* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 438,857 484,969 519,817 574,620
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 117,729 129,870 143,293 167,080
Net Profit (Rsm) 84,736 95,764 111,422 132,309
Core EPS (Rs) 36.0 42.0 46.4 55.1
Core EPS Growth 11.4% 16.5% 10.6% 18.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 49.33 42.34 38.27 32.23
DPS (Rs) 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5
Dividend Yield 0.65% 0.65% 0.65% 0.65%
EV/EBITDA (x) 35.71 31.81 28.45 23.86
P/FCFE (x) 50.59 22.97 31.13 19.30
Net Gearing (15.2%) (24.3%) (28.9%) (35.7%)
P/BV (x) 7.62 6.70 5.92 5.17
ROE 16.6% 16.8% 16.4% 17.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 438,857 484,969 519,817 574,620
Gross Profit 332,235 378,342 410,655 456,823
Operating EBITDA 117,729 129,870 143,293 167,080
Depreciation And Amortisation (25,294) (25,566) (26,500) (28,000)
Operating EBIT 92,435 104,304 116,793 139,080
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,720) (2,385) (2,000) (2,000)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 5,084 13,903 15,000 17,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 95,799 115,822 129,793 154,080
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 95,799 115,822 129,793 154,080
Taxation (8,476) (14,395) (18,171) (21,571)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (1,715) (4,943)
Profit After Tax 85,608 96,484 111,622 132,509
Minority Interests (873) (721) (200) (200)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 84,736 95,764 111,422 132,309
Recurring Net Profit 86,450 100,707 111,422 132,309
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 86,450 100,707 111,422 132,309
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 117,729 129,870 143,293 167,080
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (56,618) 10,621 (40,363) (27,644)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 64,480 149,451 117,930 156,437
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,720) (2,385) (2,000) (2,000)
Tax Paid (13,167) (25,717) (31,371) (36,771)
Cashflow From Operations 49,593 121,350 84,559 117,666
Capex (20,646) (21,710) (15,000) (16,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (46,858) (1,433)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (17,911) 98,207 69,559 101,666
Debt Raised/(repaid) 52,602 (33,899) (17,134) 1,571
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (774)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (25,197) (28,982) (27,592) (27,592)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 13,976 5,308 13,000 15,000
Cash Flow From Financing 41,380 (58,347) (31,726) (11,022)
Total Cash Generated 23,470 39,860 37,833 90,644
Free Cashflow To Equity 84,284 185,657 136,985 220,902
Free Cashflow To Firm 33,403 221,941 156,118 221,331
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 151,842 191,702 229,536 320,180
Total Debtors 114,385 112,494 140,351 155,147
Inventories 105,131 98,683 124,756 143,655
Total Other Current Assets 27,476 31,871 33,788 40,223
Total Current Assets 398,833 434,750 528,430 659,205
Fixed Assets 113,537 113,001 101,501 89,501
Total Investments 3,894 4,426 4,426 4,426
Intangible Assets 180,396 172,652 172,652 172,652
Total Other Non-Current Assets 110,776 129,800 129,800 129,800
Total Non-current Assets 408,603 419,879 408,379 396,379
Short-term Debt 61,979 28,444 28,444 28,444
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 56,815 56,533 60,340 65,143
Other Current Liabilities 80,276 84,867 96,544 104,229
Total Current Liabilities 199,070 169,844 185,328 197,816
Total Long-term Debt 13 (17,120) (15,550)
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 15,211 13,712 13,712 13,712
Total Non-current Liabilities 15,211 13,725 (3,408) (1,838)
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 214,281 183,569 181,920 195,978
Shareholders Equity 559,954 636,668 720,297 824,814
Minority Interests 33,201 34,392 34,592 34,792
Total Equity 593,155 671,060 754,890 859,606
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 13.5% 10.5% 7.2% 10.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 14.9% 10.3% 10.3% 16.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.8% 26.8% 27.6% 29.1%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 37.45 68.04 90.95 128.07
BVPS (Rs) 233.38 265.35 300.21 343.77
Gross Interest Cover 53.74 43.74 58.40 69.54
Effective Tax Rate 8.8% 12.4% 14.0% 14.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 91.62 85.38 88.77 93.85
Inventory Days 333.94 348.84 373.55 415.84
Accounts Payables Days 173.92 194.01 195.39 194.41
ROIC (%) 13.4% 15.1% 16.0% 18.5%
ROCE (%) 15.7% 15.4% 15.9% 17.0%
Return On Average Assets 11.8% 12.4% 12.6% 13.5%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com