* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 1,578,358 1,660,813 1,753,481 2,046,411
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 537,222 535,044 525,398 558,271
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 2,115,580 2,195,857 2,278,879 2,604,682
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (49,142) (142,597) (245,008) (282,384)
Net Profit (Rsm) 681,766 665,879 573,846 684,784
Core EPS (Rs) 76.39 74.61 64.30 76.73
Core EPS Growth 36% (2%) (14%) 19%
FD Core P/E (x) 10.16 10.40 12.07 10.11
DPS (Rs) 13.70 13.70 13.70 14.00
Dividend Yield 1.77% 1.77% 1.77% 1.80%
BVPS (Rs) 422.7 487.9 538.5 601.5
P/BV (x) 1.84 1.59 1.44 1.29
ROE 19.3% 16.4% 12.5% 13.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 1,578,358 1,660,813 1,753,481 2,046,411
Total Non-Interest Income 537,222 535,044 525,398 558,271
Operating Revenue 2,115,580 2,195,857 2,278,879 2,604,682
Total Non-Interest Expenses (1,177,608) (1,141,796) (1,266,698) (1,406,811)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 937,972 1,054,060 1,012,181 1,197,871
Total Provision Charges (49,142) (142,597) (245,008) (282,384)
Operating Profit After Provisions 888,830 911,464 767,174 915,487
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 888,830 911,464 767,174 915,487
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 888,830 911,464 767,174 915,487
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 888,830 911,464 767,174 915,487
Taxation (207,063) (245,585) (193,328) (230,703)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 681,766 665,879 573,846 684,784
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 681,766 665,879 573,846 684,784
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 73.9% 76.8% 79.1% 80.3%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 92.0% 91.9% 91.8% 91.8%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 106.1% 105.8% 105.8% 105.9%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 0.14% 0.36% 0.54% 0.54%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.08% 0.22% 0.34% 0.35%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 37,039,708 42,047,952 48,462,428 55,855,436
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 16,713,397 17,026,860 17,235,798 18,726,200
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 53,753,104 59,074,812 65,698,224 74,581,640
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 53,753,104 59,074,812 65,698,224 74,581,640
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 4,509,642 5,118,444 5,809,434 6,593,707
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 4,935,815 5,555,271 6,257,181 7,052,648
Cash And Marketable Securities 3,108,020 3,432,608 3,854,954 4,389,720
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 61,796,940 68,062,688 75,810,360 86,024,008
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 49,160,768 53,862,660 60,617,184 69,215,440
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 55,136,376 61,109,340 68,054,528 77,307,376
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 2,888,097 2,599,288 2,950,192 3,348,467
Total Liabilities 58,024,476 63,708,628 71,004,720 80,655,848
Shareholders Equity 3,772,465 4,354,064 4,805,643 5,368,160
Minority Interests
Total Equity 3,772,465 4,354,064 4,805,643 5,368,160
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 10.7% 5.2% 5.6% 16.7%
Operating Profit Growth 12.0% 12.4% (4.0%) 18.3%
Pretax Profit Growth 32% 3% (16%) 19%
Net Interest To Total Income 74.6% 75.6% 76.9% 78.6%
Cost Of Funds 4.89% 5.13% 5.24% 5.13%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2%
Net Interest Spread 3.25% 3.10% 3.00% 3.10%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 3.38% 3.22% 3.06% 3.15%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 5% 14% 24% 24%
Interest Return On Average Assets 2.70% 2.56% 2.44% 2.53%
Effective Tax Rate 23.3% 26.9% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 17.9% 18.4% 21.3% 18.2%
Return On Average Assets 1.17% 1.03% 0.80% 0.85%

Analyst(s)

Bhavik Shah

(91) 22 4161 1551 bhavik.shah@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com