* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 206,159 225,041 258,392 300,824
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 93,878 89,162 105,124 129,775
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 300,038 314,203 363,516 430,599
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (37,987) (54,383) (54,800) (57,838)
Net Profit (Rsm) 89,498 75,840 93,283 119,513
Core EPS (Rs) 115.19 97.39 119.78 153.47
Core EPS Growth 13% (8%) 22% 27%
FD Core P/E (x) 8.68 10.27 8.35 6.52
DPS (Rs) 16.50 18.00 24.00 31.00
Dividend Yield 1.65% 1.80% 2.40% 3.10%
BVPS (Rs) 805.7 884.1 979.9 1,102.3
P/BV (x) 1.24 1.13 1.02 0.91
ROE 15.2% 11.5% 12.8% 14.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 206,159 225,041 258,392 300,824
Total Non-Interest Income 93,878 89,162 105,124 129,775
Operating Revenue 300,038 314,203 363,516 430,599
Total Non-Interest Expenses (142,635) (158,701) (184,338) (213,410)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 157,403 155,502 179,178 217,189
Total Provision Charges (37,987) (54,383) (54,800) (57,838)
Operating Profit After Provisions 119,415 101,120 124,377 159,351
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 119,415 101,120 124,377 159,351
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 119,415 101,120 124,377 159,351
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 119,415 101,120 124,377 159,351
Taxation (29,918) (25,280) (31,094) (39,838)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 89,498 75,840 93,283 119,513
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 89,498 75,840 93,283 119,513
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 87.8% 87.8% 85.3% 83.1%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 74.7% 74.5% 75.7% 77.0%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 114.7% 112.3% 115.3% 118.1%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 3,432,983 3,872,910 4,454,722 5,160,082
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 3,432,983 3,872,910 4,454,722 5,160,082
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 3,432,983 3,872,910 4,454,722 5,160,082
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 261,108 280,919 297,597 315,622
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 283,086 304,748 323,520 343,877
Cash And Marketable Securities 368,016 533,176 737,625 1,005,433
Long-term Investments 1,065,267 1,161,532 1,286,651 1,433,255
Total Assets 5,149,352 5,872,366 6,802,518 7,942,647
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 3,847,929 4,473,625 5,286,681 6,282,138
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 476,114 485,259 496,592 510,215
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 4,324,044 4,958,884 5,783,273 6,792,354
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 197,337 224,378 255,511 291,136
Total Liabilities 4,521,381 5,183,262 6,038,784 7,083,490
Shareholders Equity 627,971 689,104 763,734 859,157
Minority Interests
Total Equity 627,971 689,104 763,734 859,157
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 17.2% 9.2% 14.8% 16.4%
Operating Profit Growth 9.7% (1.2%) 15.2% 21.2%
Pretax Profit Growth 21% (15%) 23% 28%
Net Interest To Total Income 68.7% 71.6% 71.1% 69.9%
Cost Of Funds 6.15% 6.34% 5.86% 5.48%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 14.4% 14.2% 13.8% 13.4%
Net Interest Spread 8.30% 7.88% 7.91% 7.94%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 5.72% 5.41% 5.29% 5.20%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 24% 35% 31% 27%
Interest Return On Average Assets 4.24% 4.08% 4.08% 4.08%
Effective Tax Rate 25.1% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 1.84% 1.38% 1.47% 1.62%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com