* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 93,498 87,481 97,180 108,115
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,525 13,565 16,657 19,846
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,950 1,898 4,161 6,385
Core EPS (Rs) 16.7 8.0 17.6 27.0
Core EPS Growth 15.0% (51.9%) 119.2% 53.4%
FD Core P/E (x) 54.84 114.12 52.06 33.93
DPS (Rs) 2.5 1.2 2.6 4.0
Dividend Yield 0.27% 0.13% 0.29% 0.44%
EV/EBITDA (x) 17.03 19.32 15.76 13.18
P/FCFE (x) 51.55 14.44 14.04 13.39
Net Gearing 66.9% 62.3% 60.0% 55.0%
P/BV (x) 3.03 2.97 2.84 2.65
ROE 5.7% 2.6% 5.6% 8.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 93,498 87,481 97,180 108,115
Gross Profit 93,498 87,481 97,180 108,115
Operating EBITDA 15,525 13,565 16,657 19,846
Depreciation And Amortisation (6,359) (6,836) (7,246) (7,608)
Operating EBIT 9,167 6,729 9,411 12,238
Financial Income/(Expense) (4,155) (4,592) (4,224) (4,055)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 423 428 436 445
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,435 2,565 5,623 8,628
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 5,435 2,565 5,623 8,628
Taxation (1,485) (667) (1,462) (2,243)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,950 1,898 4,161 6,385
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,950 1,898 4,161 6,385
Recurring Net Profit 3,950 1,898 4,161 6,385
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,950 1,898 4,161 6,385
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 15,525 13,565 16,657 19,846
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,652) 2,374 (464) (609)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 423 428 436 445
Other Operating Cashflow 12,289 13,289 14,289 14,789
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (4,155) (4,592) (4,224) (4,055)
Tax Paid (1,485) (667) (1,462) (2,243)
Cashflow From Operations 18,945 24,397 25,232 28,173
Capex (19,141) (12,200) (12,500) (12,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 142 3,300 1,700 1,000
Cash Flow From Investing (18,999) (8,900) (10,800) (11,500)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 4,256 (500) 1,000 (500)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (344) (753) (1,156)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (591) (344) (753) (1,156)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,945) (12,446) (13,336) (13,434)
Cash Flow From Financing (280) (13,633) (13,842) (16,245)
Total Cash Generated (334) 1,864 590 428
Free Cashflow To Equity 4,202 14,997 15,432 16,173
Free Cashflow To Firm 4,102 20,089 18,656 20,728
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,352 3,216 3,806 4,233
Total Debtors 8,522 7,670 8,254 9,182
Inventories 9,823 7,670 8,786 9,775
Total Other Current Assets 2,750 2,712 2,915 3,189
Total Current Assets 22,446 21,267 23,761 26,380
Fixed Assets 118,266 123,431 128,185 132,577
Total Investments 4,397 4,597 5,097 5,597
Intangible Assets 13,784 10,284 8,084 6,584
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,789 2,989 3,489 3,989
Total Non-current Assets 139,237 141,302 144,856 148,748
Short-term Debt 9,896 10,396 10,896 10,896
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 9,910 8,953 9,912 10,474
Other Current Liabilities 19,833 20,121 20,602 21,623
Total Current Liabilities 39,639 39,470 41,411 42,993
Total Long-term Debt 39,272 38,272 38,772 38,272
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 11,331 11,831 12,031 12,231
Total Non-current Liabilities 50,603 50,103 50,803 50,503
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 90,242 89,573 92,214 93,496
Shareholders Equity 71,441 72,996 76,403 81,632
Minority Interests
Total Equity 71,441 72,996 76,403 81,632
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 14.9% (6.4%) 11.1% 11.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth 31.4% (12.6%) 22.8% 19.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 16.6% 15.5% 17.1% 18.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (202.35) (192.35) (194.09) (190.16)
BVPS (Rs) 302.33 308.91 323.33 345.46
Gross Interest Cover 2.21 1.47 2.23 3.02
Effective Tax Rate 27.3% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 25.71 33.78 29.90 29.43
Inventory Days 36.40 36.49 30.90 31.33
Accounts Payables Days 38.11 46.57 42.76 42.15
ROIC (%) 7.3% 5.4% 7.3% 9.2%
ROCE (%) 7.9% 5.6% 7.6% 9.5%
Return On Average Assets 5.3% 4.0% 5.1% 6.1%

Analyst(s)

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com