* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 29,670 32,725 36,194 40,034
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,183 2,358 2,663 3,083
Net Profit (Rsm) 919 1,367 1,508 1,702
Core EPS (Rs) 4.7 7.0 7.8 8.8
Core EPS Growth (44.3%) 49.4% 10.3% 12.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 65.32 43.95 39.84 35.28
DPS (Rs) 1.3 2.0 2.2 2.5
Dividend Yield 0.43% 0.64% 0.70% 0.79%
EV/EBITDA (x) 26.77 24.85 21.99 18.92
P/FCFE (x) 59.22 (1,833.58) 122.42 76.60
Net Gearing (9.3%) (8.0%) (7.7%) (8.4%)
P/BV (x) 3.47 3.28 3.10 2.92
ROE 5.3% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 29,670 32,725 36,194 40,034
Gross Profit 10,236 11,290 12,487 13,812
Operating EBITDA 2,183 2,358 2,663 3,083
Depreciation And Amortisation (914) (873) (1,057) (1,223)
Operating EBIT 1,270 1,486 1,607 1,860
Financial Income/(Expense) (122) (81) (58) (58)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 127 422 466 474
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,274 1,827 2,015 2,276
Exceptional Items 6
Pre-tax Profit 1,281 1,827 2,015 2,276
Taxation (361) (460) (508) (574)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 919 1,367 1,508 1,702
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 919 1,367 1,508 1,702
Recurring Net Profit 915 1,367 1,508 1,702
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 915 1,367 1,508 1,702
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 2,183 2,358 2,663 3,083
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (433) (784) (644) (713)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 779 280 13 14
Other Operating Cashflow (733) (418) (491) (615)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (122) (81) (58) (58)
Tax Paid 494 460 508 574
Cashflow From Operations 2,168 1,817 1,991 2,284
Capex (1,860) (1,500) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 439 108
Cash Flow From Investing (1,421) (1,391) (1,500) (1,500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 267 (458)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (584) (383) (422) (477)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (93) (81) (58) (58)
Cash Flow From Financing (410) (922) (480) (535)
Total Cash Generated 337 (496) 11 249
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,014 (33) 491 784
Free Cashflow To Firm 870 507 549 842
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 2,655 2,051 2,062 2,311
Total Debtors 4,986 5,499 6,082 6,727
Inventories 7,929 8,745 9,673 10,699
Total Other Current Assets 1,296 1,631 1,760 1,902
Total Current Assets 16,866 17,927 19,576 21,639
Fixed Assets 7,564 8,192 8,635 8,912
Total Investments 33 32 32 32
Intangible Assets 1,958 1,958 1,958 1,958
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,556 1,346 1,346 1,346
Total Non-current Assets 11,111 11,527 11,971 12,248
Short-term Debt 1,011 542 542 542
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,882 6,488 7,176 7,937
Other Current Liabilities 2,994 3,269 3,576 3,915
Total Current Liabilities 9,888 10,299 11,294 12,394
Total Long-term Debt 27 38 38 38
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 224 217 217 217
Total Non-current Liabilities 251 255 255 255
Total Provisions 538 615 628 642
Total Liabilities 10,676 11,170 12,177 13,291
Shareholders Equity 17,301 18,285 19,370 20,596
Minority Interests
Total Equity 17,301 18,285 19,370 20,596
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 13.9% 10.3% 10.6% 10.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth (20.3%) 8.0% 12.9% 15.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 7.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 8.31 7.57 7.62 8.90
BVPS (Rs) 88.95 94.01 99.59 105.89
Gross Interest Cover 10.37 18.37 27.72 32.09
Effective Tax Rate 28.2% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 28.2% 28.0% 28.0% 28.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 58.10 58.47 58.40 58.39
Inventory Days 162.55 141.97 141.78 141.78
Accounts Payables Days (125.91) (105.33) (105.19) (105.19)
ROIC (%) 7.7% 8.4% 8.6% 9.4%
ROCE (%) 7.0% 7.9% 8.2% 9.0%
Return On Average Assets 3.7% 5.0% 5.1% 5.4%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com