* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 50,144 53,845 61,061 68,409
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 5,882 6,182 6,939 7,979
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,517 6,875 7,826 8,865
Core EPS (Rs) 42.0 45.0 51.2 58.0
Core EPS Growth 27.4% 7.1% 13.8% 13.3%
FD Core P/E (x) 26.24 24.87 21.85 19.29
DPS (Rs) 7.0 7.5 8.6 9.7
Dividend Yield 0.63% 0.67% 0.77% 0.87%
EV/EBITDA (x) 24.83 23.32 20.50 17.61
P/FCFE (x) 127.53 622.41 105.43 124.30
Net Gearing (50.4%) (48.6%) (46.6%) (44.2%)
P/BV (x) 3.46 3.10 2.77 2.48
ROE 13.8% 13.1% 13.4% 13.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 50,144 53,845 61,061 68,409
Gross Profit 10,661 10,480 12,151 13,819
Operating EBITDA 5,882 6,182 6,939 7,979
Depreciation And Amortisation (439) (535) (728) (895)
Operating EBIT 5,444 5,647 6,211 7,084
Financial Income/(Expense) 412 (17) 833 903
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 1,461 1,674 1,840 2,127
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,195 1,722 1,550 1,705
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,512 9,027 10,434 11,820
Exceptional Items 126
Pre-tax Profit 8,638 9,027 10,434 11,820
Taxation (2,121) (2,152) (2,609) (2,955)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,517 6,875 7,826 8,865
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,517 6,875 7,826 8,865
Recurring Net Profit 6,422 6,875 7,826 8,865
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,422 6,875 7,826 8,865
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 5,882 6,182 6,939 7,979
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 1,402 (1,302) (1,933) (4,027)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 508 3,380 4,223 4,735
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (422) 17 (833) (903)
Tax Paid (1,601) (2,152) (2,609) (2,955)
Cashflow From Operations 5,769 6,125 5,787 4,830
Capex (2,186) (4,850) (4,030) (3,389)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 0
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (3,073) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)
Other Investing Cashflow 863 865 935
Cash Flow From Investing (4,396) (5,850) (4,165) (3,454)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (33)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,070) (1,151) (1,310) (1,484)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (14) (17) (32) (32)
Cash Flow From Financing (1,117) (1,168) (1,342) (1,516)
Total Cash Generated 257 (893) 280 (140)
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,341 275 1,622 1,376
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,353 258 1,590 1,344
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 24,936 26,811 28,765 30,513
Total Debtors 1,775 2,065 2,509 3,374
Inventories 5,763 6,638 7,863 10,308
Total Other Current Assets 5,168 5,549 6,293 7,497
Total Current Assets 37,642 41,064 45,429 51,691
Fixed Assets 4,291 10,032 13,334 15,828
Total Investments 11,939 11,939 11,939 11,939
Intangible Assets 12 12 12 12
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,480 1,055 1,055 1,055
Total Non-current Assets 18,722 23,037 26,339 28,833
Short-term Debt 1 1 1 1
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,342 2,515 2,852 3,195
Other Current Liabilities 985 1,057 1,199 1,343
Total Current Liabilities 3,327 3,573 4,052 4,539
Total Long-term Debt 8 8 8 8
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 290 290 290 290
Total Non-current Liabilities 298 298 298 298
Total Provisions 3,268 3,268 3,268 3,268
Total Liabilities 6,893 7,139 7,617 8,105
Shareholders Equity 49,459 55,183 61,698 69,078
Minority Interests
Total Equity 49,459 55,183 61,698 69,078
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 11.9% 7.4% 13.4% 12.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 15.5% 5.1% 12.2% 15.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 11.7% 11.5% 11.4% 11.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 162.99 175.25 188.02 199.45
BVPS (Rs) 323.39 360.81 403.41 451.67
Gross Interest Cover 268.16 340.65 196.44 224.06
Effective Tax Rate 24.6% 23.8% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 12.6% 12.8% 12.6% 12.6%
Accounts Receivables Days 14.38 13.02 13.67 15.69
Inventory Days 57.82 52.19 54.11 60.75
Accounts Payables Days 20.47 20.44 20.03 20.22
ROIC (%) 46.3% 34.9% 28.5% 26.2%
ROCE (%) 11.9% 10.2% 11.5% 11.7%
Return On Average Assets 15.3% 15.0% 14.1% 14.3%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com