* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 2,408,930 2,553,240 2,636,581 2,818,240
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 642,960 674,060 709,240 769,380
Net Profit (Rsm) 468,660 485,521 513,637 560,760
Core EPS (Rs) 128.5 134.2 142.0 155.0
Core EPS Growth 11.6% 4.4% 5.8% 9.2%
FD Core P/E (x) 26.33 25.22 23.84 21.83
DPS (Rs) 73.0 128.0 127.8 139.5
Dividend Yield 2.15% 3.90% 3.78% 4.12%
EV/EBITDA (x) 18.61 17.55 16.58 15.19
P/FCFE (x) 29.06 26.24 24.49 22.83
Net Gearing (41.9%) (44.4%) (49.3%) (53.4%)
P/BV (x) 13.64 13.06 12.38 11.72
ROE 51.8% 52.7% 53.3% 55.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 2,408,930 2,553,240 2,636,581 2,818,240
Gross Profit 1,022,830 1,045,710 1,094,181 1,169,570
Operating EBITDA 642,960 674,060 709,240 769,380
Depreciation And Amortisation (49,850) (52,410) (52,732) (54,956)
Operating EBIT 593,110 621,650 656,509 714,424
Financial Income/(Expense) 36,440 31,660 34,445 39,621
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 629,550 653,310 690,954 754,045
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 629,550 653,310 690,954 754,045
Taxation (158,980) (165,349) (174,876) (190,844)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 470,570 487,961 516,077 563,200
Minority Interests (1,910) (2,440) (2,440) (2,440)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 468,660 485,521 513,637 560,760
Recurring Net Profit 468,660 485,521 513,637 560,760
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 468,660 485,521 513,637 560,760
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 642,960 674,060 709,240 769,380
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (68,820) (15,803) (9,946) (17,722)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (1,910) (2,440) (2,440) (2,440)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (124,890) (165,349) (174,876) (190,844)
Cashflow From Operations 447,340 490,468 521,978 558,373
Capex (22,020) (22,020) (22,020) (22,020)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 82,280 39,620 43,525 48,701
Cash Flow From Investing 60,260 17,600 21,505 26,681
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased (210,050)
Dividends Paid (251,370) (463,089) (462,273) (504,684)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (23,940) (7,960) (9,080) (9,080)
Cash Flow From Financing (485,360) (471,049) (471,353) (513,764)
Total Cash Generated 22,240 37,019 72,129 71,290
Free Cashflow To Equity 425,320 468,448 499,958 536,353
Free Cashflow To Firm 507,600 508,068 543,483 585,054
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 447,670 484,689 556,818 628,108
Total Debtors 535,770 558,589 573,210 601,122
Inventories 280 280 280 280
Total Other Current Assets 146,120 146,120 146,120 146,120
Total Current Assets 1,129,840 1,189,678 1,276,429 1,375,631
Fixed Assets 188,260 157,870 127,158 94,223
Total Investments 36,980 36,980 36,980 36,980
Intangible Assets 23,420 23,420 23,420 23,420
Total Other Non-Current Assets 85,990 85,990 85,990 85,990
Total Non-current Assets 334,650 304,260 273,548 240,613
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 99,810 104,928 108,353 115,818
Other Current Liabilities 361,230 363,129 364,379 367,104
Total Current Liabilities 461,040 468,056 472,731 482,922
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 90,260 90,260 90,260 90,260
Total Non-current Liabilities 90,260 90,260 90,260 90,260
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 551,300 558,316 562,991 573,182
Shareholders Equity 904,890 937,526 988,889 1,044,965
Minority Interests 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300
Total Equity 913,190 945,826 997,189 1,053,265
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 6.8% 6.0% 3.3% 6.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 8.5% 4.8% 5.2% 8.5%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.7% 26.4% 26.9% 27.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 104.89 115.96 135.90 155.60
BVPS (Rs) 248.14 259.14 273.33 288.83
Gross Interest Cover 76.24 78.10 72.30 78.68
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.3% 25.3% 25.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 56.7% 98.2% 90.0% 90.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 78.43 78.22 78.34 76.05
Inventory Days 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06
Accounts Payables Days 26.99 24.79 25.24 24.81
ROIC (%) 90.1% 89.5% 97.3% 110.4%
ROCE (%) 45.4% 46.7% 47.3% 48.9%
Return On Average Assets 30.6% 31.4% 32.2% 33.7%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com