* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-21A Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F
Revenue (Rsm) 55,871 63,063 69,431 78,836
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 6,218 5,232 5,853 8,585
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,712 738 1,255 2,878
Core EPS (Rs) 3.5 1.5 2.5 5.7
Core EPS Growth 2,076.1% (55.9%) 62.3% 129.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 53.63 124.45 73.19 31.90
DPS (Rs) 0.6 1.0
Dividend Yield 0.40% 0.66%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.87 20.27 17.71 11.94
P/FCFE (x) 18.34 132.63 55.09 116.18
Net Gearing 67.1% 72.0% 54.0% 41.5%
P/BV (x) 7.40 6.94 6.50 5.60
ROE 15.1% 6.0% 9.2% 18.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F
Total Net Revenues 55,871 63,063 69,431 78,836
Gross Profit 55,871 63,063 69,431 78,836
Operating EBITDA 6,218 5,232 5,853 8,585
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,925) (3,097) (3,375) (3,780)
Operating EBIT 3,293 2,135 2,478 4,805
Financial Income/(Expense) (2,104) (1,851) (1,740) (1,688)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 43 69
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 382 397 405 413
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,613 749 1,142 3,530
Exceptional Items (48) (90)
Pre-tax Profit 1,565 660 1,142 3,530
Taxation (162) (400) (365) (1,130)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,403 260 777 2,400
Minority Interests 309 478 478 478
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,712 738 1,255 2,878
Recurring Net Profit 1,755 773 1,255 2,878
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,755 773 1,255 2,878
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F
EBITDA 6,218 5,232 5,853 8,585
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 7,176 491 (700) (1,287)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 382 397 405 413
Other Operating Cashflow 1,270 1,097 1,097 1,097
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (2,104) (1,851) (1,740) (1,688)
Tax Paid (131) 130 (365) (1,130)
Cashflow From Operations 12,811 5,496 4,549 5,990
Capex (1,869) (3,517) (3,450) (3,600)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (781) 387 2,268 0
Cash Flow From Investing (2,650) (3,129) (1,182) (3,600)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (5,153) (1,675) (1,700) (1,600)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 956 956
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid 302 503
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (2,909) (1,741) (302) (503)
Cash Flow From Financing (8,061) (3,415) (744) (644)
Total Cash Generated 2,100 (1,049) 2,623 1,747
Free Cashflow To Equity 5,009 692 1,667 790
Free Cashflow To Firm 12,265 4,218 5,107 4,079
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F
Total Cash And Equivalents 7,050 4,113 4,795 4,358
Total Debtors 6,309 6,238 6,943 8,208
Inventories 5,805 8,049 7,228 8,424
Total Other Current Assets 2,691 3,996 3,819 4,415
Total Current Assets 21,855 22,395 22,786 25,404
Fixed Assets 29,238 29,475 30,400 30,620
Total Investments 4,973 7,168 7,168 7,168
Intangible Assets 1,552 2,268
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,105 3,263 2,413 2,013
Total Non-current Assets 39,867 42,175 39,981 39,801
Short-term Debt 2,976 3,829 3,629 3,829
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 9,458 11,379 8,273 8,807
Other Current Liabilities 11,824 12,814 14,928 16,161
Total Current Liabilities 24,258 28,022 26,829 28,798
Total Long-term Debt 14,298 11,770 10,270 8,470
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 7,927 8,823 8,823 8,823
Total Non-current Liabilities 22,225 20,593 19,093 17,293
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 46,483 48,615 45,922 46,091
Shareholders Equity 12,415 13,230 14,119 16,389
Minority Interests 2,824 2,725 2,725 2,725
Total Equity 15,239 15,955 16,845 19,114
Mar-21A Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F
Revenue Growth (6.2%) 12.9% 10.1% 13.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 15.4% (15.9%) 11.9% 46.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 11.1% 8.3% 8.4% 10.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (20.31) (22.82) (18.09) (15.78)
BVPS (Rs) 24.67 26.28 28.05 32.56
Gross Interest Cover 1.57 1.15 1.42 2.85
Effective Tax Rate 10.3% 60.6% 32.0% 32.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 29.1% 21.2%
Accounts Receivables Days 43.95 36.31 34.65 35.07
Inventory Days 43.19 40.09 40.16 36.23
Accounts Payables Days 63.09 65.76 56.41 44.37
ROIC (%) 11.6% 7.3% 9.0% 16.7%
ROCE (%) 9.7% 6.7% 8.0% 15.5%
Return On Average Assets 5.8% 3.5% 4.0% 6.4%

Analyst(s)

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com