* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 11,482 12,077 13,747 15,525
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,883 2,826 3,498 4,014
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,428 1,278 1,791 2,220
Core EPS (Rs) 27.9 25.0 35.0 43.3
Core EPS Growth (29.5%) (10.5%) 40.1% 24.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 72.43 80.96 57.80 46.62
DPS (Rs) 8.0 4.0 50.0 50.0
Dividend Yield 0.40% 0.20% 2.47% 2.47%
EV/EBITDA (x) 35.80 36.20 28.76 25.06
P/FCFE (x) 139.67 108.24 51.66 37.85
Net Gearing (2.7%) (11.3%) (23.4%) (24.2%)
P/BV (x) 10.47 9.44 8.25 8.49
ROE 15.2% 12.3% 15.2% 18.0%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 11,482 12,077 13,747 15,525
Gross Profit 8,950 9,651 10,860 12,327
Operating EBITDA 2,883 2,826 3,498 4,014
Depreciation And Amortisation (892) (945) (1,000) (950)
Operating EBIT 1,991 1,881 2,498 3,064
Financial Income/(Expense) (268) (225) (200) (200)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. (6) (6) (8) (10)
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 152 91 100 110
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,869 1,740 2,390 2,964
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,869 1,740 2,390 2,964
Taxation (441) (462) (600) (743)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,428 1,278 1,791 2,220
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,428 1,278 1,791 2,220
Recurring Net Profit 1,428 1,278 1,791 2,220
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,428 1,278 1,791 2,220
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 2,883 2,826 3,498 4,014
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 71 55 (187) (26)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 152 91 100 110
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (268) (225) (200) (200)
Tax Paid (367) (105) (508) (663)
Cashflow From Operations 2,471 2,641 2,704 3,234
Capex (526) (638) (700) (500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments 929
Other Investing Cashflow 65 (257)
Cash Flow From Investing 468 (894) (700) (500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (2,198) (791)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 2 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (619) (983) (205) (2,624)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (107) (39)
Cash Flow From Financing (2,923) (1,812) (205) (2,624)
Total Cash Generated 16 (66) 1,799 110
Free Cashflow To Equity 741 956 2,004 2,734
Free Cashflow To Firm 3,207 1,972 2,204 2,934
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,063 1,243 2,942 2,962
Total Debtors 1,219 1,263 1,485 1,708
Inventories 446 387 454 543
Total Other Current Assets 300 266 330 310
Total Current Assets 3,027 3,158 5,210 5,523
Fixed Assets 6,660 7,224 6,924 6,474
Total Investments 18 18 18 18
Intangible Assets 4,742 4,547 4,547 4,547
Total Other Non-Current Assets 500 528 528 528
Total Non-current Assets 11,920 12,316 12,016 11,566
Short-term Debt 504
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 941 994 1,100 1,242
Other Current Liabilities 586 684 745 870
Total Current Liabilities 2,031 1,679 1,844 2,112
Total Long-term Debt 286
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,722 2,803 2,803 2,803
Total Non-current Liabilities 3,009 2,803 2,803 2,803
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 5,040 4,482 4,647 4,915
Shareholders Equity 9,882 10,962 12,539 12,188
Minority Interests 25 31 39 49
Total Equity 9,907 10,993 12,579 12,237
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (6.5%) 5.2% 13.8% 12.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth (15.9%) (2.0%) 23.8% 14.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 25.1% 23.4% 25.4% 25.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 5.31 24.26 57.43 57.82
BVPS (Rs) 193.01 213.99 244.80 237.94
Gross Interest Cover 7.43 8.35 12.49 15.32
Effective Tax Rate 23.6% 26.6% 25.1% 25.1%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 21.9% 11.8% 107.2% 86.4%
Accounts Receivables Days 40.91 37.50 36.47 37.53
Inventory Days 68.96 62.66 53.14 56.89
Accounts Payables Days 142.17 145.60 132.38 133.62
ROIC (%) 17.0% 15.2% 19.9% 24.7%
ROCE (%) 18.0% 17.3% 21.2% 24.7%
Return On Average Assets 14.2% 12.9% 15.8% 18.4%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com