* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 20,774 19,735 23,682 27,235
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 5,503 4,739 6,136 7,254
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,752 2,589 3,421 4,043
Core EPS (Rs) 75.7 52.3 69.0 81.6
Core EPS Growth 39.8% (31.0%) 32.1% 18.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 44.08 63.88 48.34 40.91
DPS (Rs) 9.7 6.7 8.9
Dividend Yield 0.29% 0.20% 0.27%
EV/EBITDA (x) 31.36 34.99 27.19 22.90
P/FCFE (x) 41.49 51.41 (523.31) 153.71
Net Gearing 35.8% 2.2% 5.9% 2.7%
P/BV (x) 7.57 6.86 6.11 5.31
ROE 18.6% 11.3% 13.4% 13.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 20,774 19,735 23,682 27,235
Gross Profit 11,814 10,657 12,788 14,707
Operating EBITDA 5,503 4,739 6,136 7,254
Depreciation And Amortisation (626) (1,220) (1,535) (1,851)
Operating EBIT 4,877 3,518 4,600 5,404
Financial Income/(Expense) (275) (301) (301) (310)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 357 205 223 250
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 4,959 3,422 4,522 5,344
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 4,959 3,422 4,522 5,344
Taxation (1,207) (833) (1,101) (1,301)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,752 2,589 3,421 4,043
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,752 2,589 3,421 4,043
Recurring Net Profit 3,752 2,589 3,421 4,043
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,752 2,589 3,421 4,043
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 5,503 4,739 6,136 7,254
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (4,970) 3,713 (1,595) (1,143)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (610) 834 21 15
Other Operating Cashflow 633 507 524 560
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (275) (301) (301) (310)
Tax Paid (1,207) (833) (1,101) (1,301)
Cashflow From Operations (927) 8,658 3,684 5,076
Capex (2,755) (5,214) (4,000) (4,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 227 (227)
Cash Flow From Investing (2,529) (5,441) (4,000) (4,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 7,442
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (482) (332) (439)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (275) (301) (301) (310)
Cash Flow From Financing 6,685 (634) (741) (310)
Total Cash Generated 3,230 2,583 (1,057) 766
Free Cashflow To Equity 3,987 3,217 (316) 1,076
Free Cashflow To Firm (3,180) 3,519 (15) 1,386
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 659 7,950 6,894 7,660
Total Debtors 5,615 4,839 5,807 6,678
Inventories 4,681 2,920 3,504 4,029
Total Other Current Assets 3,706 2,665 2,856 3,028
Total Current Assets 14,662 18,374 19,060 21,395
Fixed Assets 13,858 17,852 20,316 22,466
Total Investments 644 139 139 139
Intangible Assets 878 878 878 878
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,275 528 521 521
Total Non-current Assets 16,654 19,396 21,854 24,003
Short-term Debt 955 955 955 955
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,435 2,055 2,466 2,835
Other Current Liabilities 1,825 2,339 2,076 2,132
Total Current Liabilities 5,215 5,349 5,497 5,922
Total Long-term Debt 7,531 7,531 7,531 7,531
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 199 235 235 235
Total Non-current Liabilities 7,730 7,767 7,767 7,767
Total Provisions 498 549 563 578
Total Liabilities 13,443 13,664 13,826 14,267
Shareholders Equity 21,850 24,106 27,088 31,131
Minority Interests
Total Equity 21,850 24,106 27,088 31,131
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 42.4% (5.0%) 20.0% 15.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 52.8% (13.9%) 29.5% 18.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.5% 24.0% 25.9% 26.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (157.97) (10.82) (32.15) (16.69)
BVPS (Rs) 440.96 486.50 546.69 628.28
Gross Interest Cover 17.72 11.67 15.26 17.43
Effective Tax Rate 24.3% 24.3% 24.3% 24.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 12.8% 12.8% 12.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 80.75 96.67 82.04 83.66
Inventory Days 147.80 152.80 107.61 109.74
Accounts Payables Days 79.44 90.25 75.72 77.22
ROIC (%) 20.6% 10.3% 13.8% 13.9%
ROCE (%) 19.4% 11.1% 13.4% 14.2%
Return On Average Assets 14.4% 8.2% 9.3% 9.9%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com