* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 2,408,930 2,596,109 2,831,213 3,111,056
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 642,960 705,805 784,246 864,874
Net Profit (Rsm) 468,660 513,137 571,676 631,703
Core EPS (Rs) 128.5 141.8 158.0 174.6
Core EPS Growth 11.6% 10.4% 11.4% 10.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 31.43 28.48 25.56 23.13
DPS (Rs) 73.0 120.0 134.3 148.4
Dividend Yield 1.80% 2.97% 3.33% 3.67%
EV/EBITDA (x) 22.33 20.05 17.95 16.18
P/FCFE (x) 34.69 30.39 27.79 25.25
Net Gearing (41.9%) (47.1%) (50.7%) (53.9%)
P/BV (x) 16.28 14.85 13.66 12.55
ROE 51.8% 54.3% 55.7% 56.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 2,408,930 2,596,109 2,831,213 3,111,056
Gross Profit 1,022,830 1,106,252 1,214,591 1,337,754
Operating EBITDA 642,960 705,805 784,246 864,874
Depreciation And Amortisation (49,850) (50,615) (53,793) (58,177)
Operating EBIT 593,110 655,191 730,453 806,697
Financial Income/(Expense) 36,440 36,190 39,404 43,630
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 629,550 691,380 769,857 850,327
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 629,550 691,380 769,857 850,327
Taxation (158,980) (175,644) (195,581) (216,024)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 470,570 515,737 574,276 634,303
Minority Interests (1,910) (2,600) (2,600) (2,600)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 468,660 513,137 571,676 631,703
Recurring Net Profit 468,660 513,137 571,676 631,703
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 468,660 513,137 571,676 631,703
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 642,960 705,805 784,246 864,874
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (68,820) (22,777) (38,247) (45,525)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (1,910) (2,600) (2,600) (2,600)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (124,890) (175,644) (195,581) (216,024)
Cashflow From Operations 447,340 504,785 547,819 600,725
Capex (22,020) (22,020) (22,020) (22,020)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 82,280 43,110 46,324 50,550
Cash Flow From Investing 60,260 21,090 24,304 28,530
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased (210,050)
Dividends Paid (251,370) (434,123) (485,925) (536,948)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (23,940) (6,920) (6,920) (6,920)
Cash Flow From Financing (485,360) (441,043) (492,845) (543,868)
Total Cash Generated 22,240 84,832 79,278 85,387
Free Cashflow To Equity 425,320 482,765 525,799 578,705
Free Cashflow To Firm 507,600 525,874 572,122 629,255
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 447,670 532,502 611,779 697,166
Total Debtors 535,770 567,968 619,403 680,626
Inventories 280 280 280 280
Total Other Current Assets 146,120 146,120 146,120 146,120
Total Current Assets 1,129,840 1,246,869 1,377,582 1,524,193
Fixed Assets 188,260 159,665 127,892 91,736
Total Investments 36,980 36,980 36,980 36,980
Intangible Assets 23,420 23,420 23,420 23,420
Total Other Non-Current Assets 85,990 85,990 85,990 85,990
Total Non-current Assets 334,650 306,055 274,282 238,126
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 99,810 106,689 116,351 127,852
Other Current Liabilities 361,230 363,772 367,298 371,496
Total Current Liabilities 461,040 470,461 483,649 499,347
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 90,260 90,260 90,260 90,260
Total Non-current Liabilities 90,260 90,260 90,260 90,260
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 551,300 560,721 573,909 589,607
Shareholders Equity 904,890 983,892 1,069,643 1,164,399
Minority Interests 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300
Total Equity 913,190 992,192 1,077,943 1,172,699
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 6.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.9%
Operating EBITDA Growth 8.5% 9.8% 11.1% 10.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.7% 27.2% 27.7% 27.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 104.89 129.18 151.10 174.70
BVPS (Rs) 248.14 271.97 295.67 321.86
Gross Interest Cover 76.24 94.68 105.56 116.57
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 56.7% 84.6% 85.0% 85.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 78.43 77.59 76.54 76.26
Inventory Days 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06
Accounts Payables Days 26.99 25.30 25.18 25.13
ROIC (%) 90.1% 94.2% 106.2% 115.8%
ROCE (%) 45.4% 48.0% 49.5% 50.5%
Return On Average Assets 30.6% 32.4% 34.0% 35.3%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Smit GOSRANI

(91) 02241611554 smit.gosrani@incredresearch.com