* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 498,945 547,595 619,380 707,334
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 224,420 269,067 306,343 354,284
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 723,364 816,662 925,723 1,061,618
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (40,631) (78,228) (76,493) (80,800)
Net Profit (Rsm) 248,614 272,248 304,841 352,376
Core EPS (Rs) 80.59 88.15 98.71 114.10
Core EPS Growth 159% 9% 12% 16%
FD Core P/E (x) 14.07 12.86 11.49 9.94
DPS (Rs) 4.00 4.00 5.00 6.00
Dividend Yield 0.35% 0.35% 0.44% 0.53%
BVPS (Rs) 486.5 568.5 660.7 767.0
P/BV (x) 2.33 1.99 1.72 1.48
ROE 18.0% 16.6% 15.9% 15.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 498,945 547,595 619,380 707,334
Total Non-Interest Income 224,420 269,067 306,343 354,284
Operating Revenue 723,364 816,662 925,723 1,061,618
Total Non-Interest Expenses (338,063) (369,280) (421,752) (487,932)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 371,232 429,517 485,675 553,788
Total Provision Charges (40,631) (78,228) (76,493) (80,800)
Operating Profit After Provisions 330,601 351,288 409,182 472,988
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 330,601 351,288 409,182 472,988
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 330,601 351,288 409,182 472,988
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 330,601 351,288 409,182 472,988
Taxation (81,986) (79,040) (104,341) (120,612)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 248,614 272,248 304,841 352,376
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 248,614 272,248 304,841 352,376
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 89.8% 89.6% 88.2% 87.4%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 72.7% 73.4% 74.2% 75.1%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 112.2% 113.1% 115.5% 117.1%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 9,650,684 10,758,806 12,178,889 13,998,090
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 9,650,684 10,758,806 12,178,889 13,998,090
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 9,650,684 10,758,806 12,178,889 13,998,090
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 604,740 721,767 753,738 787,261
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 661,586 780,755 814,919 850,814
Cash And Marketable Securities 1,144,544 1,521,392 2,025,320 2,443,224
Long-term Investments 3,315,273 3,619,455 4,006,198 4,493,406
Total Assets 14,772,086 16,680,408 19,025,326 21,785,532
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 10,686,414 12,101,618 13,899,647 16,041,328
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 1,968,118 2,160,426 2,371,817 2,604,216
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 12,654,531 14,262,043 16,271,464 18,645,544
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 606,939 649,934 698,632 754,034
Total Liabilities 13,261,470 14,911,977 16,970,096 19,399,578
Shareholders Equity 1,510,616 1,768,431 2,055,230 2,385,956
Minority Interests
Total Equity 1,510,616 1,768,431 2,055,230 2,385,956
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 16.2% 9.8% 13.1% 14.2%
Operating Profit Growth 17.2% 16.1% 12.6% 13.8%
Pretax Profit Growth 96% 6% 16% 16%
Net Interest To Total Income 69.0% 67.1% 66.9% 66.6%
Cost Of Funds 4.96% 5.10% 4.65% 4.31%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 12.1% 12.1% 11.6% 11.1%
Net Interest Spread 7.12% 6.99% 6.94% 6.84%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 4.95% 4.81% 4.76% 4.72%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 11% 18% 16% 15%
Interest Return On Average Assets 3.57% 3.48% 3.47% 3.47%
Effective Tax Rate 24.8% 22.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 1.78% 1.73% 1.71% 1.73%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com