* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 2,211,129 2,554,572 2,834,014 3,148,515
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 234,936 251,194 319,645 357,735
Net Profit (Rsm) 129,655 140,256 187,302 212,644
Core EPS (Rs) 92.3 99.8 133.3 151.3
Core EPS Growth 25.5% 8.2% 33.5% 13.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 37.06 34.26 25.65 22.60
DPS (Rs) 21.0 22.0 22.0 22.0
Dividend Yield 0.61% 0.64% 0.64% 0.64%
EV/EBITDA (x) 25.34 24.13 18.92 16.96
P/FCFE (x) 46.18 39.78 35.10 43.28
Net Gearing 96.2% 96.5% 83.8% 74.6%
P/BV (x) 5.56 4.94 4.25 3.67
ROE 14.8% 15.3% 17.8% 17.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 2,211,129 2,554,572 2,834,014 3,148,515
Gross Profit 751,623 901,764 991,905 1,095,683
Operating EBITDA 234,936 251,194 319,645 357,735
Depreciation And Amortisation (36,823) (38,498) (42,244) (44,516)
Operating EBIT 198,113 212,696 277,401 313,218
Financial Income/(Expense) (35,458) (34,229) (35,006) (35,834)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. (226) (249) (299) (358)
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 41,580 40,749 39,934 39,135
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 204,009 218,967 282,031 316,161
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 204,009 218,967 282,031 316,161
Taxation (49,474) (54,804) (70,582) (79,130)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 154,535 164,163 211,448 237,031
Minority Interests (24,880) (23,907) (24,146) (24,387)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 129,655 140,256 187,302 212,644
Recurring Net Profit 129,655 140,256 187,302 212,644
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 129,655 140,256 187,302 212,644
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 234,936 251,194 319,645 357,735
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc. (30,701) (31,978) (37,316) (41,215)
Change In Working Capital 104,377 (228,002) (178,805) (231,975)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (107,354) 86,397 87,748 87,746
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (6,122) (6,519) (4,928) (3,301)
Tax Paid (49,474) (54,804) (70,582) (79,130)
Cashflow From Operations 145,662 16,288 115,763 89,859
Capex (8,044) (69,748) (45,465) (47,611)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries (30,409) (10,000) (10,000) (10,000)
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 41,580 40,749 39,934 39,135
Cash Flow From Investing 3,128 (38,999) (15,531) (18,476)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (44,736) 143,501 36,658 39,633
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (62)
Shares Repurchased (100,300)
Dividends Paid (29,506) (30,911) (30,911) (30,911)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (56,995) (54,793) (55,809) (56,878)
Cash Flow From Financing (231,599) 57,796 (50,062) (48,156)
Total Cash Generated (82,810) 35,085 50,170 23,226
Free Cashflow To Equity 104,053 120,789 136,889 111,016
Free Cashflow To Firm 113,331 (56,941) 65,226 35,549
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 153,584 188,898 238,922 261,654
Total Debtors 487,710 629,894 698,798 776,346
Inventories 66,202 97,984 93,173 103,513
Total Other Current Assets 775,581 1,049,824 1,242,307 1,509,562
Total Current Assets 1,483,077 1,966,599 2,273,201 2,651,075
Fixed Assets 438,175 469,425 472,646 475,741
Total Investments 1,436,384 1,398,485 1,362,980 1,329,751
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 33,301 29,971 26,974 24,276
Total Non-current Assets 1,907,860 1,897,880 1,862,600 1,829,768
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 1,156,104 1,364,771 1,436,418 1,552,693
Other Current Liabilities 44,450 55,991 62,115 69,009
Total Current Liabilities 1,200,554 1,420,762 1,498,533 1,621,701
Total Long-term Debt 1,140,398 1,283,898 1,320,556 1,360,189
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 1,140,398 1,283,898 1,320,556 1,360,189
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 2,340,952 2,704,660 2,819,090 2,981,891
Shareholders Equity 863,592 972,937 1,129,328 1,311,061
Minority Interests 161,904 161,904 161,904 161,904
Total Equity 1,025,497 1,134,841 1,291,233 1,472,965
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 20.6% 15.5% 10.9% 11.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 13.2% 6.9% 27.3% 11.9%
Operating EBITDA Margin 10.6% 9.8% 11.3% 11.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (702.33) (779.33) (769.82) (781.85)
BVPS (Rs) 614.63 692.46 803.76 933.11
Gross Interest Cover 5.59 6.21 7.92 8.74
Effective Tax Rate 24.3% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 22.8% 22.0% 16.5% 14.5%
Accounts Receivables Days 77.17 79.84 85.56 85.51
Inventory Days 16.82 18.13 18.94 17.49
Accounts Payables Days 271.25 278.35 277.52 265.74
ROIC (%) 22.1% 16.6% 18.0% (8.2%)
ROCE (%) 9.0% 9.3% 11.0% 11.5%
Return On Average Assets 5.3% 5.2% 5.9% 5.2%

Analyst(s)

Anirvan DIVAKERA

(91) 02241611548 anirvan.divakera@incredresearch.com