* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 106,436 117,113 109,263 120,718
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,566 17,051 16,574 18,070
Net Profit (Rsm) (14) 1,989 1,497 2,901
Core EPS (Rs) (26.0) 13.6 10.2 19.8
Core EPS Growth (25.1%) (152.3%) (24.8%) 93.8%
FD Core P/E (x) (4,620.16) 32.00 42.53 21.94
DPS (Rs) 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0
Dividend Yield 0.28% 0.28% 0.28% 0.55%
EV/EBITDA (x) 14.41 14.72 14.74 13.53
P/FCFE (x) (7.09) (15.82) 35.12 (71.19)
Net Gearing 185.5% 447.7% 418.6% 395.8%
P/BV (x) 1.59 1.52 1.47 1.39
ROE (10.1%) 4.9% 3.5% 6.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 106,436 117,113 109,263 120,718
Gross Profit 13,335 34,559 33,029 35,952
Operating EBITDA 9,566 17,051 16,574 18,070
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,985) (3,844) (4,034) (4,224)
Operating EBIT 5,581 13,207 12,540 13,846
Financial Income/(Expense) (9,014) (10,465) (10,472) (9,852)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 680 800 800 801
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) (2,753) 3,543 2,867 4,796
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit (2,753) 3,543 2,867 4,796
Taxation (1,048) (1,553) (1,371) (1,895)
Exceptional Income - post-tax 3,787
Profit After Tax (14) 1,989 1,497 2,901
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit (14) 1,989 1,497 2,901
Recurring Net Profit (3,801) 1,989 1,497 2,901
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit (3,801) 1,989 1,497 2,901
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 9,566 17,051 16,574 18,070
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 9,810 (3,841) 3,386 (4,914)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 3,787
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (8,334) (9,665) (9,672) (9,051)
Tax Paid (1,048) (1,553) (1,371) (1,895)
Cashflow From Operations 13,781 1,992 8,916 2,210
Capex 5,025 (114,846) (2,104) (2,104)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 5,025 (114,846) (2,104) (2,104)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (27,780) 108,830 (5,000) (1,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (175) (175) (175) (351)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 7,582
Cash Flow From Financing (20,374) 108,655 (5,175) (1,351)
Total Cash Generated (1,568) (4,198) 1,637 (1,245)
Free Cashflow To Equity (8,974) (4,023) 1,812 (894)
Free Cashflow To Firm 27,820 (102,389) 17,285 9,958
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 4,260 62 1,699 454
Total Debtors 21,881 23,685 22,679 24,380
Inventories 33,683 34,651 32,024 35,570
Total Other Current Assets 48,483 57,941 54,740 59,061
Total Current Assets 108,307 116,338 111,142 119,465
Fixed Assets 43,431 154,433 152,503 150,383
Total Investments
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 43,431 154,433 152,503 150,383
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 35,877 44,266 40,819 45,473
Total Current Liabilities 35,877 44,266 40,819 45,473
Total Long-term Debt 78,500 187,331 182,331 181,331
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 78,500 187,331 182,331 181,331
Total Provisions (2,656) (2,656) (2,656) (2,656)
Total Liabilities 111,722 228,941 220,494 224,148
Shareholders Equity 40,016 41,830 43,151 45,701
Minority Interests
Total Equity 40,016 41,830 43,151 45,701
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 11.3% 10.0% (6.7%) 10.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 23.8% 78.2% (2.8%) 9.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 9.0% 14.6% 15.2% 15.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (507.75) (1,280.78) (1,235.39) (1,237.06)
BVPS (Rs) 273.68 286.08 295.12 312.56
Gross Interest Cover 0.62 1.26 1.20 1.41
Effective Tax Rate 43.9% 47.8% 39.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio (6.4%) 5.0% 6.1% 7.3%
Accounts Receivables Days 76.63 71.01 77.44 71.14
Inventory Days 133.44 151.06 159.62 145.53
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 4.3% 11.8% 5.5% 6.3%
ROCE (%) 4.4% 7.7% 5.6% 6.2%
Return On Average Assets 4.0% 6.6% 5.0% 5.5%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com