* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 62,443 77,074 85,482 97,089
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,268 12,821 16,468 20,737
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,713 5,474 8,142 10,896
Core EPS (Rs) 18.6 23.3 32.1 42.9
Core EPS Growth (46.7%) 25.3% 37.9% 33.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 84.75 67.64 49.06 36.66
DPS (Rs) 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0
Dividend Yield 0.25% 0.25% 0.32% 0.32%
EV/EBITDA (x) 42.08 32.41 25.16 19.83
P/FCFE (x) 36.40 (495.36) 38.91 27.81
Net Gearing (12.2%) 6.8% 4.0% (0.4%)
P/BV (x) 6.84 6.31 5.71 5.07
ROE 8.3% 9.7% 12.2% 14.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 62,443 77,074 85,482 97,089
Gross Profit 39,378 51,317 58,555 66,991
Operating EBITDA 9,268 12,821 16,468 20,737
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,616) (3,572) (4,000) (4,500)
Operating EBIT 6,652 9,249 12,468 16,237
Financial Income/(Expense) (455) (1,383) (950) (800)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,256 1,248 900 1,200
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,453 9,114 12,418 16,637
Exceptional Items (687)
Pre-tax Profit 7,453 8,427 12,418 16,637
Taxation (2,534) (3,134) (3,725) (4,991)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,919 5,292 8,692 11,646
Minority Interests (206) 181 (550) (750)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,713 5,474 8,142 10,896
Recurring Net Profit 4,713 5,905 8,142 10,896
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,713 5,905 8,142 10,896
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 9,268 12,821 16,468 20,737
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 490 (916) (4,809) (5,314)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (1,700) (2,459) (4,275) (5,741)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (455) (1,383) (950) (800)
Tax Paid (2,500) (1,637) (4,225) (6,141)
Cashflow From Operations 8,058 9,447 7,384 9,682
Capex (4,583) (4,020) (4,500) (5,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (453) (15,680)
Other Investing Cashflow (106)
Cash Flow From Investing 2,916 (10,253) 2,884 4,682
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,015) (507) (1,015) (1,269)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 6,194 1,763 11,394 (1,413)
Cash Flow From Financing 5,179 1,256 10,379 (2,682)
Total Cash Generated 8,095 (8,997) 13,263 2,000
Free Cashflow To Equity 10,974 (806) 10,267 14,364
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,429 576 11,217 15,164
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 21,798 8,646 21,909 23,910
Total Debtors 9,890 16,865 17,951 20,389
Inventories 17,434 24,696 25,645 29,127
Total Other Current Assets 2,771 5,182 5,984 6,796
Total Current Assets 51,893 55,389 71,489 80,221
Fixed Assets 26,946 46,631 47,131 47,631
Total Investments 3,027 3,036 3,036 3,036
Intangible Assets 1,972 2,333 2,333 2,333
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,427 3,624 3,624 3,624
Total Non-current Assets 34,372 55,624 56,124 56,624
Short-term Debt 8,058 8,071 8,071 8,071
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,251 7,761 7,508 8,295
Other Current Liabilities 4,750 7,725 6,006 6,636
Total Current Liabilities 18,058 23,556 21,585 23,003
Total Long-term Debt 6,518 5,804 17,248 15,435
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,535 4,382 4,382 4,382
Total Non-current Liabilities 9,053 10,186 21,631 19,818
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 27,111 33,743 43,215 42,820
Shareholders Equity 58,420 63,322 69,900 78,777
Minority Interests 733 13,948 14,498 15,248
Total Equity 59,153 77,270 84,398 94,025
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 7.1% 23.4% 10.9% 13.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth (29.2%) 38.3% 28.4% 25.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 14.8% 16.6% 19.3% 21.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 28.47 (20.61) (13.44) 1.59
BVPS (Rs) 230.27 249.59 275.52 310.51
Gross Interest Cover 14.61 6.69 13.12 20.30
Effective Tax Rate 34.0% 37.2% 30.0% 30.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 55.52 63.35 74.33 72.07
Inventory Days 284.95 298.50 341.19 332.11
Accounts Payables Days 109.55 92.19 103.48 95.82
ROIC (%) 9.7% 8.3% 10.5% 12.8%
ROCE (%) 9.7% 11.2% 12.4% 14.3%
Return On Average Assets 6.5% 7.1% 7.9% 9.3%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com