* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 13,113 15,196 15,776 18,490
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 2,959 3,289 3,340 3,866
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 16,072 18,485 19,117 22,357
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (2,826) (11,950) (5,578) (5,223)
Net Profit (Rsm) 5,007 (1,824) 3,075 4,638
Core EPS (Rs) 70.63 (25.72) 43.37 65.41
Core EPS Growth 3,940% (136%) (269%) 51%
FD Core P/E (x) 5.29 (14.53) 8.62 5.71
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
BVPS (Rs) 514.0 495.4 545.8 618.3
P/BV (x) 0.73 0.75 0.68 0.60
ROE 14.7% (5.1%) 8.3% 11.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 13,113 15,196 15,776 18,490
Total Non-Interest Income 2,959 3,289 3,340 3,866
Operating Revenue 16,072 18,485 19,117 22,357
Total Non-Interest Expenses (6,540) (8,983) (9,411) (10,909)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 9,532 9,502 9,706 11,448
Total Provision Charges (2,826) (11,950) (5,578) (5,223)
Operating Profit After Provisions 6,706 (2,448) 4,128 6,225
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 6,706 (2,448) 4,128 6,225
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 6,706 (2,448) 4,128 6,225
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 6,706 (2,448) 4,128 6,225
Taxation (1,698) 624 (1,053) (1,587)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 5,007 (1,824) 3,075 4,638
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 5,007 (1,824) 3,075 4,638
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 95.2% 96.2% 95.8% 95.7%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 115.4% 117.1% 116.2% 111.8%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 110,143 107,130 116,007 145,122
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 110,143 107,130 116,007 145,122
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 110,143 107,130 116,007 145,122
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 3,149 3,307 3,472 3,646
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 3,623 3,875 4,154 4,465
Cash And Marketable Securities 18,941 18,162 17,906 12,983
Long-term Investments 1,118 1,453 1,889 2,456
Total Assets 133,825 130,620 139,957 165,026
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 94,046 89,344 95,473 114,567
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 94,046 89,344 95,473 114,567
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 3,330 6,151 5,784 6,621
Total Liabilities 97,376 95,495 101,257 121,188
Shareholders Equity 36,446 35,122 38,697 43,835
Minority Interests 3 3 3 3
Total Equity 36,449 35,125 38,700 43,838
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 60.0% 15.9% 3.8% 17.2%
Operating Profit Growth 69.6% (0.3%) 2.1% 17.9%
Pretax Profit Growth 3,661% (137%) (269%) 51%
Net Interest To Total Income 81.6% 82.2% 82.5% 82.7%
Cost Of Funds 11.97% 11.00% 10.50% 10.20%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 23.8% 23.3% 22.8% 22.4%
Net Interest Spread 11.87% 12.27% 12.34% 12.17%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 30% 126% 57% 46%
Interest Return On Average Assets 11.52% 11.49% 11.66% 12.13%
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 4.40% (1.38%) 2.27% 3.04%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com