* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 37,426 42,088 46,376 52,216
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 7,833 11,720 12,907 15,003
Net Profit (Rsm) 5,880 8,163 9,308 11,102
Core EPS (Rs) 45.9 63.7 72.7 86.7
Core EPS Growth (17.5%) 38.8% 14.0% 19.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 57.03 41.08 36.03 30.21
DPS (Rs) 6.7 51.0 50.0 50.0
Dividend Yield 0.25% 1.95% 1.91% 1.91%
EV/EBITDA (x) 41.69 28.17 25.72 21.96
P/FCFE (x) 23.64 23.43 22.05 19.23
Net Gearing (25.3%) (13.8%) (8.8%) (14.2%)
P/BV (x) 9.90 9.40 9.42 8.33
ROE 17.7% 23.5% 26.1% 29.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 37,426 42,088 46,376 52,216
Gross Profit 26,922 31,422 35,942 40,467
Operating EBITDA 7,833 11,720 12,907 15,003
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,308) (1,354) (1,400) (1,450)
Operating EBIT 6,525 10,366 11,507 13,553
Financial Income/(Expense) (58) (72) (210) (45)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 986 846 950 1,100
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,453 11,140 12,247 14,608
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 7,453 11,140 12,247 14,608
Taxation (1,573) (2,978) (2,939) (3,506)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 5,880 8,163 9,308 11,102
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 5,880 8,163 9,308 11,102
Recurring Net Profit 5,880 8,163 9,308 11,102
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 5,880 8,163 9,308 11,102
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 7,833 11,720 12,907 15,003
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 575 (998) (1,613) (2,027)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (490) (2,872) (2,939) (3,506)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (58) (72) (210) (45)
Tax Paid (1,418) (3,645) (3,679) (4,561)
Cashflow From Operations 7,918 7,851 8,355 9,470
Capex (1,649) (1,390) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 6,268 6,460 6,855 7,970
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (14) (9)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (897) (6,422) (6,534) (6,458)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (4,114) (2,036) (2,110) 1,055
Cash Flow From Financing (5,025) (8,466) (8,644) (5,403)
Total Cash Generated 1,243 (2,006) (1,789) 2,568
Free Cashflow To Equity 14,186 14,311 15,210 17,440
Free Cashflow To Firm 14,245 14,383 15,420 17,485
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 8,586 4,948 3,158 5,726
Total Debtors 10,569 12,468 13,913 15,665
Inventories 8,156 8,284 10,203 11,487
Total Other Current Assets 1,029 1,609 1,391 1,566
Total Current Assets 28,340 27,309 28,665 34,445
Fixed Assets 16,982 17,210 17,310 17,360
Total Investments 251 186 186 186
Intangible Assets 78 147 147 147
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,140 1,533 1,533 1,533
Total Non-current Assets 18,450 19,075 19,175 19,225
Short-term Debt 2 15 15 15
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 4,228 4,632 4,311 4,799
Other Current Liabilities 7,163 4,306 6,159 6,856
Total Current Liabilities 11,393 8,953 10,485 11,670
Total Long-term Debt 13
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,505 1,758 1,758 1,758
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,518 1,758 1,758 1,758
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 12,910 10,710 12,243 13,428
Shareholders Equity 33,880 35,674 35,597 40,241
Minority Interests
Total Equity 33,880 35,674 35,597 40,241
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 12.0% 12.5% 10.2% 12.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth (15.7%) 49.6% 10.1% 16.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 20.9% 27.8% 27.8% 28.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 66.91 38.51 24.54 44.58
BVPS (Rs) 264.48 278.48 277.89 314.14
Gross Interest Cover 111.72 143.78 54.80 301.17
Effective Tax Rate 21.1% 26.7% 24.0% 24.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 101.27 99.89 103.82 103.38
Inventory Days 279.15 281.32 323.32 336.93
Accounts Payables Days 130.30 151.60 156.42 141.52
ROIC (%) 18.4% 24.0% 25.3% 28.1%
ROCE (%) 19.6% 29.8% 32.3% 35.7%
Return On Average Assets 13.6% 17.6% 20.1% 21.9%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com