* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 31,538 44,241 60,230 80,587
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,984 2,915 4,132 5,575
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,257 1,737 2,644 3,658
Core EPS (Rs) 7.1 9.8 15.0 20.7
Core EPS Growth 2.1% 38.2% 52.2% 38.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 78.68 56.93 37.40 27.03
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 52.68 35.71 25.02 18.40
P/FCFE (x) 113.72 1,203.80 46.87 36.39
Net Gearing 29.7% 24.7% 18.3% 12.2%
P/BV (x) 6.13 5.54 4.82 4.09
ROE 8.0% 10.2% 13.8% 16.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 31,538 44,241 60,230 80,587
Gross Profit 6,469 8,842 12,389 16,577
Operating EBITDA 1,984 2,915 4,132 5,575
Depreciation And Amortisation (515) (680) (711) (816)
Operating EBIT 1,469 2,235 3,422 4,760
Financial Income/(Expense) (378) (539) (532) (517)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 587 614 635 635
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,678 2,310 3,525 4,878
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,678 2,310 3,525 4,878
Taxation (421) (573) (881) (1,219)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,257 1,737 2,644 3,658
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,257 1,737 2,644 3,658
Recurring Net Profit 1,257 1,737 2,644 3,658
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,257 1,737 2,644 3,658
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,664 2,310 3,525 4,878
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,273) (958) (1,640) (2,637)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 515 680 711 816
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 378 539 532 517
Tax Paid (421) (573) (881) (1,219)
Cashflow From Operations (1,136) 1,998 2,247 2,354
Capex (3,249) (1,800) (1,000) (1,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 2,967 549 363 1,213
Cash Flow From Investing (282) (1,251) (637) 213
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,288 (665) 500 150
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (741) (539) (532) (517)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,547 (1,203) (32) (367)
Total Cash Generated 128 (457) 1,578 2,200
Free Cashflow To Equity 870 82 2,110 2,718
Free Cashflow To Firm (1,797) 208 1,078 2,050
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 784 518 1,734 2,720
Total Debtors 9,301 6,436 8,444 11,381
Inventories 10,043 11,419 14,025 17,747
Total Other Current Assets 2,207 1,910 2,633 3,549
Total Current Assets 22,335 20,283 26,835 35,397
Fixed Assets 5,965 7,220 7,509 7,693
Total Investments 64 64 64 64
Intangible Assets 3,450 3,450 3,450 3,450
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,007 4,007 4,007 4,007
Total Non-current Assets 13,487 14,741 15,030 15,215
Short-term Debt 5,118 4,099 4,599 4,749
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 12,232 8,350 11,210 15,087
Other Current Liabilities 1,056 1,833 2,519 3,391
Total Current Liabilities 18,407 14,282 18,328 23,226
Total Long-term Debt 645 1,000 1,000 1,000
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 722 722 722 722
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,367 1,722 1,722 1,722
Total Provisions 350 710 861 1,052
Total Liabilities 20,124 16,714 20,911 25,999
Shareholders Equity 16,126 17,863 20,507 24,165
Minority Interests 644 644 644 644
Total Equity 16,770 18,507 21,151 24,810
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 54.0% 40.3% 36.1% 33.8%
Operating EBITDA Growth 5.7% 46.9% 41.8% 34.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 6.3% 6.6% 6.9% 6.9%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (28.17) (25.91) (21.86) (17.13)
BVPS (Rs) 91.22 101.05 116.00 136.70
Gross Interest Cover 3.88 4.15 6.43 9.20
Effective Tax Rate 25.1% 24.8% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 77.16 64.92 45.09 44.90
Inventory Days 115.87 110.64 97.06 90.58
Accounts Payables Days 124.58 106.11 74.62 74.98
ROIC (%) 5.1% 6.9% 9.7% 12.1%
ROCE (%) 7.0% 9.6% 13.5% 16.5%
Return On Average Assets 5.1% 6.0% 7.9% 8.7%

Analyst(s)

Arafat SAIYED

(91) 22 4161 1542 arafat.saiyed@incredresearch.com

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com