* price as on
Financial
Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Revenue (Rsm) 123,698 156,687 193,317 227,235
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 27,251 30,585 37,175 45,015
Net Profit (Rsm) 19,382 22,986 26,914 32,487
Core EPS (Rs) 110.5 130.9 153.3 185.1
Core EPS Growth 27.4% 18.5% 17.1% 20.7%
FD Core P/E (x)
DPS (Rs) 40.0 55.0 65.9 83.3
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) (1.33) (1.04) (0.91) (1.01)
P/FCFE (x)
Net Gearing (49.5%) (36.1%) (32.8%) (37.4%)
P/BV (x)
ROE 30.5% 28.5% 28.1% 28.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Total Net Revenues 123,698 156,687 193,317 227,235
Gross Profit 41,505 48,120 59,213 70,693
Operating EBITDA 27,251 30,585 37,175 45,015
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,325) (3,549) (4,833) (5,681)
Operating EBIT 23,926 27,036 32,342 39,334
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,956 3,939 4,077 4,243
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 25,882 30,975 36,419 43,577
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 25,882 30,975 36,419 43,577
Taxation (6,500) (7,989) (9,505) (11,090)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 19,382 22,986 26,914 32,487
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 19,382 22,986 26,914 32,487
Recurring Net Profit 19,382 22,986 26,914 32,487
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 19,382 22,986 26,914 32,487
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
EBITDA 27,251 30,585 37,175 45,015
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 2,704 (9,542) (7,100) (7,155)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (6,400) (8,113) (9,505) (11,090)
Cashflow From Operations 23,555 12,930 20,570 26,770
Capex (2,719) (8,590) (7,000) (5,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 54 34
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (13,895) (1,038) 4,833 4,999
Cash Flow From Investing (16,560) (9,594) (2,167) (1)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (5,319) (8,749) (11,573) (14,619)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 231 (1,709) (861) (756)
Cash Flow From Financing (5,088) (10,458) (12,434) (15,375)
Total Cash Generated 1,907 (7,122) 5,969 11,394
Free Cashflow To Equity 20,836 4,340 13,570 21,770
Free Cashflow To Firm 6,995 3,336 18,403 26,769
(Rs mn) Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Total Cash And Equivalents 43,876 39,139 41,283 52,676
Total Debtors 31,248 41,710 50,845 59,766
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 6,189 7,807 7,807 7,807
Total Current Assets 81,313 88,656 99,935 120,249
Fixed Assets 10,481 15,723 21,830 21,149
Total Investments 3,065 6,474 6,474 6,474
Intangible Assets 9,241 10,057 10,057 10,057
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,991 3,773 3,773 3,773
Total Non-current Assets 25,778 36,027 42,134 41,453
Short-term Debt 414 519 519 519
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 8,277 8,028 10,063 11,829
Other Current Liabilities 17,632 20,636 20,636 20,636
Total Current Liabilities 26,323 29,183 31,218 32,984
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 7,697 7,307 7,307 7,307
Total Non-current Liabilities 7,697 7,307 7,307 7,307
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 34,020 36,490 38,525 40,291
Shareholders Equity 73,034 88,146 103,487 121,355
Minority Interests 37 57 57 57
Total Equity 73,071 88,203 103,544 121,412
Mar-21A Mar-22F Mar-23F Mar-24F
Revenue Growth 13.7% 26.7% 23.4% 17.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 34.3% 12.2% 21.5% 21.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 22.0% 19.5% 19.2% 19.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 205.84 181.21 193.42 258.32
BVPS (Rs) 415.72 502.12 589.51 691.29
Gross Interest Cover
Effective Tax Rate 25.1% 25.8% 26.1% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 36.0% 41.9% 43.0% 45.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 93.14 84.98 87.38 88.84
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 33.81 27.41 24.62 25.52
ROIC (%) 48.2% 58.6% 47.4% 46.1%
ROCE (%) 24.6% 22.8% 23.2% 24.5%
Return On Average Assets 18.3% 17.3% 17.9% 19.3%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com