* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 11,482 12,077 13,708 16,863
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,883 2,826 3,440 4,082
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,428 1,278 1,680 2,114
Core EPS (Rs) 27.9 25.0 32.8 40.8
Core EPS Growth (29.5%) (10.5%) 31.4% 24.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 55.74 62.30 47.42 37.87
DPS (Rs) 8.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Dividend Yield 0.51% 0.26% 0.26% 0.26%
EV/EBITDA (x) 27.53 27.76 22.72 18.71
P/FCFE (x) 107.48 83.29 130.81 27.02
Net Gearing (2.7%) (11.3%) (11.4%) (26.8%)
P/BV (x) 8.06 7.27 5.88 5.21
ROE 15.2% 12.3% 13.7% 14.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 11,482 12,077 13,708 16,863
Gross Profit 8,950 9,651 10,980 13,283
Operating EBITDA 2,883 2,826 3,440 4,082
Depreciation And Amortisation (892) (945) (1,090) (1,100)
Operating EBIT 1,991 1,881 2,350 2,982
Financial Income/(Expense) (268) (225) (200) (200)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. (6) (6) (8) (10)
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 152 91 100 50
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,869 1,740 2,242 2,822
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,869 1,740 2,242 2,822
Taxation (441) (462) (563) (708)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,428 1,278 1,680 2,114
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,428 1,278 1,680 2,114
Recurring Net Profit 1,428 1,278 1,680 2,114
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,428 1,278 1,680 2,114
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 2,883 2,826 3,440 4,082
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 71 55 (203) 100
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 152 91 100 50
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (268) (225) (200) (200)
Tax Paid (367) (105) (471) (568)
Cashflow From Operations 2,471 2,641 2,667 3,464
Capex (526) (638) (700) (500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 929 (1,358)
Other Investing Cashflow 65 (257)
Cash Flow From Investing 468 (894) (2,058) (500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (2,198) (791)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 2 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (619) (983) (205) (207)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (107) (39)
Cash Flow From Financing (2,923) (1,812) (205) (207)
Total Cash Generated 16 (66) 404 2,757
Free Cashflow To Equity 741 956 609 2,964
Free Cashflow To Firm 3,207 1,972 809 3,164
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,063 1,243 1,547 4,154
Total Debtors 1,219 1,263 1,480 1,855
Inventories 446 387 452 590
Total Other Current Assets 300 266 329 337
Total Current Assets 3,027 3,158 3,809 6,936
Fixed Assets 6,660 7,224 9,302 8,702
Total Investments 18 18 18 18
Intangible Assets 4,742 4,547 4,547 4,547
Total Other Non-Current Assets 500 528 528 530
Total Non-current Assets 11,920 12,316 14,394 13,796
Short-term Debt 504
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 941 994 1,086 1,436
Other Current Liabilities 586 684 736 1,006
Total Current Liabilities 2,031 1,679 1,822 2,442
Total Long-term Debt 286
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,722 2,803 2,803 2,803
Total Non-current Liabilities 3,009 2,803 2,803 2,803
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 5,040 4,482 4,625 5,245
Shareholders Equity 9,882 10,962 13,539 15,439
Minority Interests 25 31 39 49
Total Equity 9,907 10,993 13,578 15,488
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (6.5%) 5.2% 13.5% 23.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (15.9%) (2.0%) 21.7% 18.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 25.1% 23.4% 25.1% 24.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 5.31 24.26 30.20 80.25
BVPS (Rs) 193.01 213.99 264.29 298.27
Gross Interest Cover 7.43 8.35 11.75 14.91
Effective Tax Rate 23.6% 26.6% 25.1% 25.1%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 21.9% 11.8% 9.1% 7.3%
Accounts Receivables Days 40.91 37.50 36.52 36.10
Inventory Days 68.96 62.66 56.15 53.15
Accounts Payables Days 142.17 145.60 139.19 128.59
ROIC (%) 17.0% 15.2% 18.7% 20.1%
ROCE (%) 18.0% 17.3% 19.1% 20.5%
Return On Average Assets 14.2% 12.9% 14.5% 15.5%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com