* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 50,870 49,789 54,879 60,393
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 3,930 2,212 5,345 6,234
Net Profit (Rsm) 2,790 1,218 3,214 3,986
Core EPS (Rs) 21.2 8.9 23.6 29.3
Core EPS Growth 14.5% (57.8%) 163.9% 24.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 30.20 69.18 26.22 21.14
DPS (Rs) 4.1 1.8 4.7 5.9
Dividend Yield 0.66% 0.29% 0.76% 0.95%
EV/EBITDA (x) 21.75 38.53 15.44 12.71
P/FCFE (x) 59.71 165.90 25.25 20.77
Net Gearing (6.7%) (9.2%) (19.8%) (29.3%)
P/BV (x) 3.98 3.80 3.41 3.02
ROE 14.4% 5.6% 13.7% 15.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 50,870 49,789 54,879 60,393
Gross Profit 9,685 7,557 11,023 12,610
Operating EBITDA 3,930 2,212 5,345 6,234
Depreciation And Amortisation (426) (653) (769) (769)
Operating EBIT 3,504 1,559 4,576 5,465
Financial Income/(Expense) 900 698 500 500
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 4,404 2,257 5,076 5,964
Exceptional Items (133)
Pre-tax Profit 4,271 2,257 5,076 5,964
Taxation (1,145) (585) (1,218) (1,425)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,126 1,672 3,857 4,539
Minority Interests (336) (454) (644) (554)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 2,790 1,218 3,214 3,986
Recurring Net Profit 2,887 1,218 3,214 3,986
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 2,887 1,218 3,214 3,986
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 3,930 2,212 5,345 6,234
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 1,920 137 (646) (698)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (336) (454) (644) (554)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received 900 698 500 500
Tax Paid (1,145) (585) (1,218) (1,425)
Cashflow From Operations 5,269 2,008 3,338 4,057
Capex (2,000) (1,500) 0 0
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (1,858)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (3,858) (1,500) 0 0
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (557) (246) (644) (797)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 158 454 644 554
Cash Flow From Financing (399) 208 0 (243)
Total Cash Generated 1,012 716 3,337 3,813
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,411 508 3,338 4,057
Free Cashflow To Firm 1,431 511 3,338 4,057
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,623 2,350 5,693 9,506
Total Debtors 1,988 1,946 2,145 2,361
Inventories 6,702 6,560 7,230 7,957
Total Other Current Assets 276 271 298 328
Total Current Assets 10,590 11,127 15,367 20,152
Fixed Assets 4,612 5,459 4,690 3,920
Total Investments 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
Intangible Assets 87 87 87 87
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,766 1,766 1,766 1,766
Total Non-current Assets 16,466 17,313 16,544 15,774
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,463 2,411 2,658 2,925
Other Current Liabilities 483 483 483 484
Total Current Liabilities 2,946 2,894 3,141 3,409
Total Long-term Debt 3 3 3 3
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 3 3 3 3
Total Provisions 67 66 71 77
Total Liabilities 3,017 2,963 3,215 3,488
Shareholders Equity 21,183 22,167 24,743 27,931
Minority Interests 2,856 3,309 3,953 4,507
Total Equity 24,039 25,476 28,696 32,438
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 1.0% (2.1%) 10.2% 10.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 22.1% (43.7%) 141.7% 16.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 7.7% 4.4% 9.7% 10.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 11.89 17.23 41.77 69.75
BVPS (Rs) 155.48 162.70 181.60 205.01
Gross Interest Cover 173.36 530.94 16,330.42 19,502.31
Effective Tax Rate 26.8% 25.9% 24.0% 23.9%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 19.1% 20.2% 20.0% 20.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 11.21 14.42 13.60 13.62
Inventory Days 73.54 57.31 57.38 58.00
Accounts Payables Days 24.42 21.06 21.09 21.32
ROIC (%) 27.4% 12.5% 34.7% 41.8%
ROCE (%) 19.4% 9.1% 18.7% 19.5%
Return On Average Assets 9.0% 3.5% 11.1% 11.9%

Analyst(s)

Nitin AWASTHI

(91) 22 4161 1550 nitin.awasthi@incredresearch.com