* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 27,966 30,763 33,839 37,223
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,445 2,469 3,190 4,015
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,246 1,029 1,349 1,659
Core EPS (Rs) 4.7 3.9 5.1 6.3
Core EPS Growth (51.4%) (17.5%) 31.2% 23.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 53.29 64.56 49.22 40.02
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 28.15 28.89 23.00 18.39
P/FCFE (x) (107.38) 113.90 43.91 252.46
Net Gearing 17.4% 32.7% 42.4% 41.1%
P/BV (x) 4.70 4.38 4.03 3.66
ROE 9.2% 7.0% 8.5% 9.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 27,966 30,763 33,839 37,223
Gross Profit 9,414 9,844 10,998 12,284
Operating EBITDA 2,445 2,469 3,190 4,015
Depreciation And Amortisation (724) (797) (869) (1,160)
Operating EBIT 1,721 1,672 2,321 2,855
Financial Income/(Expense) (113) (418) (638) (758)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 121 121 121 121
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,729 1,375 1,804 2,218
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,729 1,375 1,804 2,218
Taxation (483) (347) (454) (559)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,246 1,029 1,349 1,659
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,246 1,029 1,349 1,659
Recurring Net Profit 1,246 1,029 1,349 1,659
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,246 1,029 1,349 1,659
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 2,445 2,469 3,190 4,015
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (133) (910) (1,094) (1,314)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 66
Other Operating Cashflow 226 538 758 878
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (113) (418) (638) (758)
Tax Paid (501) (347) (454) (559)
Cashflow From Operations 1,991 1,333 1,762 2,263
Capex (4,759) (3,250) (3,250) (2,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 1
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 916
Cash Flow From Investing (3,841) (3,250) (3,250) (2,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 1,232 2,500 3,000
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 2
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (24)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 1,114
Cash Flow From Financing 2,325 2,500 3,000
Total Cash Generated 474 583 1,512 263
Free Cashflow To Equity (618) 583 1,512 263
Free Cashflow To Firm (1,738) (1,499) (850) 1,021
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,509 1,515 2,473 2,010
Total Debtors 5,702 6,461 7,320 8,294
Inventories 2,942 3,560 4,308 5,212
Total Other Current Assets 2,014 2,014 2,014 2,014
Total Current Assets 12,167 13,550 16,115 17,530
Fixed Assets 11,527 13,980 16,361 17,201
Total Investments 28 28 28 28
Intangible Assets 85 114 114 114
Total Other Non-Current Assets 315 327 327 327
Total Non-current Assets 11,955 14,449 16,830 17,670
Short-term Debt 2,666 5,166 8,166 8,166
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 4,663 5,130 5,643 6,207
Other Current Liabilities 972 972 972 972
Total Current Liabilities 8,301 11,268 14,780 15,345
Total Long-term Debt 1,303 1,303 1,303 1,303
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 81 81 81 81
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,385 1,385 1,385 1,385
Total Provisions 312 197 281 312
Total Liabilities 9,998 12,849 16,446 17,042
Shareholders Equity 14,118 15,146 16,495 18,154
Minority Interests 6 4 4 4
Total Equity 14,124 15,150 16,499 18,158
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth (9.3%) 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth (33.5%) 1.0% 29.2% 25.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 8.7% 8.0% 9.4% 10.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (9.33) (18.79) (26.53) (28.29)
BVPS (Rs) 53.54 57.44 62.55 68.85
Gross Interest Cover 15.29 4.00 3.64 3.77
Effective Tax Rate 27.9% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 80.83 72.16 74.32 76.55
Inventory Days 65.70 56.73 62.86 69.66
Accounts Payables Days 115.88 85.44 86.07 86.71
ROIC (%) 9.7% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0%
ROCE (%) 10.4% 8.3% 9.7% 10.6%
Return On Average Assets 5.7% 5.1% 6.0% 6.5%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com