* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 80,146 91,790 113,733 129,250
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 14,058 15,053 19,335 22,619
Net Profit (Rsm) 6,943 8,081 11,447 14,071
Core EPS (Rs) 154.3 137.9 170.0 195.0
Core EPS Growth 41.9% (10.7%) 23.3% 14.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 72.68 62.68 47.74 41.62
DPS (Rs) 64.0 76.0 94.9 115.0
Dividend Yield 0.79% 0.94% 1.15% 1.32%
EV/EBITDA (x) 35.94 33.97 28.35 25.58
P/FCFE (x) 68.78 114.76 57.78 35.51
Net Gearing (0.5%) 10.5% 1.6% (16.5%)
P/BV (x) 16.37 13.97 13.19 12.27
ROE 33.0% 25.6% 29.5% 31.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 80,146 91,790 113,733 129,250
Gross Profit 26,087 29,910 37,532 42,652
Operating EBITDA 14,058 15,053 19,335 22,619
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,585) (3,186) (4,475) (4,853)
Operating EBIT 11,473 11,867 14,859 17,765
Financial Income/(Expense) (634) (1,186) 41 491
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 4 30 57 65
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 10,843 10,711 14,957 18,321
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 10,843 10,711 14,957 18,321
Taxation (2,061) (2,093) (3,291) (4,031)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (1,326) (261)
Profit After Tax 7,456 8,357 11,667 14,291
Minority Interests (513) (276) (220) (220)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 6,943 8,081 11,447 14,071
Recurring Net Profit 9,595 8,603 11,447 14,071
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 9,595 8,603 11,447 14,071
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 14,058 15,053 19,335 22,619
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (1,027) (2,800) (4,012) (228)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (513) (276) (220) (220)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (806) (1,256) (300)
Tax Paid (2,800) (3,661) (3,291) (4,031)
Cashflow From Operations 8,912 7,060 11,512 18,140
Capex (1,582) (2,655) (2,400) (2,200)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (1,134) 177 398 556
Cash Flow From Investing (2,716) (2,478) (2,002) (1,644)
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (4,285) (4,781) (6,296) (7,739)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (1,297) (566)
Cash Flow From Financing (5,582) (5,347) (6,296) (7,739)
Total Cash Generated 614 (765) 3,214 8,757
Free Cashflow To Equity 7,330 4,405 9,112 15,940
Free Cashflow To Firm 7,002 5,838 9,810 16,496
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 5,787 3,352 6,566 15,323
Total Debtors 16,131 18,039 23,884 25,462
Inventories
Total Other Current Assets 4,146 4,634 4,634 4,634
Total Current Assets 26,064 26,025 35,084 45,419
Fixed Assets 6,866 7,629 5,554 2,900
Total Investments 2,484 2,339 2,339 2,339
Intangible Assets 16,299 16,133 16,133 16,133
Total Other Non-Current Assets 5,121 8,951 8,951 8,951
Total Non-current Assets 30,770 35,052 32,977 30,323
Short-term Debt 454 1,544 1,544 1,544
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 6,481 8,062 9,895 11,245
Other Current Liabilities 10,458 5,709 5,709 5,709
Total Current Liabilities 17,393 15,315 17,148 18,498
Total Long-term Debt 5,168 5,716 5,716 5,716
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 2,574 2,777 2,777 2,777
Total Non-current Liabilities 7,742 8,493 8,493 8,493
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 25,135 23,808 25,641 26,991
Shareholders Equity 30,825 36,266 41,417 47,749
Minority Interests 874 1,003 1,003 1,003
Total Equity 31,699 37,269 42,420 48,752
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 24.6% 14.5% 23.9% 13.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 26.0% 7.1% 28.4% 17.0%
Operating EBITDA Margin 17.5% 16.4% 17.0% 17.5%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 2.65 (62.63) (10.30) 111.75
BVPS (Rs) 495.82 581.18 615.15 661.75
Gross Interest Cover 14.23 9.45 49.53
Effective Tax Rate 19.0% 19.5% 22.0% 22.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 48.1% 56.9% 55.0% 55.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 68.37 67.94 67.27 69.68
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days 42.68 42.89 43.01 44.55
ROIC (%) 29.9% 30.2% 27.9% 31.8%
ROCE (%) 26.3% 23.3% 24.6% 26.2%
Return On Average Assets 17.5% 16.2% 18.0% 19.3%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com