* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 31,538 43,291 58,750 78,361
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,984 3,296 4,327 5,730
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,257 2,047 2,774 3,780
Core EPS (Rs) 7.1 11.6 15.7 21.4
Core EPS Growth 2.1% 62.8% 35.6% 36.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 65.62 40.30 29.73 21.82
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
EV/EBITDA (x) 44.41 26.49 19.94 14.86
P/FCFE (x) 94.85 151.53 29.92 23.00
Net Gearing 29.7% 22.1% 14.7% 8.1%
P/BV (x) 5.11 4.54 3.94 3.34
ROE 8.0% 11.9% 14.2% 16.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 31,538 43,291 58,750 78,361
Gross Profit 6,469 9,393 12,396 16,456
Operating EBITDA 1,984 3,296 4,327 5,730
Depreciation And Amortisation (515) (747) (770) (848)
Operating EBIT 1,469 2,548 3,557 4,882
Financial Income/(Expense) (378) (575) (605) (621)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 587 679 747 778
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 1,678 2,652 3,699 5,039
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 1,678 2,652 3,699 5,039
Taxation (421) (606) (925) (1,260)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,257 2,047 2,774 3,780
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,257 2,047 2,774 3,780
Recurring Net Profit 1,257 2,047 2,774 3,780
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,257 2,047 2,774 3,780
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 1,664 2,652 3,699 5,039
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,273) (909) (1,545) (2,515)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 515 747 770 848
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 378 575 605 621
Tax Paid (421) (606) (925) (1,260)
Cashflow From Operations (1,136) 2,460 2,603 2,733
Capex (3,249) (1,800) (1,000) (1,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 2,967 549 653 1,702
Cash Flow From Investing (282) (1,251) (347) 702
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,288 (665) 500 150
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (741) (575) (605) (621)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,547 (1,240) (105) (471)
Total Cash Generated 128 (31) 2,152 2,965
Free Cashflow To Equity 870 544 2,756 3,585
Free Cashflow To Firm (1,797) 634 1,652 2,815
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 784 932 2,431 3,694
Total Debtors 9,301 6,355 8,247 11,082
Inventories 10,043 11,276 13,699 17,280
Total Other Current Assets 2,207 1,886 2,571 3,455
Total Current Assets 22,335 20,449 26,948 35,510
Fixed Assets 5,965 7,164 7,394 7,546
Total Investments 64 64 64 64
Intangible Assets 3,450 3,450 3,450 3,450
Total Other Non-Current Assets 4,007 4,007 4,007 4,007
Total Non-current Assets 13,487 14,686 14,916 15,068
Short-term Debt 5,118 4,099 4,599 4,749
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 12,232 8,193 10,865 14,620
Other Current Liabilities 1,056 1,799 2,442 3,286
Total Current Liabilities 18,407 14,091 17,905 22,654
Total Long-term Debt 645 1,000 1,000 1,000
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 722 722 722 722
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,367 1,722 1,722 1,722
Total Provisions 350 703 844 1,029
Total Liabilities 20,124 16,515 20,471 25,405
Shareholders Equity 16,126 18,173 20,947 24,726
Minority Interests 644 644 644 644
Total Equity 16,770 18,817 21,591 25,371
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 54.0% 37.3% 35.7% 33.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 5.7% 66.1% 31.3% 32.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 6.3% 7.6% 7.4% 7.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (28.17) (23.57) (17.92) (11.62)
BVPS (Rs) 91.22 102.80 118.49 139.87
Gross Interest Cover 3.88 4.43 5.88 7.86
Effective Tax Rate 25.1% 22.8% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 77.16 66.00 45.36 45.02
Inventory Days 115.87 114.77 98.33 91.33
Accounts Payables Days 124.58 109.97 75.03 75.13
ROIC (%) 5.1% 7.9% 10.2% 12.6%
ROCE (%) 7.0% 10.9% 13.8% 16.6%
Return On Average Assets 5.1% 7.0% 8.4% 9.2%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com