* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 96,472 105,852 123,871 138,649
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 19,189 19,838 23,907 27,175
Net Profit (Rsm) 13,035 13,688 16,290 18,670
Core EPS (Rs) 122.5 129.1 153.5 176.0
Core EPS Growth 7.4% 5.4% 18.9% 14.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 37.85 35.91 30.19 26.34
DPS (Rs) 50.0 54.0 66.0 75.7
Dividend Yield 1.08% 1.16% 1.42% 1.63%
EV/EBITDA (x) 24.60 23.43 19.14 16.48
P/FCFE (x) 45.60 55.39 40.13 32.39
Net Gearing (40.5%) (44.0%) (48.7%) (54.2%)
P/BV (x) 9.22 8.03 6.98 6.06
ROE 26.7% 23.9% 24.7% 24.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 96,472 105,852 123,871 138,649
Gross Profit 47,174 48,834 57,972 65,303
Operating EBITDA 19,189 19,838 23,907 27,175
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,716) (3,160) (3,592) (3,951)
Operating EBIT 16,473 16,678 20,315 23,224
Financial Income/(Expense) 1,564 2,214 2,175 2,548
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 18,037 18,892 22,490 25,772
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 18,037 18,892 22,490 25,772
Taxation (4,975) (5,189) (6,185) (7,087)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 13,062 13,703 16,305 18,685
Minority Interests (27) (15) (15) (15)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 13,035 13,688 16,290 18,670
Recurring Net Profit 13,035 13,688 16,290 18,670
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 13,035 13,688 16,290 18,670
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 19,189 19,838 23,907 27,175
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (557) (3,260) (2,951) (2,386)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (27) (15) (15) (15)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (5,256) (5,189) (6,185) (7,087)
Cashflow From Operations 13,349 11,374 14,757 17,687
Capex (2,528) (2,500) (2,500) (2,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 195 2,702 2,663 3,036
Cash Flow From Investing (2,333) 202 163 536
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,967) (5,715) (7,005) (8,028)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,612) (488) (488) (488)
Cash Flow From Financing (6,579) (6,203) (7,493) (8,516)
Total Cash Generated 4,437 5,373 7,427 9,707
Free Cashflow To Equity 10,821 8,874 12,257 15,187
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,016 11,575 14,920 18,223
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 26,841 32,202 39,617 49,312
Total Debtors 32,557 37,048 42,612 47,002
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 2,905 2,905 2,905 2,905
Total Current Assets 62,303 72,155 85,133 99,219
Fixed Assets 10,009 9,349 8,257 6,806
Total Investments 3,691 3,691 3,691 3,691
Intangible Assets 6,248 6,248 6,248 6,248
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,634 2,634 2,634 2,634
Total Non-current Assets 22,582 21,922 20,830 19,379
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 14,117 15,349 17,961 19,965
Other Current Liabilities 11,254 11,254 11,254 11,254
Total Current Liabilities 25,371 26,603 29,215 31,219
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 6,036 6,036 6,036 6,036
Total Non-current Liabilities 6,036 6,036 6,036 6,036
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 31,407 32,639 35,251 37,255
Shareholders Equity 53,271 61,232 70,505 81,135
Minority Interests 207 207 207 207
Total Equity 53,478 61,439 70,712 81,342
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 9.4% 9.7% 17.0% 11.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 9.0% 3.4% 20.5% 13.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 19.9% 18.7% 19.3% 19.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 204.29 254.55 324.44 415.82
BVPS (Rs) 502.76 577.14 664.55 764.74
Gross Interest Cover 32.36 34.18 41.63 47.59
Effective Tax Rate 27.6% 27.5% 27.5% 27.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 40.5% 41.8% 43.0% 43.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 123.54 120.01 117.36 117.96
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 98.05 94.31 92.25 94.37
ROIC (%) 65.9% 41.7% 46.6% 50.3%
ROCE (%) 22.3% 19.3% 20.7% 20.7%
Return On Average Assets 14.3% 13.5% 14.7% 15.0%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com