* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 62,443 77,074 88,545 100,527
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,268 12,821 17,269 20,717
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,713 5,474 8,956 11,358
Core EPS (Rs) 18.6 23.3 35.3 44.8
Core EPS Growth (46.7%) 25.3% 51.7% 26.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 76.22 60.83 40.11 31.63
DPS (Rs) 4.0 4.0 5.0 5.0
Dividend Yield 0.28% 0.28% 0.35% 0.35%
EV/EBITDA (x) 37.73 29.28 21.70 17.92
P/FCFE (x) 32.74 (445.48) 39.94 23.86
Net Gearing (12.2%) 6.8% 4.6% (0.4%)
P/BV (x) 6.15 5.67 5.09 4.50
ROE 8.3% 9.7% 13.4% 15.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 62,443 77,074 88,545 100,527
Gross Profit 39,378 51,317 61,539 69,364
Operating EBITDA 9,268 12,821 17,269 20,717
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,616) (3,572) (4,000) (4,500)
Operating EBIT 6,652 9,249 13,269 16,217
Financial Income/(Expense) (455) (1,383) (850) (600)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,256 1,248 900 1,200
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,453 9,114 13,319 16,817
Exceptional Items (687)
Pre-tax Profit 7,453 8,427 13,319 16,817
Taxation (2,534) (3,134) (3,663) (4,709)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,919 5,292 9,656 12,108
Minority Interests (206) 181 (700) (750)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,713 5,474 8,956 11,358
Recurring Net Profit 4,713 5,905 8,956 11,358
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,713 5,905 8,956 11,358
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 9,268 12,821 17,269 20,717
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 490 (916) (6,159) (5,229)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (1,700) (2,459) (4,363) (5,459)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (455) (1,383) (850) (600)
Tax Paid (2,500) (1,637) (4,413) (6,059)
Cashflow From Operations 8,058 9,447 6,747 10,029
Capex (4,583) (4,020) (4,500) (5,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (453) (15,680)
Other Investing Cashflow (106)
Cash Flow From Investing 2,916 (10,253) 2,247 5,029
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,015) (507) (1,015) (1,269)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 6,194 1,763 11,738 (1,138)
Cash Flow From Financing 5,179 1,256 10,724 (2,407)
Total Cash Generated 8,095 (8,997) 12,971 2,622
Free Cashflow To Equity 10,974 (806) 8,994 15,058
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,429 576 9,844 15,658
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 21,798 8,646 21,617 24,240
Total Debtors 9,890 16,865 18,594 21,111
Inventories 17,434 24,696 26,563 30,158
Total Other Current Assets 2,771 5,182 6,198 7,037
Total Current Assets 51,893 55,389 72,973 82,546
Fixed Assets 26,946 46,631 47,131 47,631
Total Investments 3,027 3,036 3,036 3,036
Intangible Assets 1,972 2,333 2,333 2,333
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,427 3,624 3,624 3,624
Total Non-current Assets 34,372 55,624 56,124 56,624
Short-term Debt 8,058 8,071 8,071 8,071
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 5,251 7,761 7,744 8,700
Other Current Liabilities 4,750 7,725 6,195 6,960
Total Current Liabilities 18,058 23,556 22,011 23,732
Total Long-term Debt 6,518 5,804 17,493 15,754
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,535 4,382 4,382 4,382
Total Non-current Liabilities 9,053 10,186 21,875 20,137
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 27,111 33,743 43,886 43,868
Shareholders Equity 58,420 63,322 70,563 79,903
Minority Interests 733 13,948 14,648 15,398
Total Equity 59,153 77,270 85,211 95,301
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 7.1% 23.4% 14.9% 13.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth (29.2%) 38.3% 34.7% 20.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 14.8% 16.6% 19.5% 20.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 28.47 (20.61) (15.55) 1.63
BVPS (Rs) 230.27 249.59 278.13 314.95
Gross Interest Cover 14.61 6.69 15.61 27.03
Effective Tax Rate 34.0% 37.2% 27.5% 28.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 55.52 63.35 73.09 72.08
Inventory Days 284.95 298.50 346.39 332.17
Accounts Payables Days 109.55 92.19 104.78 96.30
ROIC (%) 9.7% 8.3% 11.0% 12.6%
ROCE (%) 9.7% 11.2% 13.1% 14.1%
Return On Average Assets 6.5% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com