* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 6,167 6,784 7,462 8,209
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,226 1,178 1,227 1,290
Net Profit (Rsm) 833 788 822 867
Core EPS (Rs) 23.1 21.9 22.8 24.1
Core EPS Growth 15.8% (5.4%) 4.3% 5.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 87.55 92.59 88.73 84.08
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 59.03 60.67 57.89 54.66
P/FCFE (x) 195.21 102.74 105.22 101.35
Net Gearing (9.3%) (23.0%) (27.4%) (31.4%)
P/BV (x) 12.28 11.34 10.42 9.57
ROE 15.0% 12.7% 12.2% 11.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 6,167 6,784 7,462 8,209
Gross Profit 2,858 2,985 3,209 3,448
Operating EBITDA 1,226 1,178 1,227 1,290
Depreciation And Amortisation (123) (139) (142) (145)
Operating EBIT 1,103 1,039 1,085 1,146
Financial Income/(Expense) (24)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 43 14 14 14
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,122 1,053 1,099 1,159
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,122 1,053 1,099 1,159
Taxation (289) (265) (277) (292)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 833 788 822 867
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 833 788 822 867
Recurring Net Profit 833 788 822 867
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 833 788 822 867
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 1,226 1,178 1,227 1,290
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (443) (130) (220) (242)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 43 14 14 14
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (24)
Tax Paid (245) (265) (277) (292)
Cashflow From Operations 557 796 743 770
Capex (657) (50) (50) (50)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries (181)
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 632
Cash Flow From Investing (205) (50) (50) (50)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 21 (36)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (109) (250) (250) (250)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (56)
Cash Flow From Financing (144) (286) (250) (250)
Total Cash Generated 208 460 443 470
Free Cashflow To Equity 374 710 693 720
Free Cashflow To Firm 377 746 693 720
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 587 1,477 1,920 2,389
Total Debtors 2,303 2,135 2,349 2,584
Inventories 1,192 1,463 1,609 1,770
Total Other Current Assets 620 620 620 620
Total Current Assets 4,701 5,694 6,497 7,363
Fixed Assets 2,473 2,384 2,293 2,198
Total Investments 17 17 17 17
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 479
Total Non-current Assets 2,969 2,401 2,309 2,215
Short-term Debt 30
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,420 1,394 1,533 1,687
Other Current Liabilities 178 178 178 178
Total Current Liabilities 1,628 1,572 1,712 1,865
Total Long-term Debt 6
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 6
Total Provisions 95 95 95 95
Total Liabilities 1,730 1,667 1,807 1,960
Shareholders Equity 5,940 6,428 7,000 7,617
Minority Interests
Total Equity 5,940 6,428 7,000 7,617
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 18.6% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 16.6% (3.9%) 4.2% 5.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 19.9% 17.4% 16.4% 15.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 15.30 41.02 53.32 66.36
BVPS (Rs) 164.99 178.55 194.44 211.58
Gross Interest Cover 45.71
Effective Tax Rate 25.7% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 116.58 119.38 109.65 109.65
Inventory Days 127.59 127.53 131.82 129.55
Accounts Payables Days 143.65 135.20 125.60 123.43
ROIC (%) 19.3% 14.2% 16.1% 16.6%
ROCE (%) 19.5% 16.5% 16.0% 15.5%
Return On Average Assets 12.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com