* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 1,598,758 1,695,146 1,929,175 2,277,605
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 516,822 514,188 547,105 610,190
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 2,115,580 2,209,334 2,476,279 2,887,795
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (49,142) (168,602) (194,725) (263,777)
Net Profit (Rsm) 610,766 730,111 820,806 952,226
Core EPS (Rs) 68.44 81.81 91.97 106.70
Core EPS Growth 32% 10% 12% 16%
FD Core P/E (x) 11.73 9.82 8.73 7.53
DPS (Rs) 13.70 20.45 25.29 32.01
Dividend Yield 1.71% 2.55% 3.15% 3.99%
BVPS (Rs) 422.7 484.1 550.7 625.4
P/BV (x) 1.90 1.66 1.46 1.28
ROE 19.3% 18.0% 17.8% 18.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 1,598,758 1,695,146 1,929,175 2,277,605
Total Non-Interest Income 516,822 514,188 547,105 610,190
Operating Revenue 2,115,580 2,209,334 2,476,279 2,887,795
Total Non-Interest Expenses (1,144,089) (1,022,771) (1,129,099) (1,287,172)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 937,972 1,145,994 1,293,528 1,538,511
Total Provision Charges (49,142) (168,602) (194,725) (263,777)
Operating Profit After Provisions 888,830 977,391 1,098,803 1,274,734
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 888,830 977,391 1,098,803 1,274,734
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 888,830 977,391 1,098,803 1,274,734
Exceptional Items (71,000)
Pre-tax Profit 817,830 977,391 1,098,803 1,274,734
Taxation (207,063) (247,280) (277,997) (322,508)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 610,766 730,111 820,806 952,226
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 610,766 730,111 820,806 952,226
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits 100.6% 104.4% 110.4% 115.2%
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 99.7% 102.6% 107.5% 112.9%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 33.0% 31.2% 29.6% 28.2%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 38.1% 35.7% 33.7% 31.9%
Net Cust Loans/Assets 59.9% 61.6% 63.0% 64.6%
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits 100.6% 104.4% 110.4% 115.2%
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans 10.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.9%
Asset Risk Weighting 51.1% 51.3% 50.9% 50.9%
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 0.14% 0.43% 0.43% 0.50%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.08% 0.26% 0.27% 0.32%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 37,039,708 42,278,632 48,823,140 56,622,416
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 16,713,397 17,897,626 19,353,920 21,252,034
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 53,753,104 60,176,256 68,177,064 77,874,448
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 53,753,104 60,176,256 68,177,064 77,874,448
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 4,509,642 5,077,934 5,747,209 6,514,245
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 4,935,815 5,531,209 6,219,015 7,007,260
Cash And Marketable Securities 3,108,020 2,957,142 3,096,931 2,835,045
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 61,796,940 68,664,608 77,493,008 87,716,752
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 36,812,772 40,515,340 44,237,776 49,160,768
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 4,172,977 4,260,434 4,931,352 5,975,609
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 40,985,748 44,775,776 49,169,128 55,136,376
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 1,819,797 2,299,318 2,724,572 2,888,097
Total Liabilities 42,805,544 47,075,092 51,893,700 58,024,476
Shareholders Equity 3,772,465 4,320,049 4,915,133 5,581,692
Minority Interests
Total Equity 3,772,465 4,320,049 4,915,133 5,581,692
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 10.4% 6.0% 13.8% 18.1%
Operating Profit Growth 11.7% 22.1% 13.5% 18.8%
Pretax Profit Growth 22% 20% 12% 16%
Net Interest To Total Income 75.6% 76.7% 77.9% 78.9%
Cost Of Funds 6.67% 6.84% 6.46% 6.08%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 8.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.5%
Net Interest Spread 1.51% 1.28% 1.28% 1.38%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 4.62% 4.38% 4.55% 4.88%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA) 5.31% 5.07% 5.17% 5.42%
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 5% 15% 15% 17%
Interest Return On Average Assets 2.73% 2.60% 2.64% 2.76%
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.3% 25.3% 25.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 17.9%
Return On Average Assets 1.17% 1.12% 1.12% 1.15%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com