* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 93,498 97,522 108,923 122,133
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,525 16,682 19,648 22,933
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,950 4,365 6,275 8,417
Core EPS (Rs) 16.7 18.5 26.6 35.6
Core EPS Growth 15.0% 10.5% 43.7% 34.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 54.06 48.91 34.03 25.37
DPS (Rs) 2.5 2.8 4.0 5.3
Dividend Yield 0.28% 0.31% 0.44% 0.59%
EV/EBITDA (x) 16.83 15.74 13.41 11.47
P/FCFE (x) 50.81 15.44 13.95 13.34
Net Gearing 66.9% 65.4% 62.4% 57.0%
P/BV (x) 2.99 2.85 2.66 2.45
ROE 5.7% 6.0% 8.1% 10.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 93,498 97,522 108,923 122,133
Gross Profit 93,498 97,522 108,923 122,133
Operating EBITDA 15,525 16,682 19,648 22,933
Depreciation And Amortisation (6,359) (6,867) (7,348) (7,789)
Operating EBIT 9,167 9,814 12,300 15,144
Financial Income/(Expense) (4,155) (4,322) (4,235) (4,193)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 423 406 415 423
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 5,435 5,899 8,480 11,374
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 5,435 5,899 8,480 11,374
Taxation (1,485) (1,534) (2,205) (2,957)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,950 4,365 6,275 8,417
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,950 4,365 6,275 8,417
Recurring Net Profit 3,950 4,365 6,275 8,417
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,950 4,365 6,275 8,417
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 15,525 16,682 19,648 22,933
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,652) 406 (1,108) 1,915
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 423 406 415 423
Other Operating Cashflow 12,289 13,289 14,289 14,789
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (4,155) (4,322) (4,235) (4,193)
Tax Paid (1,485) (1,534) (2,205) (2,957)
Cashflow From Operations 18,945 24,928 26,804 32,910
Capex (19,141) (12,200) (10,500) (15,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 142 (400) (2,000) (900)
Cash Flow From Investing (18,999) (12,600) (12,500) (16,400)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 4,256 1,500 1,000 (500)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (790) (1,136) (1,523)
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (591) (790) (1,136) (1,523)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (3,945) (11,999) (12,953) (13,066)
Cash Flow From Financing (280) (12,079) (14,225) (16,613)
Total Cash Generated (334) 248 79 (102)
Free Cashflow To Equity 4,202 13,828 15,304 16,010
Free Cashflow To Firm 4,102 16,649 18,539 20,703
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,352 1,600 1,679 1,576
Total Debtors 8,522 7,481 8,356 9,034
Inventories 9,823 9,886 11,041 12,046
Total Other Current Assets 2,750 3,023 3,268 3,603
Total Current Assets 22,446 21,990 24,344 26,260
Fixed Assets 118,266 123,399 126,051 133,262
Total Investments 4,397 4,597 5,597 6,097
Intangible Assets 13,784 13,984 14,984 15,384
Total Other Non-Current Assets 2,789 2,989 3,489 3,989
Total Non-current Assets 139,237 144,970 150,122 158,733
Short-term Debt 9,896 10,396 10,896 10,896
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 9,910 8,770 9,262 10,485
Other Current Liabilities 19,833 20,675 21,349 24,060
Total Current Liabilities 39,639 39,841 41,507 45,441
Total Long-term Debt 39,272 40,272 40,772 40,272
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 11,331 11,831 12,031 12,231
Total Non-current Liabilities 50,603 52,103 52,803 52,503
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 90,242 91,944 94,310 97,944
Shareholders Equity 71,441 75,016 80,155 87,048
Minority Interests
Total Equity 71,441 75,016 80,155 87,048
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 14.9% 4.3% 11.7% 12.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 31.4% 7.4% 17.8% 16.7%
Operating EBITDA Margin 16.6% 17.1% 18.0% 18.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (202.35) (207.65) (211.55) (209.87)
BVPS (Rs) 302.33 317.46 339.21 368.38
Gross Interest Cover 2.21 2.27 2.90 3.61
Effective Tax Rate 27.3% 26.0% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 25.71 29.95 26.53 25.99
Inventory Days 36.40 36.88 35.06 34.50
Accounts Payables Days 38.11 42.17 36.86 36.33
ROIC (%) 7.3% 7.5% 9.0% 10.6%
ROCE (%) 7.9% 8.0% 9.6% 11.2%
Return On Average Assets 5.3% 5.3% 6.2% 7.0%

Analyst(s)

Nishant BAGRECHA

(91) 22 4161 1564 nishant.bagrecha@incredresearch.com

Saurabh SINGH

(91) 2241611558 saurabh.singh@incredresearch.com

Rohan KALLE

(91) 22 4161 1561 rohan.kalle@incredresearch.com