* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 7,175 9,784 11,252 12,377
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,285 2,274 2,774 3,116
Net Profit (Rsm) 487 1,502 1,834 2,066
Core EPS (Rs) 16.5 36.6 44.7 50.4
Core EPS Growth (18.6%) 121.6% 22.1% 12.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 208.13 67.49 55.29 49.06
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 80.24 43.59 35.39 31.07
P/FCFE (x) 4,404.51 (40.29) 84.31 64.34
Net Gearing 23.9% (18.6%) (23.3%) (28.9%)
P/BV (x) 15.04 8.06 7.16 6.34
ROE 10.7% 15.6% 13.7% 13.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 7,175 9,784 11,252 12,377
Gross Profit 3,058 4,501 5,176 5,693
Operating EBITDA 1,285 2,274 2,774 3,116
Depreciation And Amortisation (161) (279) (336) (368)
Operating EBIT 1,124 1,995 2,438 2,749
Financial Income/(Expense) (59)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 75 14 14 14
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,140 2,008 2,451 2,762
Exceptional Items (321)
Pre-tax Profit 819 2,008 2,451 2,762
Taxation (332) (506) (618) (696)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 487 1,502 1,834 2,066
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 487 1,502 1,834 2,066
Recurring Net Profit 678 1,502 1,834 2,066
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 678 1,502 1,834 2,066
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,285 2,274 2,774 3,116
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (217) (831) (467) (358)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (246) 14 14 14
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (59)
Tax Paid (332) (506) (618) (696)
Cashflow From Operations 430 950 1,702 2,076
Capex (2,538) (1,300) (500) (500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (2,538) (1,300) (500) (500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,130 (2,166)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 4,597
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (200) (250) (250) (250)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing 1,930 2,181 (250) (250)
Total Cash Generated (177) 1,831 952 1,326
Free Cashflow To Equity 23 (2,516) 1,202 1,576
Free Cashflow To Firm (2,048) (350) 1,202 1,576
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 533 2,364 3,317 4,642
Total Debtors 2,064 2,814 3,236 3,560
Inventories 1,567 2,137 2,458 2,704
Total Other Current Assets 794 794 794 794
Total Current Assets 4,958 8,110 9,805 11,700
Fixed Assets 4,483 5,504 5,668 5,800
Total Investments 2 2 2 2
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,516 1,516 1,516 1,516
Total Non-current Assets 6,001 7,022 7,186 7,318
Short-term Debt 1,030
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,346 1,836 2,111 2,322
Other Current Liabilities 476 476 476 476
Total Current Liabilities 2,852 2,311 2,587 2,798
Total Long-term Debt 1,136
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,136
Total Provisions 143 143 143 143
Total Liabilities 4,131 2,455 2,730 2,941
Shareholders Equity 6,740 12,580 14,163 15,980
Minority Interests 88 97 97 97
Total Equity 6,828 12,677 14,261 16,077
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 16.3% 36.4% 15.0% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 4.8% 77.0% 22.0% 12.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 17.9% 23.2% 24.7% 25.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (39.84) 57.66 80.89 113.22
BVPS (Rs) 164.39 306.82 345.45 389.75
Gross Interest Cover 18.93
Effective Tax Rate 40.5% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 111.06 90.98 98.13 100.21
Inventory Days 122.31 127.97 138.03 140.95
Accounts Payables Days 122.64 109.90 118.54 121.05
ROIC (%) 12.2% 17.3% 17.4% 18.5%
ROCE (%) 14.8% 18.2% 17.9% 18.0%
Return On Average Assets 9.1% 11.5% 11.4% 11.5%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com