-term Debt 589 779 829 879
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 3,200 4,180 5,329 6,348
Other Current Liabilities 1,602 1,540 1,963 2,339
Total Current Liabilities 5,391 6,499 8,121 9,566
Total Long-term Debt 747 847 897 947
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 802 1,081 1,378 1,641
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,549 1,927 2,274 2,588
Total Provisions 3 5 6 7
Total Liabilities 6,943 8,431 10,402 12,161
Shareholders Equity 9,090 10,044 11,589 13,604
Minority Interests
Total Equity 9,090 10,044 11,589 13,604
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 43.2% 34.8% 27.5% 19.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 26.5% 39.9% 46.5% 25.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 9.3% 9.7% 11.1% 11.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 50.82 40.74 35.14 46.64
BVPS (Rs) 114.63 126.66 146.15 171.56
Gross Interest Cover 2.58 3.67 8.56 10.35
Effective Tax Rate
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 59.35 58.17 56.49 57.02
Inventory Days 176.42 158.97 158.97 158.01
Accounts Payables Days 120.08 108.61 110.08 113.47
ROIC (%) 12.8% 13.6% 18.2% 20.7%
ROCE (%) 11.4% 11.5% 15.9% 17.6%
Return On Average Assets 9.5% 10.5% 13.6% 14.8%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com