* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 5,198 5,856 7,925 10,852
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,216 2,602 3,295 4,475
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,817 2,127 2,627 3,518
Core EPS (Rs) 32.4 38.0 46.9 62.8
Core EPS Growth 46.5% 17.0% 23.5% 33.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 53.08 45.35 36.71 27.41
DPS (Rs) 4.5 5.4 6.7 8.9
Dividend Yield 0.26% 0.31% 0.39% 0.52%
EV/EBITDA (x) 41.74 35.18 27.60 19.88
P/FCFE (x) (113.15) 104.16 (588.76) 120.79
Net Gearing (29.7%) (32.5%) (31.8%) (36.7%)
P/BV (x) 7.28 6.40 5.57 4.74
ROE 14.6% 15.0% 16.2% 18.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 5,198 5,856 7,925 10,852
Gross Profit 3,547 4,243 5,389 7,314
Operating EBITDA 2,216 2,602 3,295 4,475
Depreciation And Amortisation (161) (138) (212) (251)
Operating EBIT 2,055 2,464 3,083 4,224
Financial Income/(Expense) (93) (123) (135) (184)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 460 480 555 651
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,422 2,821 3,503 4,691
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,422 2,821 3,503 4,691
Taxation (605) (695) (876) (1,173)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,817 2,127 2,627 3,518
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,817 2,127 2,627 3,518
Recurring Net Profit 1,817 2,127 2,627 3,518
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,817 2,127 2,627 3,518
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 2,216 2,602 3,295 4,475
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (213) (255) 70 76
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 164
Other Operating Cashflow (143)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (631) (695) (876) (1,173)
Cashflow From Operations 1,394 1,652 2,489 3,378
Capex (872) (900) (769) (414)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (1,367) 174 (1,884) (2,165)
Cash Flow From Investing (2,239) (726) (2,653) (2,580)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (7)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (252) (302) (373) (500)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (162) (127) (83) (111)
Cash Flow From Financing (421) (429) (456) (611)
Total Cash Generated (1,266) 497 (620) 187
Free Cashflow To Equity (852) 926 (164) 798
Free Cashflow To Firm (845) 926 (164) 798
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 3,927 4,892 5,514 7,457
Total Debtors 3,988 4,332 5,211 6,541
Inventories 2,668 2,727 3,257 4,162
Total Other Current Assets 804 866 1,086 1,189
Total Current Assets 11,387 12,817 15,068 19,349
Fixed Assets 1,983 2,731 3,288 3,452
Total Investments 2,622 2,342 3,170 4,341
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 926 1,043 1,412 1,302
Total Non-current Assets 5,531 6,116 7,870 9,095
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 501 565 782 1,189
Other Current Liabilities 2,956 3,096 4,560 6,541
Total Current Liabilities 3,457 3,661 5,341 7,730
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 150 146 198 271
Total Non-current Liabilities 150 146 198 271
Total Provisions 69 74 92 118
Total Liabilities 3,676 3,881 5,632 8,119
Shareholders Equity 13,242 15,067 17,321 20,340
Minority Interests
Total Equity 13,242 15,067 17,321 20,340
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 14.6% 12.7% 35.3% 36.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 29.0% 17.4% 26.6% 35.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 42.6% 44.4% 41.6% 41.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 70.12 87.36 98.46 133.16
BVPS (Rs) 236.47 269.05 309.30 363.21
Gross Interest Cover 22.02 20.04 22.88 22.90
Effective Tax Rate 25.0% 24.6% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 13.9% 14.2% 14.2% 14.2%
Accounts Receivables Days 274.30 259.28 219.75 197.64
Inventory Days 508.14 610.52 430.64 382.75
Accounts Payables Days 104.63 120.58 96.87 101.67
ROIC (%) 29.0% 35.7% 38.4% 47.4%
ROCE (%) 16.5% 17.4% 19.0% 22.4%
Return On Average Assets 12.2% 12.5% 13.2% 14.4%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com