* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Revenue (Rsm) 42,909 55,388 60,205 66,615
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 6,344 5,547 6,666 7,250
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,783 17,080 4,175 4,197
Core EPS (Rs) 15.4 17.5 18.1 19.2
Core EPS Growth 29.3% 13.3% 3.6% 5.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 23.37 5.18 20.18 19.08
DPS (Rs) 0.4 1.0 1.0
Dividend Yield 0.10% 0.26% 0.26%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.35 16.40 14.41 12.01
P/FCFE (x) 5.23 (179.41) 27.97
Net Gearing 80.1% 7.0% 36.8% 19.4%
P/BV (x) 4.62 2.45 2.50 2.22
ROE 21.5% 15.3% 12.2% 12.3%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Total Net Revenues 42,909 55,388 60,205 66,615
Gross Profit 14,318 13,932 14,493 15,910
Operating EBITDA 6,344 5,547 6,666 7,250
Depreciation And Amortisation (807) (884) (955) (1,045)
Operating EBIT 5,537 4,663 5,711 6,205
Financial Income/(Expense) (323) (48) (69) (533)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,213 4,615 5,642 5,672
Exceptional Items 67 14,012
Pre-tax Profit 5,280 18,627 5,642 5,672
Taxation (1,497) (1,547) (1,467) (1,475)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,783 17,080 4,175 4,197
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,783 17,080 4,175 4,197
Recurring Net Profit 3,735 4,232 4,175 4,197
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,735 4,232 4,175 4,197
(Rs mn) Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
EBITDA 6,344 5,547 6,666 7,250
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 3,051 (3,911) (2,112) (2,810)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (323) (48) (69) (533)
Tax Paid (807) (884) (955) (1,045)
Cashflow From Operations 8,264 704 3,530 2,862
Capex 2,911 (1,500) (4,000) 0
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing 2,911 (4,000) 0
Debt Raised/(repaid) 5,739
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (725) (85) (209) (210)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 59 (7,977)
Cash Flow From Financing 5,073 (85) (8,186) (210)
Total Cash Generated 16,248 (8,655) 2,652
Free Cashflow To Equity 16,915 (470) 2,862
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,721 310 3,642
(Rs mn) Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Total Cash And Equivalents 279 13,082 3,805 8,606
Total Debtors 2,668 3,035 3,299 3,650
Inventories 20,369 24,279 26,391 29,201
Total Other Current Assets 2,261 3,051 3,316 1,004
Total Current Assets 25,577 43,447 36,810 42,461
Fixed Assets 10,654 13,835 16,880 15,835
Total Investments 1,934 1,134 1,134 1,134
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,810 831 903 999
Total Non-current Assets 17,398 15,800 18,917 17,968
Short-term Debt 12,406 12,406 12,406 12,406
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,928 5,383 5,851 6,474
Other Current Liabilities 484 166 181 200
Total Current Liabilities 18,817 17,955 18,438 19,080
Total Long-term Debt 3,192 3,192 3,192 3,192
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 3,192 3,192 3,192 3,192
Total Provisions 1,837 1,978 2,032 2,104
Total Liabilities 23,846 23,125 23,661 24,376
Shareholders Equity 19,129 36,123 32,066 36,054
Minority Interests
Total Equity 19,129 36,123 32,066 36,054
Mar-22A Mar-23F Mar-24F Mar-25F
Revenue Growth (8.2%) 29.1% 8.7% 10.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 13.7% (12.6%) 20.2% 8.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 14.8% 10.0% 11.1% 10.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (63.35) (10.40) (53.86) (31.93)
BVPS (Rs) 79.11 149.39 146.46 164.67
Gross Interest Cover 10.15 7.02 7.32 7.96
Effective Tax Rate 28.3% 8.3% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.9% 3.7% 3.7%
Accounts Receivables Days 20.21 18.79 19.20 19.04
Inventory Days 240.68 196.56 202.30 200.09
Accounts Payables Days 62.24 35.49 37.93 37.52
ROIC (%) 22.6% 13.6% 14.5% 13.9%
ROCE (%) 18.0% 10.5% 11.2% 12.2%
Return On Average Assets 14.0% 9.1% 9.9% 10.7%

Analyst(s)

Nitin AWASTHI

(91) 22 4161 1550 nitin.awasthi@incredresearch.com