* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 102,209 116,837 139,313 159,486
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 13,080 15,352 19,354 21,528
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,805 8,260 11,239 12,758
Core EPS (Rs) 47.3 58.7 79.9 90.7
Core EPS Growth 37.2% 24.1% 36.1% 13.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 39.63 32.65 23.99 21.14
DPS (Rs) 9.0 12.0 14.0 15.0
Dividend Yield 0.53% 0.68% 0.79% 0.84%
EV/EBITDA (x) 20.80 17.16 13.42 11.80
P/FCFE (x) 33.62 110.45 62.54 42.20
Net Gearing 4.7% (10.9%) (15.1%) (20.5%)
P/BV (x) 5.42 4.80 4.13 3.56
ROE 14.2% 15.6% 18.5% 18.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 102,209 116,837 139,313 159,486
Gross Profit 41,703 48,838 57,118 64,751
Operating EBITDA 13,080 15,352 19,354 21,528
Depreciation And Amortisation (4,740) (5,404) (5,836) (6,303)
Operating EBIT 8,340 9,948 13,518 15,225
Financial Income/(Expense) (427) (420) (300) (200)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 856 1,199 1,378 1,544
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,769 10,727 14,597 16,569
Exceptional Items 200
Pre-tax Profit 8,969 10,727 14,597 16,569
Taxation (2,165) (2,467) (3,357) (3,811)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,805 8,260 11,239 12,758
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,805 8,260 11,239 12,758
Recurring Net Profit 6,653 8,260 11,239 12,758
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,653 8,260 11,239 12,758
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 13,080 15,352 19,354 21,528
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 267 (2,061) (2,561) (1,437)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions 315 725 251 285
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 430 779 1,078 1,344
Tax Paid (2,165) (2,467) (3,357) (3,811)
Cashflow From Operations 11,927 12,328 14,765 17,910
Capex (4,407) (4,608) (5,147) (6,182)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (2,065) (4,278) (4,306) (4,337)
Cash Flow From Investing (6,472) (8,886) (9,453) (10,519)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,565 (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,425) (1,847) (2,128) (2,269)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing 1,139 (2,847) (3,128) (3,269)
Total Cash Generated 6,594 594 2,183 4,121
Free Cashflow To Equity 8,020 2,441 4,312 6,390
Free Cashflow To Firm 5,882 3,861 5,612 7,590
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 5,047 12,542 15,240 19,968
Total Debtors 12,624 14,405 17,176 19,663
Inventories 8,722 10,883 12,595 14,419
Total Other Current Assets 5,861 5,963 6,470 7,006
Total Current Assets 32,253 43,793 51,480 61,057
Fixed Assets 27,527 27,123 26,788 26,985
Total Investments 7,926 11,926 15,926 19,926
Intangible Assets 3,923 3,531 3,178 2,860
Total Other Non-Current Assets 638 638 638 638
Total Non-current Assets 40,014 43,218 46,530 50,409
Short-term Debt 7,398 6,398 5,398 4,398
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 16,045 17,926 19,847 22,721
Other Current Liabilities 4,649 5,114 5,472 5,855
Total Current Liabilities 28,092 29,438 30,718 32,975
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities
Total Provisions 846 931 1,024 1,126
Total Liabilities 28,938 30,369 31,742 34,101
Shareholders Equity 49,774 56,187 65,298 75,787
Minority Interests
Total Equity 49,774 56,187 65,298 75,787
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 16.1% 14.3% 19.2% 14.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 26.2% 17.4% 26.1% 11.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 12.8% 13.1% 13.9% 13.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (16.71) 43.68 69.97 110.69
BVPS (Rs) 353.86 399.44 464.22 538.79
Gross Interest Cover 19.55 23.69 45.06 76.13
Effective Tax Rate 24.1% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 21.6% 22.4% 18.9% 17.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 43.29 42.22 41.37 42.15
Inventory Days 51.06 52.62 52.13 52.04
Accounts Payables Days 91.40 91.17 83.87 82.01
ROIC (%) 16.1% 19.8% 26.3% 28.2%
ROCE (%) 15.7% 16.6% 20.3% 20.2%
Return On Average Assets 10.0% 10.8% 12.4% 12.3%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 02241611552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com