* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 498,346 542,895 596,361 692,459
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 225,019 252,101 271,470 310,540
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 723,364 794,996 867,831 1,002,999
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (40,631) (83,242) (90,751) (97,087)
Net Profit (Rsm) 248,614 259,492 264,812 318,448
Core EPS (Rs) 40.27 41.92 42.78 51.44
Core EPS Growth 12% 4% 2% 20%
FD Core P/E (x) 26.93 25.87 25.35 21.08
DPS (Rs) 1.00 3.00 3.00 3.00
Dividend Yield 0.09% 0.28% 0.28% 0.28%
BVPS (Rs) 244.7 289.1 330.4 380.4
P/BV (x) 4.43 3.75 3.28 2.85
ROE 18.0% 15.7% 13.8% 14.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 498,346 542,895 596,361 692,459
Total Non-Interest Income 225,019 252,101 271,470 310,540
Operating Revenue 723,364 794,996 867,831 1,002,999
Total Non-Interest Expenses (352,133) (372,737) (423,053) (480,180)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 371,232 422,258 444,777 522,819
Total Provision Charges (40,631) (83,242) (90,751) (97,087)
Operating Profit After Provisions 330,601 339,016 354,026 425,732
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 330,601 339,016 354,026 425,732
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 330,601 339,016 354,026 425,732
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 330,601 339,016 354,026 425,732
Taxation (81,986) (79,525) (89,215) (107,284)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 248,614 259,492 264,812 318,448
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 248,614 259,492 264,812 318,448
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 89.8% 90.7% 91.1% 91.1%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 94.9% 95.4% 95.2% 95.2%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 109.1% 107.9% 107.0% 107.0%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 0.45% 0.82% 0.80% 0.75%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.29% 0.54% 0.53% 0.50%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 9,650,684 10,615,752 12,101,957 13,796,232
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 3,315,273 3,634,858 4,017,940 4,493,729
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 12,965,956 14,250,610 16,119,897 18,289,960
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 12,965,956 14,250,610 16,119,897 18,289,960
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 604,740 695,451 799,769 919,734
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 661,586 757,981 868,552 995,396
Cash And Marketable Securities 1,144,544 993,621 1,125,528 1,277,917
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 14,772,086 16,002,213 18,113,978 20,563,272
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 10,686,414 11,648,191 13,278,938 15,137,989
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 12,406,941 13,248,282 15,007,036 17,038,896
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 854,529 964,019 1,061,503 1,169,776
Total Liabilities 13,261,470 14,212,300 16,068,539 18,208,672
Shareholders Equity 1,510,616 1,789,913 2,045,439 2,354,601
Minority Interests
Total Equity 1,510,616 1,789,913 2,045,439 2,354,601
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 16.0% 8.9% 9.8% 16.1%
Operating Profit Growth 15.0% 13.7% 5.3% 17.5%
Pretax Profit Growth 12% 3% 4% 20%
Net Interest To Total Income 68.9% 68.3% 68.7% 69.0%
Cost Of Funds 5.06% 5.37% 5.53% 5.43%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1%
Net Interest Spread 3.93% 3.68% 3.54% 3.65%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 4.94% 4.86% 4.78% 4.87%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 11% 20% 20% 19%
Interest Return On Average Assets 3.57% 3.53% 3.50% 3.58%
Effective Tax Rate 24.8% 23.5% 25.2% 25.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 1.2% 3.6% 3.5% 2.9%
Return On Average Assets 1.78% 1.69% 1.55% 1.65%

Analyst(s)

Bhavik Shah

(91) 22 4161 1551 bhavik.shah@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com