* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 96,200 107,280 115,969 131,515
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 28,420 33,680 37,609 44,064
Net Profit (Rsm) 12,450 16,560 19,312 25,848
Core EPS (Rs) 36.8 47.1 57.1 76.4
Core EPS Growth 14.8% 28.0% 21.2% 33.8%
FD Core P/E (x) 87.18 68.09 56.20 41.99
DPS (Rs) 22.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Dividend Yield 0.69% 0.94% 0.94% 0.94%
EV/EBITDA (x) 39.79 33.10 29.65 24.94
P/FCFE (x) 46.76 17.41 41.29 18.67
Net Gearing 73.7% 43.1% 38.8% 14.8%
P/BV (x) 17.51 15.83 13.97 11.62
ROE 20.5% 24.4% 26.4% 30.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 96,200 107,280 115,969 131,515
Gross Profit 68,850 80,420 88,127 100,707
Operating EBITDA 28,420 33,680 37,609 44,064
Depreciation And Amortisation (7,070) (8,080) (7,950) (8,500)
Operating EBIT 21,350 25,600 29,659 35,564
Financial Income/(Expense) (3,330) (3,540) (2,670) (2,100)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 450 580 600 1,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 18,470 22,640 27,589 34,464
Exceptional Items 880
Pre-tax Profit 18,470 23,520 27,589 34,464
Taxation (6,020) (6,960) (8,277) (8,616)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 12,450 16,560 19,312 25,848
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 12,450 16,560 19,312 25,848
Recurring Net Profit 12,450 15,940 19,312 25,848
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 12,450 15,940 19,312 25,848
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 28,420 33,680 37,609 44,064
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (182) 4,180 (14,689) (4,882)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (4,557) (5,200) (8,277) (8,616)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (3,330) (3,540) (2,670) (2,100)
Tax Paid (1,674) (3,120) (6,207) (7,516)
Cashflow From Operations 23,681 32,660 14,643 30,565
Capex (4,152) (2,990) (3,000) (3,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (20,000)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (471) 29,670 11,643 27,565
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (8,630) (10,150) (10,153) (10,153)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 10,471 (16,990) (10,362) (4,164)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,841 (27,140) (20,516) (14,317)
Total Cash Generated 1,370 2,530 (8,872) 13,248
Free Cashflow To Equity 23,210 62,330 26,287 58,131
Free Cashflow To Firm 26,540 65,870 28,957 60,231
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 7,270 9,800 928 14,176
Total Debtors 19,440 18,440 23,194 26,303
Inventories 22,300 22,790 28,992 32,879
Total Other Current Assets 4,280 5,080 5,798 6,576
Total Current Assets 53,290 56,110 58,912 79,934
Fixed Assets 34,600 35,780 30,830 25,330
Total Investments 430 320 320 320
Intangible Assets 54,270 49,210 49,210 49,210
Total Other Non-Current Assets 7,530 9,190 9,190 9,190
Total Non-current Assets 96,830 94,500 89,550 84,050
Short-term Debt 28,010 23,340 23,340 23,340
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 16,790 20,890 17,758 19,598
Other Current Liabilities 9,670 10,030 10,147 11,199
Total Current Liabilities 54,470 54,260 51,246 54,136
Total Long-term Debt 24,960 16,040 7,748 4,684
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 8,710 11,750 11,750 11,750
Total Non-current Liabilities 33,670 27,790 19,498 16,434
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 88,140 82,050 70,743 70,570
Shareholders Equity 61,980 68,560 77,719 93,413
Minority Interests
Total Equity 61,980 68,560 77,719 93,413
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 13.1% 11.5% 8.1% 13.4%
Operating EBITDA Growth 16.9% 18.5% 11.7% 17.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 29.5% 31.4% 32.4% 33.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (135.03) (87.40) (89.11) (40.92)
BVPS (Rs) 183.13 202.57 229.63 276.01
Gross Interest Cover 6.41 7.23 11.11 16.94
Effective Tax Rate 32.6% 29.6% 30.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 67.86 64.44 65.52 68.69
Inventory Days 313.09 306.36 339.43 366.51
Accounts Payables Days 223.74 256.02 253.34 221.29
ROIC (%) 13.8% 17.5% 18.6% 22.4%
ROCE (%) 19.8% 23.0% 27.4% 30.9%
Return On Average Assets 10.6% 12.2% 14.3% 17.6%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com