* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 102,209 120,236 140,791 159,952
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 13,080 16,093 19,681 21,949
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,805 9,071 11,799 13,460
Core EPS (Rs) 47.3 64.5 83.9 95.7
Core EPS Growth 37.2% 36.3% 30.1% 14.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 48.72 36.54 28.10 24.63
DPS (Rs) 9.0 12.0 14.0 15.0
Dividend Yield 0.43% 0.56% 0.64% 0.68%
EV/EBITDA (x) 25.53 20.22 16.34 14.39
P/FCFE (x) 41.34 114.44 68.69 47.37
Net Gearing 4.7% (10.8%) (14.8%) (20.0%)
P/BV (x) 6.66 5.82 4.97 4.26
ROE 14.2% 17.0% 19.1% 18.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 102,209 120,236 140,791 159,952
Gross Profit 41,703 50,259 57,724 65,261
Operating EBITDA 13,080 16,093 19,681 21,949
Depreciation And Amortisation (4,740) (5,261) (5,682) (6,137)
Operating EBIT 8,340 10,831 13,998 15,812
Financial Income/(Expense) (427) (400) (250) (100)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 856 1,199 1,378 1,544
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 8,769 11,630 15,127 17,256
Exceptional Items 200
Pre-tax Profit 8,969 11,630 15,127 17,256
Taxation (2,165) (2,559) (3,328) (3,796)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 6,805 9,071 11,799 13,460
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,805 9,071 11,799 13,460
Recurring Net Profit 6,653 9,071 11,799 13,460
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,653 9,071 11,799 13,460
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 13,080 16,093 19,681 21,949
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 267 (2,275) (2,452) (1,365)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions 315 725 251 285
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 430 799 1,128 1,444
Tax Paid (2,165) (2,559) (3,328) (3,796)
Cashflow From Operations 11,927 12,783 15,280 18,517
Capex (4,407) (4,608) (5,147) (6,182)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (2,065) (4,278) (4,306) (4,337)
Cash Flow From Investing (6,472) (8,886) (9,453) (10,519)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 2,565 (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,425) (1,847) (2,128) (2,269)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing 1,139 (2,847) (3,128) (3,269)
Total Cash Generated 6,594 1,050 2,698 4,729
Free Cashflow To Equity 8,020 2,897 4,827 6,998
Free Cashflow To Firm 5,882 4,297 6,077 8,098
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 5,047 12,542 15,240 19,968
Total Debtors 12,624 14,824 17,358 19,720
Inventories 8,722 11,200 12,729 14,461
Total Other Current Assets 5,861 5,963 6,470 7,006
Total Current Assets 32,253 44,529 51,796 61,157
Fixed Assets 27,527 27,266 27,083 27,447
Total Investments 7,926 11,926 15,926 19,926
Intangible Assets 3,923 3,531 3,178 2,860
Total Other Non-Current Assets 638 638 638 638
Total Non-current Assets 40,014 43,361 46,825 50,871
Short-term Debt 7,398 6,398 5,398 4,398
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 16,045 18,447 20,058 22,788
Other Current Liabilities 4,649 5,114 5,472 5,855
Total Current Liabilities 28,092 29,959 30,928 33,041
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities
Total Provisions 846 931 1,024 1,126
Total Liabilities 28,938 30,890 31,952 34,167
Shareholders Equity 49,774 56,999 66,669 77,860
Minority Interests
Total Equity 49,774 56,999 66,669 77,860
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 16.1% 17.6% 17.1% 13.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 26.2% 23.0% 22.3% 11.5%
Operating EBITDA Margin 12.8% 13.4% 14.0% 13.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (16.71) 43.68 69.97 110.69
BVPS (Rs) 353.86 405.22 473.96 553.52
Gross Interest Cover 19.55 27.08 55.99 158.12
Effective Tax Rate 24.1% 22.0% 22.0% 22.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 21.6% 20.4% 18.0% 16.9%
Accounts Receivables Days 43.29 41.66 41.72 42.30
Inventory Days 51.06 51.96 52.57 52.40
Accounts Payables Days 91.40 89.95 84.60 82.58
ROIC (%) 16.1% 21.9% 27.4% 29.4%
ROCE (%) 15.7% 18.0% 20.7% 20.5%
Return On Average Assets 10.0% 11.7% 12.9% 12.9%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 02241611552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com