* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 27,569 29,813 32,976 36,328
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 4,798 5,358 6,027 6,710
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,695 4,241 4,913 5,640
Core EPS (Rs) 10.1 11.6 13.4 15.4
Core EPS Growth 58.8% 14.8% 15.8% 14.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 40.23 35.04 30.25 26.35
DPS (Rs) 3.0 4.5 3.3 3.3
Dividend Yield 0.74% 1.11% 0.82% 0.82%
EV/EBITDA (x) 30.63 27.29 24.17 21.15
P/FCFE (x) (393.82) 80.70 67.21 29.71
Net Gearing (9.2%) (11.6%) (12.1%) (23.4%)
P/BV (x) 8.22 7.19 6.10 5.16
ROE 22.0% 21.9% 21.8% 21.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 27,569 29,813 32,976 36,328
Gross Profit 13,531 14,811 16,448 18,153
Operating EBITDA 4,798 5,358 6,027 6,710
Depreciation And Amortisation (500) (500) (510) (512)
Operating EBIT 4,298 4,858 5,517 6,198
Financial Income/(Expense) (47) (20) (20) (20)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 537 634 843 1,099
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 4,788 5,472 6,340 7,277
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 4,788 5,472 6,340 7,277
Taxation (1,095) (1,231) (1,426) (1,637)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,693 4,241 4,913 5,640
Minority Interests 2
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,695 4,241 4,913 5,640
Recurring Net Profit 3,695 4,241 4,913 5,640
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,695 4,241 4,913 5,640
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 4,798 5,358 6,027 6,710
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc. 2
Change In Working Capital (4,004) (2,499) (2,712) (649)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 537 634 843 1,099
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (47) (20) (20) (20)
Tax Paid (1,095) (1,231) (1,426) (1,637)
Cashflow From Operations 190 2,242 2,711 5,503
Capex (568) (400) (500) (500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (568) (400) (500) (500)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,102) (1,102) (1,652) (1,212)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 305
Cash Flow From Financing (797) (1,102) (1,652) (1,212)
Total Cash Generated (1,174) 740 559 3,791
Free Cashflow To Equity (377) 1,842 2,211 5,003
Free Cashflow To Firm (330) 1,862 2,231 5,023
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,661 2,401 2,960 6,751
Total Debtors 2,014 2,695 4,337 4,777
Inventories 2,835 4,002 5,240 5,773
Total Other Current Assets 5,461 5,461 5,461 5,461
Total Current Assets 11,970 14,559 17,997 22,761
Fixed Assets 3,469 3,369 3,359 3,347
Total Investments
Intangible Assets 7,918 7,918 7,918 7,918
Total Other Non-Current Assets 653 653 653 653
Total Non-current Assets 12,039 11,939 11,929 11,917
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,761 2,010 2,067 2,272
Other Current Liabilities 2,061 2,061 2,061 2,061
Total Current Liabilities 4,822 4,071 4,128 4,333
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities
Total Provisions 1,086 1,186 1,295 1,415
Total Liabilities 5,907 5,257 5,423 5,748
Shareholders Equity 18,083 20,672 24,373 28,801
Minority Interests 19 19 19 19
Total Equity 18,102 20,691 24,392 28,820
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 10.9% 8.1% 10.6% 10.2%
Operating EBITDA Growth 51.9% 11.7% 12.5% 11.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 17.4% 18.0% 18.3% 18.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 4.52 6.54 8.06 18.38
BVPS (Rs) 49.25 56.30 66.38 78.44
Gross Interest Cover 90.88 242.91 275.83 309.91
Effective Tax Rate 22.9% 22.5% 22.5% 22.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 29.8% 39.0% 24.7% 21.5%
Accounts Receivables Days 22.45 28.83 38.92 45.78
Inventory Days 76.10 83.18 102.06 110.58
Accounts Payables Days 63.75 58.03 45.02 43.57
ROIC (%) 24.5% 24.3% 24.2% 26.3%
ROCE (%) 25.6% 25.0% 24.5% 23.3%
Return On Average Assets 16.8% 16.9% 17.5% 17.5%

Analyst(s)

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com