* price as on 04 Feb 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 2,408,930 2,565,443 2,705,182 2,909,863
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 642,960 684,943 746,630 808,942
Net Profit (Rsm) 468,660 495,763 542,827 591,538
Core EPS (Rs) 128.5 137.0 150.0 163.5
Core EPS Growth 11.6% 6.6% 9.5% 9.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 27.58 25.86 23.62 21.68
DPS (Rs) 73.0 128.0 135.0 147.1
Dividend Yield 2.06% 3.78% 3.81% 4.15%
EV/EBITDA (x) 19.52 18.11 16.53 15.16
P/FCFE (x) 30.43 27.20 24.77 22.84
Net Gearing (41.9%) (45.1%) (49.3%) (53.3%)
P/BV (x) 14.28 13.68 12.93 12.20
ROE 51.8% 53.8% 56.3% 57.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 2,408,930 2,565,443 2,705,182 2,909,863
Gross Profit 1,022,830 1,056,503 1,136,176 1,222,142
Operating EBITDA 642,960 684,943 746,630 808,942
Depreciation And Amortisation (49,850) (51,441) (52,751) (55,287)
Operating EBIT 593,110 633,502 693,879 753,654
Financial Income/(Expense) 36,440 34,075 36,770 42,272
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 629,550 667,577 730,649 795,926
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 629,550 667,577 730,649 795,926
Taxation (158,980) (169,425) (185,431) (201,998)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 470,570 498,153 545,217 593,928
Minority Interests (1,910) (2,390) (2,390) (2,390)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 468,660 495,763 542,827 591,538
Recurring Net Profit 468,660 495,763 542,827 591,538
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 468,660 495,763 542,827 591,538
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 642,960 684,943 746,630 808,942
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (68,820) (17,788) (19,027) (21,059)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (1,910) (2,390) (2,390) (2,390)
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received
Tax Paid (124,890) (169,425) (185,431) (201,998)
Cashflow From Operations 447,340 495,341 539,782 583,495
Capex (22,020) (22,020) (22,020) (22,020)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 82,280 42,105 46,130 51,632
Cash Flow From Investing 60,260 20,085 24,110 29,612
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased (210,050)
Dividends Paid (251,370) (463,127) (488,545) (532,384)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (23,940) (8,030) (9,360) (9,360)
Cash Flow From Financing (485,360) (471,157) (497,905) (541,744)
Total Cash Generated 22,240 44,269 65,987 71,362
Free Cashflow To Equity 425,320 473,321 517,762 561,475
Free Cashflow To Firm 507,600 515,426 563,891 613,106
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 447,670 491,939 557,926 629,288
Total Debtors 535,770 561,259 588,125 620,665
Inventories 280 280 280 280
Total Other Current Assets 146,120 146,120 146,120 146,120
Total Current Assets 1,129,840 1,199,598 1,292,450 1,396,353
Fixed Assets 188,260 158,839 128,108 94,840
Total Investments 36,980 36,980 36,980 36,980
Intangible Assets 23,420 23,420 23,420 23,420
Total Other Non-Current Assets 85,990 85,990 85,990 85,990
Total Non-current Assets 334,650 305,229 274,498 241,230
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 99,810 105,429 111,172 119,583
Other Current Liabilities 361,230 363,312 365,408 368,478
Total Current Liabilities 461,040 468,741 476,580 488,061
Total Long-term Debt
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 90,260 90,260 90,260 90,260
Total Non-current Liabilities 90,260 90,260 90,260 90,260
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 551,300 559,001 566,840 578,321
Shareholders Equity 904,890 937,526 991,808 1,050,962
Minority Interests 8,300 8,300 8,300 8,300
Total Equity 913,190 945,826 1,000,108 1,059,262
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 6.8% 6.5% 5.4% 7.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 8.5% 6.5% 9.0% 8.3%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.7% 26.7% 27.6% 27.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 104.89 117.95 136.19 155.91
BVPS (Rs) 248.14 259.12 274.12 290.47
Gross Interest Cover 76.24 78.89 74.13 80.52
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.4% 25.4% 25.4%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 56.7% 97.8% 90.0% 90.0%
Accounts Receivables Days 78.43 78.04 77.54 75.81
Inventory Days 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06
Accounts Payables Days 26.99 24.82 25.19 24.95
ROIC (%) 90.1% 91.1% 102.1% 113.5%
ROCE (%) 45.4% 47.5% 49.9% 51.4%
Return On Average Assets 30.6% 31.8% 33.7% 35.1%

Analyst(s)

Abhishek SHINDADKAR

(91) 22 4161 1543 abhishek.shindadkr@incredresearch.com

Vikas Swami

(91) 22 4161 1544 vikas.swami@incredresearch.com