* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 16,131 17,475 21,498 25,004
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 739 1,750 4,310 5,298
Net Profit (Rsm) (1,049) (1,283) 2,373 3,220
Core EPS (Rs) (2.9) 1.2 12.6 17.1
Core EPS Growth (223.5%) (141.3%) 943.4% 35.7%
FD Core P/E (x) (47.48) (38.81) 20.98 15.46
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 74.90 31.87 12.67 9.98
P/FCFE (x) 50.97 (19.91) 39.79 27.41
Net Gearing 65.8% 63.4% 40.9% 20.7%
P/BV (x) 5.76 5.17 4.15 3.27
ROE (6.5%) 2.5% 22.0% 23.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 16,131 17,475 21,498 25,004
Gross Profit 6,994 8,398 11,179 13,002
Operating EBITDA 739 1,750 4,310 5,298
Depreciation And Amortisation (786) (698) (724) (754)
Operating EBIT (47) 1,052 3,586 4,544
Financial Income/(Expense) (603) (979) (488) (314)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 156 172 75 75
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) (494) 245 3,173 4,305
Exceptional Items (498) (1,510)
Pre-tax Profit (992) (1,265) 3,173 4,305
Taxation (56) (17) (800) (1,085)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax (1,049) (1,283) 2,373 3,220
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit (1,049) (1,283) 2,373 3,220
Recurring Net Profit (551) 227 2,373 3,220
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit (551) 227 2,373 3,220
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 739 1,750 4,310 5,298
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 317 (1,632) (1,465) (1,277)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 1,171
Other Operating Cashflow 241 (1,167) 149 149
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (603) (979) (488) (314)
Tax Paid (475) (17) (800) (1,085)
Cashflow From Operations 1,390 (2,045) 1,707 2,772
Capex (606) (456) (456) (956)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 6
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (65)
Cash Flow From Investing (665) (456) (456) (956)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 252
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 6 2,259
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (281)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (836) (172) (75) (75)
Cash Flow From Financing (860) 2,087 (75) (75)
Total Cash Generated (135) (414) 1,177 1,742
Free Cashflow To Equity 977 (2,501) 1,251 1,816
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,328 (1,522) 1,739 2,130
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 935 522 1,699 3,440
Total Debtors 2,852 3,985 4,902 5,702
Inventories 5,127 4,710 5,795 6,740
Total Other Current Assets 1,093 1,093 1,093 1,093
Total Current Assets 10,007 10,310 13,489 16,975
Fixed Assets 8,023 7,781 7,512 7,714
Total Investments 79 79 79 79
Intangible Assets 596 596 596 596
Total Other Non-Current Assets 813 813 813 813
Total Non-current Assets 9,511 9,269 9,000 9,201
Short-term Debt 3,249 3,249 3,249 3,249
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 3,246 2,332 2,869 3,336
Other Current Liabilities 827 827 827 827
Total Current Liabilities 7,323 6,408 6,945 7,413
Total Long-term Debt 3,327 3,327 3,327 3,327
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 178 178 178 178
Total Non-current Liabilities 3,506 3,506 3,506 3,506
Total Provisions 119 119 119 119
Total Liabilities 10,948 10,033 10,570 11,038
Shareholders Equity 8,648 9,623 11,996 15,216
Minority Interests (78) (78) (78) (78)
Total Equity 8,570 9,545 11,918 15,138
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (4.1%) 8.3% 23.0% 16.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth (64.0%) 136.8% 146.3% 22.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 4.6% 10.0% 20.0% 21.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (30.01) (32.21) (25.95) (16.68)
BVPS (Rs) 46.00 51.19 63.81 80.94
Gross Interest Cover (0.08) 1.07 7.35 14.49
Effective Tax Rate 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 66.72 71.40 75.45 77.40
Inventory Days 215.90 197.80 185.80 190.61
Accounts Payables Days 122.45 112.15 91.97 94.35
ROIC (%) (0.3%) 7.4% 17.0% 20.0%
ROCE (%) (0.3%) 6.7% 20.6% 22.5%
Return On Average Assets 0.4% 6.2% 13.0% 14.2%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com