* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 74,491 86,613 103,898 121,674
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 6,041 7,793 9,312 11,158
Net Profit (Rsm) 4,519 4,850 6,013 7,581
Core EPS (Rs) 16.3 17.5 21.7 27.3
Core EPS Growth 20.0% 7.3% 24.0% 26.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 33.59 31.30 25.24 20.02
DPS (Rs) 15.8 5.4 11.9 15.0
Dividend Yield 1.44% 0.98% 2.18% 2.75%
EV/EBITDA (x) 23.58 18.16 15.51 13.00
P/FCFE (x) 71.88 27.66 22.93 17.98
Net Gearing (72.0%) (70.1%) (42.7%) (32.3%)
P/BV (x) 11.67 10.38 8.76 7.32
ROE 37.7% 35.1% 37.6% 39.8%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 74,491 86,613 103,898 121,674
Gross Profit 10,603 14,761 17,644 20,283
Operating EBITDA 6,041 7,793 9,312 11,158
Depreciation And Amortisation (591) (1,325) (1,396) (1,450)
Operating EBIT 5,450 6,467 7,916 9,707
Financial Income/(Expense) 523 (47) 101 401
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,973 6,420 8,018 10,108
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 5,973 6,420 8,018 10,108
Taxation (1,454) (1,571) (2,004) (2,527)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 4,519 4,850 6,013 7,581
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 4,519 4,850 6,013 7,581
Recurring Net Profit 4,519 4,850 6,013 7,581
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 4,519 4,850 6,013 7,581
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 6,041 7,793 9,312 11,158
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,766) 193 (52) 124
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 187
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (185) (845) (536) (195)
Tax Paid (1,754) (1,571) (2,004) (2,527)
Cashflow From Operations 2,522 5,570 6,719 8,560
Capex (411) (82) (98) (118)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (8,143) 115 (4,084) (3,919)
Cash Flow From Investing (8,553) 33 (4,182) (4,036)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (2,324) (1,490) (3,307) (4,170)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 4,191 (2,324) (2,612) (1,258)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,867 (3,814) (5,920) (5,428)
Total Cash Generated (4,164) 1,790 (3,382) (904)
Free Cashflow To Equity 2,112 5,488 6,621 8,442
Free Cashflow To Firm (5,846) 6,448 3,073 4,719
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 9,361 10,248 7,402 6,693
Total Debtors 12,362 14,378 17,455 20,441
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 2,428 2,428 2,428 2,428
Total Current Assets 24,151 27,054 27,285 29,562
Fixed Assets 6,347 5,104 3,807 2,474
Total Investments 559 559 559 559
Intangible Assets 10,984 10,984 10,984 10,984
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,528 1,528 1,528 1,528
Total Non-current Assets 19,418 18,175 16,877 15,545
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 12,949 15,157 18,182 21,293
Other Current Liabilities 8,685 6,522 4,162 1,798
Total Current Liabilities 21,633 21,680 22,344 23,091
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 8,929 8,929 4,492 1,278
Total Non-current Liabilities 8,929 8,929 4,492 1,278
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 30,562 30,609 26,836 24,369
Shareholders Equity 13,007 14,620 17,326 20,738
Minority Interests
Total Equity 13,007 14,620 17,326 20,738
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 34.1% 16.3% 20.0% 17.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 30.2% 29.0% 19.5% 19.8%
Operating EBITDA Margin 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 33.73 36.93 26.67 24.12
BVPS (Rs) 46.87 52.69 62.44 74.73
Gross Interest Cover 29.40 7.65 14.77 49.78
Effective Tax Rate 24.3% 24.5% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 48.4% 30.7% 55.0% 55.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 52.87 56.34 55.92 56.84
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 67.12 71.39 70.54 71.05
ROIC (%) 137.9% 40.7% 46.6% 52.5%
ROCE (%) 34.4% 35.4% 37.2% 38.3%
Return On Average Assets 11.9% 11.0% 13.3% 16.3%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com