* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 28,650 30,000 33,000 36,300
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 2,557 2,900 3,600 4,044
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,205 1,192 1,332 1,412
Core EPS (Rs) 4.6 4.5 5.1 5.4
Core EPS Growth (3.3%) (1.1%) 11.8% 6.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 39.71 40.16 35.93 33.89
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 17.52 15.80 13.21 12.13
P/FCFE (x) (25.30) 11.26 (37.08) (45.63)
Net Gearing (16.9%) (10.6%) (1.4%) 5.5%
P/BV (x) 2.66 2.50 2.34 2.18
ROE 7.5% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 28,650 30,000 33,000 36,300
Gross Profit 9,403 10,500 11,880 13,068
Operating EBITDA 2,557 2,900 3,600 4,044
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,066) (1,319) (1,656) (1,993)
Operating EBIT 1,491 1,581 1,944 2,051
Financial Income/(Expense) (65) (270) (445) (445)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 282 282 282 282
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,708 1,593 1,781 1,888
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,708 1,593 1,781 1,888
Taxation (503) (402) (449) (476)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,205 1,192 1,332 1,412
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,205 1,192 1,332 1,412
Recurring Net Profit 1,205 1,192 1,332 1,412
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,205 1,192 1,332 1,412
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 2,557 2,900 3,600 4,044
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 3,086 (529) (724) (900)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 67
Other Operating Cashflow 342 552 727 727
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (65) (270) (445) (445)
Tax Paid (371) (402) (449) (476)
Cashflow From Operations 5,616 2,251 2,709 2,951
Capex (2,477) (3,000) (4,000) (4,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 2
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (2,421)
Cash Flow From Investing (4,895) (3,000) (4,000) (4,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (2,612) 5,000
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (2)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (133)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 2,328 (270) (445) (445)
Cash Flow From Financing (419) 4,730 (445) (445)
Total Cash Generated 301 3,981 (1,736) (1,494)
Free Cashflow To Equity (1,892) 4,251 (1,291) (1,049)
Free Cashflow To Firm 786 (479) (846) (604)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 4,402 8,383 6,647 5,153
Total Debtors 5,834 6,293 7,129 8,078
Inventories 2,833 3,264 3,949 4,778
Total Other Current Assets 1,703 1,703 1,703 1,703
Total Current Assets 14,772 19,642 19,429 19,712
Fixed Assets 13,150 14,831 17,175 19,182
Total Investments 28 28 28 28
Intangible Assets 66 66 66 66
Total Other Non-Current Assets 256 256 256 256
Total Non-current Assets 13,500 15,181 17,525 19,532
Short-term Debt 385 385 385 385
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 7,621 7,980 8,778 9,656
Other Current Liabilities 905 905 905 905
Total Current Liabilities 8,911 9,270 10,068 10,946
Total Long-term Debt 972 5,972 5,972 5,972
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 64 64 64 64
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,036 6,036 6,036 6,036
Total Provisions 345 345 345 345
Total Liabilities 10,292 15,651 16,449 17,327
Shareholders Equity 17,976 19,168 20,501 21,913
Minority Interests 4 4 4 4
Total Equity 17,980 19,172 20,504 21,917
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 2.4% 4.7% 10.0% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 4.6% 13.4% 24.1% 12.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 8.9% 9.7% 10.9% 11.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 11.54 7.68 1.10 (4.57)
BVPS (Rs) 68.17 72.69 77.74 83.10
Gross Interest Cover 22.77 5.86 4.37 4.61
Effective Tax Rate 29.4% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 73.49 73.77 74.23 76.45
Inventory Days 54.76 57.06 62.32 68.56
Accounts Payables Days 116.48 146.01 144.81 144.81
ROIC (%) 6.2% 7.7% 8.3% 7.4%
ROCE (%) 7.9% 7.0% 7.3% 7.4%
Return On Average Assets 4.8% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com