* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 44,452 42,532 44,446 46,668
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 5,683 4,847 5,161 5,556
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,593 3,002 3,205 3,490
Core EPS (Rs) 101.3 84.7 90.4 98.4
Core EPS Growth 36.7% (16.4%) 6.8% 8.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 26.17 31.32 29.34 26.94
DPS (Rs) 4.9 3.6 8.4 26.5
Dividend Yield 0.18% 0.13% 0.32% 1.00%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.56 19.06 17.58 15.82
P/FCFE (x) 32.83 46.43 42.20 26.22
Net Gearing 0.4% (7.2%) (13.0%) (21.0%)
P/BV (x) 4.84 4.20 3.67 3.23
ROE 20.4% 14.4% 13.4% 12.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 44,452 42,532 44,446 46,668
Gross Profit 13,452 12,870 13,450 14,122
Operating EBITDA 5,683 4,847 5,161 5,556
Depreciation And Amortisation (835) (833) (904) (968)
Operating EBIT 4,848 4,014 4,257 4,588
Financial Income/(Expense) (434) (257) (257) (257)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 99 125 125 125
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 4,513 3,882 4,125 4,456
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 4,513 3,882 4,125 4,456
Taxation (920) (880) (920) (966)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,593 3,002 3,205 3,490
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,593 3,002 3,205 3,490
Recurring Net Profit 3,593 3,002 3,205 3,490
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,593 3,002 3,205 3,490
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 5,683 4,847 5,161 5,556
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 32 (8) (49) (49)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (217) (129) (129) (129)
Tax Paid (842) (893) (963)
Cashflow From Operations 4,656 3,817 4,020 5,378
Capex (1,552) (1,552) (1,552) (1,552)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 438 438 438 438
Other Investing Cashflow 272 272 272 272
Cash Flow From Investing (841) (841) (841) (841)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (951) (951) (951) (951)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (142) (142) (142) (142)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (207) (207) (207) (207)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,301) (1,301) (1,301) (1,301)
Total Cash Generated 2,514 1,675 1,878 3,236
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,864 2,025 2,228 3,586
Free Cashflow To Firm 4,032 3,104 3,307 4,665
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 3,219 2,673 3,322 6,109
Total Debtors 6,470 6,191 6,469 6,793
Inventories 6,115 5,851 6,114 6,420
Total Other Current Assets 1,876 1,795 1,876 1,969
Total Current Assets 17,680 16,509 17,781 21,291
Fixed Assets 6,890 7,608 8,256 8,840
Total Investments
Intangible Assets 82 82 82 82
Total Other Non-Current Assets 5,092 6,200 7,175 7,175
Total Non-current Assets 12,063 13,890 15,513 16,097
Short-term Debt 2,309 736
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,423 5,189 5,423 5,694
Other Current Liabilities 525 525 525 525
Total Current Liabilities 8,257 6,449 5,947 6,218
Total Long-term Debt 989 315
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 487 487 487 487
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,476 802 487 487
Total Provisions 402 402 402 402
Total Liabilities 10,135 7,654 6,836 7,107
Shareholders Equity 19,411 22,399 25,590 29,067
Minority Interests
Total Equity 19,411 22,399 25,590 29,067
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 20.6% (4.3%) 4.5% 5.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 41.8% (14.7%) 6.5% 7.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 12.8% 11.4% 11.6% 11.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (2.23) 45.74 93.70 172.30
BVPS (Rs) 547.48 631.76 721.77 819.82
Gross Interest Cover 22.34 31.24 33.13 35.70
Effective Tax Rate 20.4% 22.7% 22.3% 21.7%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 4.0% 4.7% 4.4% 4.1%
Accounts Receivables Days 52.76 54.33 51.98 51.86
Inventory Days 77.90 73.62 70.45 70.28
Accounts Payables Days 62.47 65.30 62.48 62.33
ROIC (%) 17.6% 13.6% 13.3% 13.7%
ROCE (%) 22.8% 17.2% 17.2% 16.6%
Return On Average Assets 14.1% 10.6% 10.7% 10.4%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com