* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 37,426 42,088 46,840 52,727
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 7,833 11,720 13,460 15,828
Net Profit (Rsm) 5,880 8,163 9,854 11,537
Core EPS (Rs) 45.9 63.7 76.9 90.1
Core EPS Growth (17.5%) 38.8% 20.7% 17.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 63.92 46.04 38.14 32.58
DPS (Rs) 6.7 51.0 50.0 50.0
Dividend Yield 0.23% 1.74% 1.70% 1.70%
EV/EBITDA (x) 46.86 31.63 27.65 23.32
P/FCFE (x) 26.49 26.26 23.99 20.32
Net Gearing (25.3%) (13.8%) (9.8%) (16.0%)
P/BV (x) 11.09 10.54 10.40 9.12
ROE 17.7% 23.5% 27.4% 29.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 37,426 42,088 46,840 52,727
Gross Profit 26,922 31,422 35,598 40,072
Operating EBITDA 7,833 11,720 13,460 15,828
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,308) (1,354) (1,400) (1,450)
Operating EBIT 6,525 10,366 12,060 14,378
Financial Income/(Expense) (58) (72) (45) (45)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 986 846 950 1,050
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,453 11,140 12,965 15,383
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 7,453 11,140 12,965 15,383
Taxation (1,573) (2,978) (3,112) (3,846)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 5,880 8,163 9,854 11,537
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 5,880 8,163 9,854 11,537
Recurring Net Profit 5,880 8,163 9,854 11,537
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 5,880 8,163 9,854 11,537
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 7,833 11,720 13,460 15,828
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 575 (998) (1,764) (1,985)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (490) (2,872) (3,112) (3,846)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (58) (72) (45) (45)
Tax Paid (1,418) (3,645) (4,017) (4,851)
Cashflow From Operations 7,918 7,851 8,584 9,997
Capex (1,649) (1,390) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 6,268 6,460 7,084 8,497
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (14) (9)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (897) (6,422) (6,534) (6,458)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (4,114) (2,036) (1,945) 1,005
Cash Flow From Financing (5,025) (8,466) (8,479) (5,453)
Total Cash Generated 1,243 (2,006) (1,395) 3,045
Free Cashflow To Equity 14,186 14,311 15,668 18,495
Free Cashflow To Firm 14,245 14,383 15,713 18,540
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 8,586 4,948 3,553 6,597
Total Debtors 10,569 12,468 14,052 15,818
Inventories 8,156 8,284 10,305 11,600
Total Other Current Assets 1,029 1,609 1,405 1,582
Total Current Assets 28,340 27,309 29,315 35,597
Fixed Assets 16,982 17,210 17,310 17,360
Total Investments 251 186 186 186
Intangible Assets 78 147 147 147
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,140 1,533 1,533 1,533
Total Non-current Assets 18,450 19,075 19,175 19,225
Short-term Debt 2 15 15 15
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 4,228 4,632 4,354 4,870
Other Current Liabilities 7,163 4,306 6,220 6,957
Total Current Liabilities 11,393 8,953 10,589 11,842
Total Long-term Debt 13
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,505 1,758 1,758 1,758
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,518 1,758 1,758 1,758
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 12,910 10,710 12,347 13,600
Shareholders Equity 33,880 35,674 36,143 41,222
Minority Interests
Total Equity 33,880 35,674 36,143 41,222
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 12.0% 12.5% 11.3% 12.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth (15.7%) 49.6% 14.8% 17.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 20.9% 27.8% 28.7% 30.0%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 66.91 38.51 27.62 51.39
BVPS (Rs) 264.48 278.48 282.14 321.80
Gross Interest Cover 111.72 143.78 268.00 319.51
Effective Tax Rate 21.1% 26.7% 24.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 101.27 99.89 103.33 103.39
Inventory Days 279.15 281.32 301.77 315.91
Accounts Payables Days 130.30 151.60 145.88 133.02
ROIC (%) 18.4% 24.0% 26.4% 29.7%
ROCE (%) 19.6% 29.8% 33.6% 37.2%
Return On Average Assets 13.6% 17.6% 20.8% 22.4%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com