* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 8,067 12,879 17,248 20,801
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 1,021 1,576 2,156 2,600
Net Profit (Rsm) 603 927 1,228 1,535
Core EPS (Rs) 8.4 12.3 15.4 20.3
Core EPS Growth (674.8%) 46.3% 25.1% 31.9%
FD Core P/E (x) 15.46 10.57 8.45 6.40
DPS (Rs) 1.2 1.5
Dividend Yield 0.93% 1.14% 1.72%
EV/EBITDA (x) 11.38 7.52 5.60 4.53
P/FCFE (x) (25.61) (15.07) 76.27 389.09
Net Gearing 61.2% 36.9% 23.8% 22.7%
P/BV (x) 2.55 1.79 1.49 1.04
ROE 18.1% 19.8% 19.2% 19.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 8,067 12,879 17,248 20,801
Gross Profit 3,214 5,010 7,244 8,736
Operating EBITDA 1,021 1,576 2,156 2,600
Depreciation And Amortisation (170) (208) (268) (294)
Operating EBIT 851 1,369 1,888 2,306
Financial Income/(Expense) (146) (147) (218) (218)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 704 1,221 1,670 2,088
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 704 1,221 1,670 2,088
Taxation (101) (294) (443) (553)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 603 927 1,228 1,535
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 603 927 1,228 1,535
Recurring Net Profit 603 927 1,228 1,535
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 603 927 1,228 1,535
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 1,021 1,576 2,156 2,600
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (887) (384) (859) (804)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (146) (147) (218) (218)
Tax Paid (294) (443) (553)
Cashflow From Operations (12) 750 636 1,025
Capex (994) (1,400) (500) (1,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (994) (1,400) (500) (1,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 642
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 19 17 27
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (93) (123) (153)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (160) (166) (218) (218)
Cash Flow From Financing 502 (242) (314) (371)
Total Cash Generated (505) (891) (178) (346)
Free Cashflow To Equity (364) (650) 136 25
Free Cashflow To Firm (847) (483) 354 243
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 126 356 715 481
Total Debtors 1,421 2,269 3,039 3,665
Inventories 1,353 2,160 2,892 3,488
Total Other Current Assets 994 386 345 416
Total Current Assets 3,895 5,172 6,992 8,050
Fixed Assets 3,911 6,075 6,307 7,013
Total Investments 0
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,313 386 517 624
Total Non-current Assets 5,224 6,461 6,824 7,637
Short-term Debt 825 825 825 825
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt 1 2
Total Creditors 2,340 2,998 3,595 4,080
Other Current Liabilities 481 481 481 481
Total Current Liabilities 3,647 4,304 4,902 5,388
Total Long-term Debt 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,597 1,597 1,597 1,597
Total Provisions 121 127 131 135
Total Liabilities 5,365 6,027 6,630 7,120
Shareholders Equity 3,754 5,605 7,187 8,568
Minority Interests
Total Equity 3,754 5,605 7,187 8,568
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 122.4% 59.7% 33.9% 20.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 504.8% 54.4% 36.8% 20.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 12.7% 12.2% 12.5% 12.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (31.12) (26.74) (20.66) (28.21)
BVPS (Rs) 50.89 72.55 86.95 124.39
Gross Interest Cover 5.33 8.23 8.66 10.58
Effective Tax Rate 14.4% 24.1% 26.5% 26.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 7.6% 7.3% 7.3%
Accounts Receivables Days 58.36 52.30 56.17 58.83
Inventory Days 82.66 81.46 92.17 96.52
Accounts Payables Days 67.52 66.37 75.09 78.64
ROIC (%) 18.5% 22.2% 24.2% 25.5%
ROCE (%) 15.5% 19.0% 21.1% 22.1%
Return On Average Assets 10.6% 13.2% 14.8% 15.6%

Analyst(s)

Nitin AWASTHI

(91) 22 4161 1550 nitin.awasthi@incredresearch.com