* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 71,472 74,364 84,449 96,485
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 13,028 11,580 13,934 17,271
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,704 6,834 8,222 10,722
Core EPS (Rs) 70.0 62.1 74.7 97.5
Core EPS Growth 40.1% (11.3%) 20.3% 30.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 25.89 29.19 24.26 18.60
DPS (Rs) 30.0 35.0 41.1 53.6
Dividend Yield 1.67% 1.95% 2.27% 2.96%
EV/EBITDA (x) 15.07 16.74 13.78 10.84
P/FCFE (x) 85.39 33.50 31.22 18.90
Net Gearing (13.3%) (17.8%) (19.9%) (26.8%)
P/BV (x) 4.68 4.38 4.05 3.69
ROE 19.9% 15.5% 17.4% 20.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 71,472 74,364 84,449 96,485
Gross Profit 36,352 35,469 40,535 47,664
Operating EBITDA 13,028 11,580 13,934 17,271
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,667) (2,726) (2,956) (3,280)
Operating EBIT 10,361 8,854 10,978 13,990
Financial Income/(Expense) (501) 750 185 462
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 9,860 9,605 11,163 14,452
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 9,860 9,605 11,163 14,452
Taxation (2,156) (2,509) (2,679) (3,469)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,704 7,096 8,484 10,984
Minority Interests (262) (262) (262)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,704 6,834 8,222 10,722
Recurring Net Profit 7,704 6,834 8,222 10,722
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,704 6,834 8,222 10,722
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 13,028 11,580 13,934 17,271
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (2,606) (340) (2,050) (2,447)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (2,775) (2,509) (2,679) (3,469)
Cashflow From Operations 7,647 8,731 9,205 11,355
Capex (853) (2,776) (2,815) (800)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 71
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (4,545) 1,832 1,267 1,544
Cash Flow From Investing (5,327) (944) (1,549) 744
Debt Raised/(repaid) (4,458)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 146
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (3,058) (3,884) (4,522) (5,897)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 4,708 (1,082) (1,082) (1,082)
Cash Flow From Financing (2,662) (4,966) (5,604) (6,979)
Total Cash Generated (342) 2,822 2,052 5,120
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,336 5,955 6,389 10,555
Free Cashflow To Firm 2,320 7,787 7,656 12,099
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 10,593 13,153 14,943 19,801
Total Debtors 16,979 17,460 19,828 22,654
Inventories 4,676 4,890 5,553 6,344
Total Other Current Assets 3,343 3,343 3,343 3,343
Total Current Assets 35,591 38,845 43,667 52,142
Fixed Assets 7,749 7,799 7,659 5,178
Total Investments 3,598 3,598 3,598 3,598
Intangible Assets 21,089 21,089 21,089 21,089
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009
Total Non-current Assets 34,445 34,495 34,355 31,874
Short-term Debt 1,743 1,743 1,743 1,743
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,878 7,233 8,214 9,384
Other Current Liabilities 7,960 7,960 7,960 7,960
Total Current Liabilities 16,581 16,936 17,917 19,087
Total Long-term Debt 2,783 2,783 2,783 2,783
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 5,103 5,103 5,103 5,103
Total Non-current Liabilities 7,886 7,886 7,886 7,886
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 24,467 24,822 25,803 26,973
Shareholders Equity 42,581 45,531 49,231 54,056
Minority Interests 2,988 2,988 2,988 2,988
Total Equity 45,569 48,519 52,219 57,044
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 18.8% 4.0% 13.6% 14.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth 29.9% (11.1%) 20.3% 23.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 18.2% 15.6% 16.5% 17.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 55.15 78.42 94.69 138.85
BVPS (Rs) 387.06 413.87 447.51 491.36
Gross Interest Cover 8.93 8.18 10.15 12.93
Effective Tax Rate 21.9% 26.1% 24.0% 24.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 33.7% 41.6% 41.5% 41.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 61.00 63.21 60.65 60.48
Inventory Days 46.94 44.88 43.40 44.47
Accounts Payables Days 72.85 66.21 64.19 65.78
ROIC (%) 21.7% 16.0% 20.2% 24.6%
ROCE (%) 17.2% 12.7% 15.2% 18.0%
Return On Average Assets 15.1% 12.6% 14.6% 17.4%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com